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Sport The Roar's AFL expert tips and predictions: Grand final

00:25  22 october  2020
00:25  22 october  2020 Source:   theroar.com.au

The Roar’s NRL expert tips and predictions: Preliminary finals

  The Roar’s NRL expert tips and predictions: Preliminary finals Spots in the NRL grand final at the end of the craziest season in history go on the line this weekend. Here to tell you who is going to the big dance and why are The Roar’s NRL expert tipping panel. With the Roosters and Eels dropping out of the premiership race after losses to the Raiders and Rabbitohs respectively, the competition arrives at its final four, with just three games remaining in the season.

The preliminary finals proved difficult to predict for everyone on the panel once more. My tip of Geelong to beat Brisbane was the only point anyone earnt. Richmond will have plenty of nostalgia from last year’ s huge grand final win over the Giants and 2017’ s thrashing of Adelaide.

More AFL Grand Final » BUCKLAND: West Coast change everthing and win it all » Match Report: Eagles premiers in This grand final puts together two teams that have been underrated all season, yet have kept on defying the critics. If that trend continues, it augurs well for the underdog Eagles.

It all comes down to this!

I was genuinely worried we wouldn’t get here at many points throughout 2020, but this Saturday the AFL season finally concludes with a mouth-watering grand final between the Richmond Tigers and Geelong Cats.

The Tigers are looking to make it three flags in four seasons and cement their status as one of the greatest teams of the modern era. Geelong, on the other hand, are hoping to put years of finals heartbreak behind them and send legend Gary Ablett Jr off with a high.

The preliminary finals proved difficult to predict for everyone on the panel once more. My tip of Geelong to beat Brisbane was the only point anyone earnt. Marnie Cohen, Liam Salter and The Crowd all picked up the doughnut.

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The AFL grand final should’ve taken place last Saturday. So we’re a little behind, but it’ s better late than never, right? Truthfully, I don’t know if I feel Then there’ s Brisbane, ostensibly beneficiaries of a massive finals home-ground advantage but who would be nervous about the albatross around their

The elimination finals are where the real intrigue lies this weekend though, and with Cronulla to play Remember to get your tips into the form below by 6pm (AEST) on Friday to join The Roar ’ s NRL The one positive is at this stage the only time the Storm can knock Parramatta out is in the grand final .

This week, like last year, we’ll not only tip the winner but also the margin, the Norm Smith medallist and the first goalscorer.

Stirling Coates

Geelong by 16. Norm Smith to Patrick Dangerfield, first goal to Dion Prestia

I feel like I’ve written about this match enough already, when I dissected Geelong’s woes against the Tigers of late in my Tuesday column.

I won’t beat around the bush – I’m barracking for Geelong on Saturday. I’d really like to see Gary Ablett Jr go out on a high, and a premiership would be just reward for a Cats team that’s been one of the competition’s best for such a long period of time.

The Roar’s NRL expert tips and predictions: Grand final

  The Roar’s NRL expert tips and predictions: Grand final It’s been a season that’ll be remembered for plenty of reasons, but finally the NRL grand final is here. The top two teams are set to face off in the decider, and The Roar’s NRL expert tipping panel are here to tell you who will lift the Provan Summons trophy and why. And in this special edition of expert tipping we won’t tell just you that. The panel have been asked to submit their predictions for a margin, the winner of the Clive Churchill Medal, the first try-scorer and the winner of the NRLW grand final.

By joining The Roar you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions. On the tipping front, the Demons knocking off the Giants has extended my lead atop The Roar ’ s AFL expert tipping panel to a commanding four points, with Liam Salter now just two Thunderstorms threaten AFL grand final .

The final two rounds of the home-and-away season are here! They’re spread across a somewhat ‘normal’ time frame too, so we can digest properly and look I assume the scepticism comes from their inability to progress to a grand final in recent seasons and I assume the reason most people believe

They’ve got incredible momentum at their backs with two awe-inspiring finals wins. The 40-point margin flattered them a tad against Brisbane, but they were still several notches above the Lions when it counted. The 68-point margin against Collingwood, on the other hand, flattered the losers.

