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Australia Victoria's path out of coronavirus lockdown involves us sticking to the plan — even if it isn't perfect

00:11  20 september  2020
00:11  20 september  2020 Source:   abc.net.au

A world of pain: strict and strange penalties for breaking COVID-19 laws

  A world of pain: strict and strange penalties for breaking COVID-19 laws Cruel and unusual punishments seen around the world range from being forced to dig graves to being locked in dog cages.Residents of Greater Melbourne, who are subject to stage four lockdown restrictions, trying to escape to regional Victoria where restrictions have been slightly eased will be slapped with a $4957 fine.

The past two months have pushed us to the limit and beyond. More than 3,000 of my brave colleagues have been infected. We can be proud to have contained a second wave spiralling out of control. The Victorian roadmap, despite following the national strategy of aggressive suppression and No plan is perfect . As community transmission decreases, I see hospital case numbers steadily decline.

Victorians will be able to celebrate weddings with up to 20 people in addition to the celebrant and couple, and up to 50 people at funerals. Throughout the announcement, Mr Andrews stressed widespread testing of every Victorian with even the slightest coronavirus symptoms was "critical" to

Despite training in infectious diseases, nothing could have prepared me for 2020.

I never thought I would be helping plan and enact a hospital response to a once-in-a-hundred-year pandemic.

I never thought I'd be furloughed in a hotel room for two weeks or separated from my family for six months and counting.

The past two months have pushed us to the limit and beyond. More than 3,000 of my brave colleagues have been infected.

With huge numbers removed from the workforce at the height of the pandemic, we worked double shifts, sweating under gowns, dehydrated, unable to drink for hours on end, our faces bruised and cut from suffocating N95 masks.

Lancashire expected to be placed under tighter lockdown measures

  Lancashire expected to be placed under tighter lockdown measures Lancashire is to be the latest part of the UK to face strict coronavirus lockdown rules - with drastic new curbs being introduced this weekend, Sky News understands. Health Secretary Matt Hancock has told senior MPs from the county that he will announce the clampdown in the morning and the rules will come into force on Saturday.The coronavirus restrictions, similar to those being introduced in North East England, will cover the whole of Lancashire with the exception of two thirds of the seaside resort of Blackpool.

People in regional Victoria will be able to travel through Melbourne to get to other unrestricted areas. People in established intimate relationships can visit each other, even if one lives in regional Victoria and the other lives in Melbourne. See our full coverage of coronavirus . Other languages.

It is becoming increasingly likely some of Western Australia' s coronavirus restrictions will soon be eased as new cases slow to a trickle — but little is known about the plan to roll back the rules. Restrictions imposed in WA due to the pandemic will be reviewed monthly from the start of May.

The more tired you are, the more likely you are to infect yourself. But, in the face of significant risk, no one has taken a backward step. I couldn't be prouder to be part of this team.

It hasn't been any easier for the community. Depression, anxiety and sometimes despair. But we Victorians are a resilient lot. We can be proud to have contained a second wave spiralling out of control.

Thanks to our collective efforts, we have cut daily case numbers from 700 to double digits. The finish line is in sight. But sometimes, the final climb is the most daunting.

We may be frustrated, but that won't change our situation. Blame and recrimination can come afterwards, once we're on the other side. Any other approach risks undermining our ability to get there.

'Circuit break': PM considering national restrictions on social lives to curb infections

  'Circuit break': PM considering national restrictions on social lives to curb infections Boris Johnson is considering the introduction of new national restrictions - possibly as soon as next week - as the prime minister races to try and get a handle on the spread of coronavirus. With COVID-19 cases now doubling every seven to eight days, the government is looking at introducing nationwide restrictions for a short period to try to "short-circuit" the virus and slow the spread of the disease. Government figures stressed the plans being drawn up stopped short of a full national lockdown, as seen in the spring, when the country was told to "stay at home".

in Sydney… they described it to us … think arachnid… it ’ s a web… and it was below… this one goes all the way… You step out of line, it goes back to the Death Penalty. And he’ s aware of every single one of them. Today' s Top Stories. Adrenochrome and Coronavirus Evidence / Facts.

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Howls of protest

The Victorian roadmap, despite following the national strategy of aggressive suppression and opening at thresholds similar to NSW during the first wave, has been met with howls of protest and a national pile on from business leaders, politicians, academics and the media.

But the choice between health and the economy is false. A society cannot function and an economy cannot recover when its people are dying.

Around the world a clear pattern has emerged. Countries that controlled the virus best, have suffered the least economically. We see this here when comparing Western Australia's recovery with states where COVID-19 still circulates.

People will not resume normal activities and spend if they don't feel safe. The public health recovery precedes the economic recovery.

