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Australia Four political lessons from Ardern’s landslide — and it ain’t great news for Albo

14:06  19 october  2020
14:06  19 october  2020 Source:   crikey.com.au

Factbox: New Zealand parties clash over COVID-19, economy, taxes and housing

  Factbox: New Zealand parties clash over COVID-19, economy, taxes and housing Factbox: New Zealand parties clash over COVID-19, economy, taxes and housingBelow are the main issues in the election.

Jacinda Ardern won a major victory at the New Zealand election. What can Anthony Albanese and Scott Morrison learn from her leadership style? Jacinda Ardern has led her party to its greatest electoral victory in more than 50 years. What can she teach politicians on this side of the Tasman?

Related articles. Four political lessons from Ardern ’ s landslide — and it ain ’ t great news for Albo . Jacinda Ardern has led her party to its greatest electoral victory in more than 50 years. What can she teach politicians on this side of the Tasman?

Jacindamania strikes again. On Saturday, New Zealand’s Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern led her Labour Party to its greatest election victory in over 50 years, one that offers some clear lessons to politicians on this side of the Tasman.

Jacinda Ardern standing in front of a computer screen: Jacinda Ardern NZ ELECTION 2020 © Provided by Crikey Jacinda Ardern NZ ELECTION 2020

First: keeping your citizens safe during a pandemic is a major vote winner. Immediately before COVID-19 struck, the NZ Labour Party led the National Party 42.5% to 37%. The election landslide saw Labour triumph 49% to 27%. In other words, the gap widened from 5.5% pre-COVID to a remarkable 22% by election day. That was despite the New Zealand economy contracting by a frightening 12% in the June quarter.

Ardern set to win in New Zealand's 'Covid election'

  Ardern set to win in New Zealand's 'Covid election' There were no masks on display as about 1,000 university students gave Jacinda Ardern a rock-star reception during her final Wellington campaign rally this week -- and the New Zealand prime minister was fine with that. Ardern, also without a face covering, happily posed for selfies alongside dozens of youthful supporters, rubbing shoulders with a disregard for social distancing that would spark outrage almost anywhere else in the world. SuccessArdern, also without a face covering, happily posed for selfies alongside dozens of youthful supporters, rubbing shoulders with a disregard for social distancing that would spark outrage almost anywhere else in the world.

Four political lessons from Ardern ’ s landslide — and it ain ’ t great news for Albo . Notwithstanding CML’s constant blind barracking for her beloved great - great - great -etc-grand nephew, I agree that Crikey is not the place for this sort of contrived levity.

Four political lessons from Ardern ’ s landslide — and it ain ’ t great news for Albo . Jacinda Ardern has led her party to its greatest electoral victory in more than 50 years. What can she teach politicians on this side of the Tasman?

Jacinda Ardern standing in front of a computer screen: Jacinda Ardern NZ ELECTION 2020 © Provided by Crikey Jacinda Ardern NZ ELECTION 2020 Jacinda Ardern posing for the camera © Provided by Crikey

Queensland LNP could learn a thing or two from New Zealand

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The determination of the premiers of Queensland and Western Australia to keep their borders shut shows that they recognise the huge electoral benefits of controlling the disease. President Donald Trump either never had that realisation or decided that it was all too hard in the land of the free.

The second lesson is that, in modern politics, nothing beats charisma and celebrity.

Jacinda Ardern is a political star of the first order, almost as well recognised internationally as she is at home. Known to her legion of fans as “St Jacinda” and “the anti-Trump” (and to her detractors as “Jaspinda”), Arden typifies modern presidential-style politics where the party leader is central to the party’s electoral prospects.

Jacinda Ardern is on track for victory in New Zealand's election. But she was almost at risk of being a one-term PM

  Jacinda Ardern is on track for victory in New Zealand's election. But she was almost at risk of being a one-term PM Jacinda Ardern's fame has soared as she has led her country through several crises. But this weekend New Zealand voters will decide if she should remain Prime Minister for another term and she will not be able to rely on just her large social media following to secure a victory.But only three years ago, few people outside of New Zealand had ever heard of Jacinda Ardern.

The political level of the plan was basically conceived by Barack Obama who was allegedly helped by his Italian counterpart, Matteo Renzi, the former Italian Prime Minister. The Chairman of Nations in Actions claims that what happened was “a really brilliant plan orchestrated by Obama with the help of

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern ' s center-left Labour Party was reelected in a landslide last month, winning 49.1% of the vote according to preliminary results. Taking 64 of the 120 seats, her party was the first to win a majority since the country's current political system was introduced in 1996.