As I said the other day, I really believe the Cats have figured out the perfect way to play against the Tigers, but circumstance has robbed them of the opportunity to cash in on the last two occasions.

Will it happen again on Saturday?

(Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)

For most of the week I thought it would, with the forecast for Brisbane supposed to be downright terrible on grand final day. Richmond’s record in wet weather is impervious and I saw the decider being a low-scoring slog that the Tigers would prevail in after smothering their opponents.

But at the time of writing the Bureau of Meteorology says the deluge won’t hit Queensland’s capital until the day after the decider, with Saturday set for a drizzle and lots of cloud cover at worst.

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  The Irish dilemma: Gaelic football talent in the AFL and AFLW Last Tuesday marked a milestone for retired Cork footballer Brid Stack, who was picked up by AFLW side Greater Western Sydney Giants as an international rookie. The 11-time All-Ireland medal winner was approached by the Giants in early 2019 and couldn’t turn down the opportunity to play at a professional level. Stack is officially the 17th Irish woman to join the AFLW for the 2021 season. She will link up with Mayo’s Cora Staunton and Donegal’s Yvonne Bonner in the coming weeks as the AFLW season is set to restart following the COVID outbreak.

By joining The Roar you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions. That’ s Round 10 taken care of, with Round 11 pitting Port Adelaide against Richmond in another grand final preview. It’ s a weird thing to say about a team that’ s topped the ladder after every round this season, but the Power

We’re into the final stretch of the home-and-away season, with just four ‘weeks’ separating us from the finals . It’s time to get a wriggle on if you’re a top-eight aspirant and it’s also time to get a wriggle Port Adelaide punt on Burton in AFL final . The Roar ' s AFL expert tips and predictions : Finals Week 1.

Of course Richmond can play in any conditions and, as much as I’ve written about it, I’m not basing my tip purely on the weather.

The incredible form the Cats are in needs to be given some stock – certainly a lot more stock than it’s being given. With the preliminary final hoodoo off their back and buoyed the fact they’re not playing the Tigers at the MCG, I reckon Geelong can finally break through and claim another flag.

It’s hard to see the Norm Smith going to anyone other than Patrick Dangerfield if Geelong win. Even if he’s not best on ground, the selection panel have got it wildly wrong over the last few years (Cyril Rioli in 2015, Jason Johannisen in 2016, Dustin Martin in 2017), so I’ll back them to play it safe and pick him no matter what.

Dion Prestia will kick the first goal of the match in the very early going.

Finally, here’s my Shoe-In of the Week. With Geelong just about over the line, Gary Rohan will have the opportunity to kick an easy sealer and wash away years of criticism, but, like Jack Darling in 2018, he’ll fluff it badly and give the Tigers a pulse.

Marnie Cohen


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Dusty v Danger - two AFL giants who couldn't be more different

  Dusty v Danger - two AFL giants who couldn't be more different Richmond bad boy Dustin Martin and Geelong's Patrick Dangerfield might be likened to chalk and cheese off the footy ground. As far as the general public knows about it anyway. 'Dusty' Martin doesn't care much about revealing to the wider world what it is that actually makes him tick. In the wild, he's often described as aloof, arrogant and perhaps a little bit caught up in his own opinion of himself. He has good reason to think that way of course. 'Danger' is the polar opposite. The Cat superstar has participated in endless interviews for television, radio and newspapers this season.

Geelong by 22. Norm Smith to Cam Guthrie, first goal to Tom Lynch.

We have just about reached the end of the 2020 season and, let me tell you, it has been an incredibly entertaining ride and has built up to a sensational grand final match-up.

I will start by saying this: it is seriously remarkable that two Victorian sides will be facing off after over 100 days in the Queensland hub and few genuine home games.

Obviously it’s a shame the majority of their fans will be trapped in their home state and unable to witness their beloved sides play, but I don’t think that will change the sweet taste of success.

Speaking of success, I think Geelong will win the 2020 grand final.