If you play out this false dichotomy between economy and health — you arrive in the United States. A first world country with over 6 million cases and tragically, almost 200,000 deaths. Is this a path we wish to go down?

Why the number of people getting tested for Covid-19 has dropped in the US

  Why the number of people getting tested for Covid-19 has dropped in the US Experts say we need more testing. But that’s not happening.As of September 17, the average daily tests is about 730,000, down from an average of 780,000 in early September and 830,000 in late July, according to the Covid Tracking Project. Meanwhile, the percent of tests coming back positive, which is used to gauge testing capacity, has remained around 5 percent — at times above the threshold of 5 percent that experts generally recommend, and exceeding the 3 percent threshold that some have called for.

London is moving closer to lockdown , but it isn ’ t there yet. In my north London neighborhood, there National responses have fallen into roughly two groups. There is the lockdown path set by Wuhan in China Countries pursuing a more gradualist approach to the coronavirus face a growing dilemma.

Victoria has announced it is forming a 500-strong police task force to enforce social-distancing rules. How long will the lockdown last? The Prime Minister has previously warned it will be at least six months "The more we share the sacrifice, the more we do the right thing together as Australians

Elsewhere, countries have curbed transmission only to open prematurely and see second waves engulf them.

Following the world's strictest lockdown, Spain has topped 25,000 daily cases. Israelis (with more than 4,000 daily cases) are again locked down and must not venture more than 500 metres from home.

I would rather a conservative model that under promises and over delivers. If wrong, cases will drop faster than predicted, allowing us to open sooner, as in regional Victoria. The reverse scenario does not bear considering.

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We have a common goal

We all agree on the goal — "COVID normal" — but the divisiveness about how we get there risks undermining public confidence necessary for our recovery.

Our first wave was met with a genuine spirit of bipartisanship. Leaders put aside their differences to lead in the national interest. In response, the curve seemingly bended to our collective will.

But this time, with public morale so close to cracking, that unity is harder to find.

Business leaders demand to know why they can't open stores. They point to the absence of outbreaks under their COVIDSafe plans. But this oversimplification misunderstands the nature of "mystery" cases that are most dangerous to our recovery.

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Recently the Victoria government ramped up testing and, predictably, it has seen an uptick in cases. They discovered 671 new cases of coronavirus on As if it were not bad enough that you can’ t leave your house without being muzzled and without a “lawful reason” under this new regime you can’ t even

switch to the US edition. Countries wanting to end the lockdown and allow people to move about and work again will have to monitor closely for new infections and adjust the controls they have in place until there is a vaccine against Covid-19, according to a new study based on the Chinese experience.

If in the days before diagnosis, a person strolled the aisles of Bunnings, and shopped at Chadstone, we may never confidently pinpoint their acquisition. All these outings are possible opportunities to get infected, and to infect others.

Epidemiologists make more sophisticated critiques of the roadmap, questioning the modelling that underpins it, scenarios tested and inputs such as contact tracing capacity.

No model is perfect, nor will one satisfy every academic.

A model with the most optimistic inputs (no mistakes, perfect contact tracing and compliance) could allow you to open earlier. But a more cautious model that factors in inevitable human mistakes and missteps is more realistic. The consequences of getting it wrong are grave.

It is demoralising to see federal leaders putting pressure on their state counterparts to change course and diminishing their leadership.

If that is a political calculation to avoid responsibility for aged care deaths and economic upheaval, it is a dangerous game for the Prime Minister to play.

Victoria is still part of Australia. Our health and economies are intertwined. We succeed or fail together.

The success of any public health strategy relies on the buy-in of the people to comply with public health directions. The exchange of ideas is important, but once a reasonable strategy is selected, we must converge behind it. If public faith is undermined, no strategy will succeed.

No plan is perfect

As community transmission decreases, I see hospital case numbers steadily decline. I am confident this will translate to a sharp drop in cases as we break the last stubborn chains of transmission.

The road map is not perfect, but it will get us there if we pull together and put in the work. Everyone has a role to play.

Victorians: get tested, follow the rules and minimise spread. My colleagues and I will look after you with compassionate care if you get sick.

And our public leaders — politicians, media, epidemiologists and business leaders — must put aside their differences and lead us through this crisis.

Victoria is strong. We are on the home stretch, and we will succeed if we are united.

They will never take the grand final away from us again!

Aaron Bloch is an infectious diseases and general medicine doctor at a Melbourne metropolitan hospital.

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How Trump let Covid-19 win .
Trump’s magical thinking couldn’t beat the coronavirus. America is stuck with the consequences.The US wasn’t able to fully and safely reopen in April. It isn’t able to fully and safely reopen in September.

usr: 1
This is interesting!