Ardern’s stratospheric personal popularity was crucial to Labour’s success. It swept all before it in the election campaign. Most significantly, it transcended mundane issues like policies. One can only sympathise with Ardern’s opponent Judith Collins.


Video: Kevin Rudd rationalises election defeat by 'blaming someone else' (Sky News Australia)

Of course, it’s one thing to understand this lesson but quite another to follow it. Charismatic celebrities like Ardern are thin on the ground.

And what does a political party do if its leader isn’t a charismatic celebrity, or at least a popular and engaging individual with some kind of X-factor? Change the leader?

That’s where the third lesson from the land of the long white cloud comes in: changing leaders is fraught with danger. Judith Collins was the third leader of the National Party in less than six months. There were numerous rumours of division within the party and she has already identified the leaking of damaging internal party documents as a contributing factor in her loss. Disunity is death in party politics.

New Zealand's Ardern still comfortably ahead on eve of election

  New Zealand's Ardern still comfortably ahead on eve of election New Zealand's Ardern still comfortably ahead on eve of electionWELLINGTON (Reuters) - New Zealand's ruling Labour Party led by Jacinda Ardern remains in a commanding position two days before a general election, despite support slipping slightly in the latest opinion poll on Thursday.

Ms. Ardern ’ s supporters say she must push even harder for transformative change. “The gestures of kindness and care need to be matched sometimes with He added that true success for Ms. Ardern would require structural shifts in social and economic systems — and it remains to be seen whether

A landslide victory is an election result in which the victorious candidate or party wins by an overwhelming margin. The term became popular in the 1800 s to describe a victory in which the

This lesson would not come as a surprise to either the ALP or the Coalition. However, given their proclivity for dispatching leaders, they could probably both do with another reminder.

The harsh reality is that it’s practically impossible to reconcile lessons two and three. If a party needs both to have a “star” leader and to avoid disunity, the only solution is to identify future stars early in their careers and to engineer their smooth flightpath to eventual leadership.

There are two problems with this. First, it is not always easy to identify future stars. (The attributes that have made Ardern a star were not obvious early in her career. She stood twice for the seat of Central Auckland and failed to win.) Secondly, party politics do not lend themselves to long-term leadership planning. They are far too random and messy, driven by self-serving ambition and factional interests.

a group of people sitting in a chair © Provided by Crikey

Yes, it’s time to talk about Labor again: a lost party on a long losing streak

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The fourth lesson from the New Zealand election is that dramatic changes to the political landscape can occur very quickly. It was not that many years ago that the National Party’s John Key reigned supreme. If not charismatic in the traditional sense, he was nevertheless upbeat and exuded stability and competence. It’s been less than four years since Key’s departure, yet on Saturday his party barely won a quarter of the votes.

New Zealand's Ardern: A tenure beset by crisis

  New Zealand's Ardern: A tenure beset by crisis A fresh-faced Jacinda Ardern entered office three years ago promising "relentless positivity" -- and New Zealand's leader has needed it in abundance as a succession of catastrophes besieged the nation and tested her mettle. In a hectic first term, Ardern has faced New Zealand's worst terror attack, a deadly volcanic eruption, the country's deepest recession in more than 30 years, and the shared global threat of the Covid-19 pandemic. Along the way, she also had a baby and became the international standard-bearer for progressive politics in an era of right-wing populist strongmen.

What do these lessons tell us about federal politics in Australia? In terms of leadership, neither Morrison nor Anthony Albanese have the communication skills or personal empathy of Ardern, let alone her international recognition. But Morrison has the benefit of incumbency. He’s in front of the nation constantly and has developed an easygoing confidence. Albanese has an unenviable task. There is little for an opposition leader to do during a national crisis.

In terms of party unity, the Liberal Party looks more stable than at any time since John Howard was in charge. The same cannot be said of its coalition with the Nationals. Meanwhile, the ALP appears susceptible to division on environmental issues.

The good news for Labor is that the next election is still at least a year away, and a year in politics is an eternity. All sorts of dangers lurk for the government, from a worse-than-expected economic downturn to a major deterioration in relations with China, from another outbreak of COVID-19 to another outbreak of Barnaby Joyce.

The post Four political lessons from Ardern’s landslide — and it ain’t great news for Albo appeared first on Crikey.

Analysis: Pandemic biggest hurdle for New Zealand's Ardern after 'tectonic' election .
Analysis: Pandemic biggest hurdle for New Zealand's Ardern after 'tectonic' electionWELLINGTON (Reuters) - Jacinda Ardern's landslide election win gives her a mandate for the transformational change she has been promising New Zealand for three years, but the COVID-19 pandemic may limit what she can actually do.

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