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Australia Why Victoria's 14-day average is pivotal to reopening

15:46  28 september  2020
15:46  28 september  2020 Source:   9news.com.au

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Victoria ' s 14 - day rolling average has never been more pivotal to the state progressing to its next steps out of lockdown after key roadmap dates were replaced with a "trigger point" system yesterday. The change in the way the roadmap operates means specific dates will no longer apply for

Victoria ’ s roadmap for reopening stipulates that the state’ s 14 - day average for new cases must fall below a certain level at each step of the way. This graph shows where the 14 - day average has been tracking since the start of August against the targets set for each stage of reopening

Victoria's 14-day rolling average has never been more pivotal to the state progressing to its next steps out of lockdown after key roadmap dates were replaced with a "trigger point" system yesterday.

The change in the way the roadmap operates means specific dates will no longer apply for metropolitan Melbourne to move to step three, with the state instead turning to the data of the 14-day average.

However, October 19 has been flagged as a potential date for restrictions to ease – which is earlier than the pencilled in date of October 26 originally given.

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Regional Victoria ' s path to reopening . Its 14 - day average is currently 4.3, and has been below five since September 9, which means it meets the first crtierion. But it hasn’t quite met the second criterion, with Deputy Chief Health Officer Allen Cheng saying on Thursday there had been eight new mystery

Why Victoria ' s 14 - day average is pivotal to exiting lockdown restrictions. NSW records another day of zero new COVID-19 cases. Ms Mora waited until June 22, when it was announced that caravan parks in Victoria would be opening up to non-self contained vehicles like her caravan, which doesn't

READ MORE: Victoria records lowest number of COVID-19 cases in three months

Melbourne moved to step two of the roadmap today, which saw the nightly curfew abolished.

In order for Melbourne to move to step three, Victoria must achieve daily average case numbers of less than five, as well as less than five cases with an unknown source in the past 14 days.

"The number of cases must be low enough to move to the next step. This is a trigger point for public health review," the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) website reads.

https://twitter.com/VicGovDHHS/status/1310347610201436160

While regional Victoria cannot move to the last step until there are no new cases for 14 days across the state.

Premier Daniel Andrews described the state's plummeting rolling 14-day average – which sits at 20.3 for Melbourne and 0.6 for regional Victoria – as a "very significant" set of numbers.

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Why Victoria ' s 14 - day average is pivotal to exiting lockdown restrictions. NSW records another day of zero new COVID-19 cases. One person will also be allowed to visit a friend or relative in hospital once each day for a maximum of two hours. For those under 18 years of age, two parents or carers

Melbourne’ s 14 - day average fell again to 23.6 Victoria recorded one more coronavirus death, taking the state toll to 782 and the national figure to 870 as new case numbers continue to drop. NSW must record 28 days with no community transmissions before its border with Queensland is reopened , a

"We are well ahead of schedule," he said today.

READ MORE: Melbourne's second step - complete list of changes

"Today's numbers are proof positive, beyond any doubt, that this strategy is working.

"This is the lowest daily case number for a very long time and it's not so long ago that we were reporting not five cases, but 725 cases.

"We've come a long way. Victorians have given a lot. They have sacrificed a lot. And I am proud and deeply grateful for the work that every single Victorian is doing in partnership with me and a massive team of dedicated workers."

READ MORE: All your Melbourne step two questions answered

Daniel Andrews holding a sign posing for the camera: Monday September 28: Victoria has recorded its lowest daily case number in more than three months with five new COVID-19 cases and three deaths. Monday September 28: Victoria has recorded its lowest daily case number in more than three months with five new COVID-19 cases and three deaths.

A substantial amount of restrictions could be lifted come October 19, Mr Andrews said.

"We just have to see it through … as difficult as it is to live under these restrictions, albeit with modifications yesterday, for another three weeks," he said.

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If Regional Victoria ' s average daily case number is 4.9, why aren't they easing restrictions? When can regional Victoria move to stage 3? The 14 day average is less than 5. I'm keen beans to see The average daily cases for Regional Victoria has dropped below 5, which is one of two thresholds

Victoria would now base its decisions about public health restrictions on case numbers, rather than aspirational dates, the premier said. The average is just 0.6 for regional Victoria . Virus reproduction rates are falling about 20% every five or six days . Victoria ’ s chief health officer, Brett Sutton, said he

"If we can do it, and I'm confident that we can, we will be able to take big steps in just three weeks."

What step three would entail:

  • No restrictions on leaving home
  • Spend time with others outside where possible
  • Public gatherings: up to 10 people
  • Visitors allowed at home from one other household (up to five people)
  • Schools will see a potential staged return for onsite learning for remainder years
  • Hospitality open for predominantly outdoor seated service only
  • All retail open, except personal care (hairdressers open)

You can get up-to-date information from the Federal Government's Coronavirus Australia app, available on the App Store, Google Play and the Government's WhatsApp channel.

Beyond Blue's Coronavirus Mental Wellbeing Support Service is a 24/7 service free of charge to all Australians.

Visit the site here or call 1800512348. For coronavirus breaking news alerts and livestreams straight to your smartphone sign up to the 9News app and set notifications to on at the App Store or Google Play.


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Victoria has recorded 55 new COVID-19 cases, indicating the state's daily figures are now firmly in the double digits after the Premier unveiled the What made COVID-19 news today? Melbourne' s 14 - day average hit 78.6 - the city must reach 30-50 cases by September 28 to ease restrictions to step two.

"If your 14 - day average is going along well and then you happen to have one contained outbreak on the 13th day, for instance The statement also highlighted the critical importance of strengthening Victoria ' s contact tracing system "to the highest possible levels" to support the reopening of the state.

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