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Australia Why Australia is set to have 90% double-vaccination rate by Christmas

09:25  07 september  2021
09:25  07 september  2021 Source:   dailymail.co.uk

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Australia is one track to have 90 per cent of the population fully vaccinated well before Christmas as anti-vaxxer sentiment wanes.

Vaccination rates are surging in western Sydney's Covid hotspots with 85.7 per cent of residents aged 16 and over in the Blacktown council area having had at least one jab.

That is even higher than the Lower North Shore, where 81.2 per cent of people had received a first dose in Mosman.

Across Australia, 38.4 per cent of the working age or adult population was fully vaccinated as of September 5, rising by 829,150 in one week to 7,924,726 people.

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When Australia is set to reach each double vaccination target

70 per cent: October 30, 2021

80 per cent: November 17, 2021

90 per cent: December 4, 2021

Source: Federal Department of Health

If that rate continued, 90 per cent of people would be fully vaccinated by December 4 or in 12 weeks and six days.

At that trajectory, the 80 per cent rate enabling overseas travel again for the first time since March 2020 would be reached on November 17 - or in 10 weeks and two days.

The 70 per cent rate heralding an end to harsh lockdowns would be reached on October 30, or in seven weeks and six days.

New South Wales, where residents are living under the harshest lockdowns, are bringing up the national average, as provincial states with hard border closures, like Queensland and Western Australia, lag behind.

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With 320,487 people in NSW receiving their second dose during the past week, the state is set to reach the 70 per cent double-vaccination rate by October 17, almost two weeks before other mainland Australian states.

This would enable the fully-vaccinated to sit down at a pub or cafe by showing proof of their immunisation on their Medicare app or a soon-to-be updated Service NSW app used for signing in to QR codes.

NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant was hopeful of a 90 per cent double-vaccination rate.

'I actually think that we can. Maybe I'm being too optimistic but I actually think we can and what I’d like the community to do is be with us on that journey,' Dr Chant said.

In Australia's most populated state, 41 per cent of the eligible population is fully vaccinated putting NSW well ahead of Victoria (37.8 per cent), South Australia (37.3 per cent), Queensland (34.8 per cent) and Western Australian (34.2 per cent).

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But the Australian Capital Territory is leading the pack with a 46.3 per cent double vaccination rate followed by Tasmania (45.7 per cent) and the Northern Territory (40.5 per cent).

Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said a waning in anti-vaxxer sentiment was likely to see Australia hit the 90 per cent double vaccination rate in late 2021.

'As the benefits of being vaccinated really starts to resonate with the Australian population, through the end of this year into next year, we've got a very good chance of getting our vaccination rates up to about 90 per cent,' he said.

'That will restore Australia to being one of the countries that's dealt best with the virus as we were in 2020, but of course one of the countries that has lagged behind vaccination so badly through much of 2021.

'As we go into 2022, if we're up at that level of vaccination, and the proof that vaccination really does constrain the number of new cases, the real rebound in Australia will gather a lot of momentum during 2022.'

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The Melbourne Institute, which surveys attitudes to vaccination, put the anti-vaxxer proportion of the population at 11.7 per cent as of August 20.

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Mr Evans suggested that level may have even declined since then to 10 per cent, making a 90 per cent double-vaccination rate a real prospect.

'Something that gives me a lot of comfort, are the surveys we've seen in our consumer sentiment survey and elsewhere indicating that resistance to vaccination in Australia is only at about 10 per cent of the population,' he said.

By council area, 59.6 per cent of people are fully vaccinated in the Ku-ring-gai council area on Sydney's Upper North Shore, with 86.9 per cent having received a first dose.

Gladys Berejiklian in a blue shirt: ( © Provided by Daily Mail ( a man wearing a suit and tie standing in front of a window: ( © Provided by Daily Mail (

The Hills Shire, in Sydney's outer north-west, has the highest first-dose rate of 88.6 per cent, with a majority of 53.5 per cent fully vaccinated.

Vaccination rates are surging in western Sydney hotspots with 81.7 per cent having received a single dose in the Parramatta council area compared with 76.7 per cent in Canterbury-Bankstown and 82.5 per cent in Campbelltown.

They were all above the state-wide first dose rate of 74 per cent.

NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian called on people to get vaccinated as she announced 1,220 new cases and eight deaths.

'We're really pleased with these results,' she said.

'I would ask people to keep coming forward.'

What are the four phases of opening up?

A. Vaccinate, prepare and pilot (from July 14)

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Arrival caps cut in half to 3,035 a week; early, stringent and short lockdowns if outbreaks occur; trials of seven-day home quarantine for vaccinated arrivals in South Australia; medicare vaccination certificates available on apps like apple wallet

B. Post vaccination phase (when 70 per cent are jabbed, expected late this year)

Lockdowns less likely but possible'; vaccinated people face reduced restrictions; caps for unvaccinated arrivals increased; a larger cap for vaccinated arrivals with 'reduced quarantine requirements'; capped entry for students and economic visa holders

C. Consolidation phase (when 80 per cent are jabbed, time not announced)

Lifting all restrictions for outbound travel for vaccinated travellers; no caps for vaccinated arrivals; increased caps for students and visa holders; more travel bubbles being set up with countries such as Singapore; booster shots rolled out

D. Final phase (percentage or time not announced)

Uncapped arrivals for vaccinated people without any quarantine and uncapped arrivals for unvaccinated people with testing before departure and on arrival

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VIC suburbs where over 75 PER CENT of residents are fully-vaccinated .
As Melburnians brace to spend month's in the city's crippling sixth lockdown, some parts of Victoria have already smashed the 70 per cent double-dose Covid vaccination target.Under the federal government's national Covid-exit plan, lockdowns will become rare once 70 of over 16s are fully vaccinated, with further freedoms - such as domestic and overseas travel - to resume from 80 per cent.

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