I have thought for most of this season that they are the best side in the competition. However, with so much media and social media noise constantly surrounding you, it’s so easy to go back and forth on that statement.

But the proof is in the pudding, and not just throughout the home-and-away season but during the final series as well.

Despite losing the qualifying final to Port in Adelaide, the Cats have backed it up with two dominant displays against Collingwood and Brisbane. They have a solid contribution across the board and are such a joy to watch.

(Photo by Albert Perez/Getty Images)

Melburnians celebrate Richmond Tigers' historic AFL Grand Final win

  Melburnians celebrate Richmond Tigers' historic AFL Grand Final win Crowds dressed in yellow and black marched along Swan Street in Richmond to ring in the victory on Saturday night. Fans chanted as they walked around while cars drove down the street honking their horns. Carrying signs and waving flags, the Richmond supporters were ecstatic their team had clinched the Premiership Cup for 2020.

They are the better team going into Saturday night’s game, but there is always a catch where Richmond is concerned.

The thing with Richmond is when they begin to play on a knife’s edge, they become their most dangerous and are so good that no-one is a chance of stopping them. Their work rate around the stoppages and centre clearances against Port Adelaide in the prelim was elite, and not to mention they boast one of the best finals players in Dustin Martin.

Still, the fact Geelong has managed to break through a streak of preliminary finals failures really means something, and I believe that something is premiership glory.

As for who will be best on ground, I don’t think Cam Guthrie is too much of a left-field choice, but it may require some explaining.

Vision has emerged of Guthrie in the rooms in tears following Geelong’s preliminary finals victory. It’s the emotion that ignites a fire within players and drives determination towards greatness. That emotion, combined with the midfielder’s breakout season, could be a Norm Smith-winning combination.

Although it will be a very different grand final, here’s hoping it’s still an entertaining contest. Hopefully it’s a game to remember not just for the strange circumstances but for the right reasons as well.

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Liam Salter

Geelong by five. Norm Smith to Patrick Dangerfield, first goal to Tom Hawkins.

It’s somewhat bemusing that after a very weird season we end up with a grand final featuring two interstate teams for the first time since 2006.

Five talking points from the 2020 AFL grand final

  Five talking points from the 2020 AFL grand final The 2020 AFL grand final has come to an end, and the Richmond Tigers have claimed the 2020 premiership. Here are my talking points from the match. Tigers triumphant as Cats rue wasted dominance If you offered it to them before the game then no Geelong fan on earth would’ve turned down a 15-point halftime lead, but when it arrived at the main break they surely must have been just as frustrated as they were hopeful. Leaving aside Richmond kicking the first two goals of the game, the Cats dominated the first half far more than a two-goals-and-some lead would suggest.

Given that, and given the fact the decider is being played in the Switzerland of venues, it’s very plausible this will be the most even premiership decider in years.

There’s a chunk of evidence to support this. Both Richmond and Geelong have superb records in Queensland, with the Cats not losing at the Gabba this year and Richmond winning eight of their last ten.

They followed identical finals trajectories too. Both lost qualifying finals, were scarcely challenged in the semi-finals and took down the prohibitive favourites in last weekend’s prelims.

I’m no tactical expert – that should be obvious by now – but statistically both teams are high-scoring outfits (no surprise with even a cursory look at their forward line talent) while simultaneously being tight defensive units.

The latter fact was obvious in their Round 17 meeting, which produced Geelong’s lowest total score and Richmond’s fifth-lowest winning score of the season. That Round 17 win was the Tigers’ fourth from their last five matches against the Cats, including last year’s preliminary final, which is a good record any way you look at it.

(Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

They may hold the statistical advantage but Richmond no longer yield the fairytale card – that slot is entirely Geelong’s this week. Whether it be Gary Ablett’s last premiership hurrah, Patrick Dangerfield gunning for an inaugural premiership or the team itself gunning for a first premiership in almost a decade, the Cats appear to have the hearts and minds of most neutrals.

If you’re expecting a walloping on behalf of the Tigers, temper your expectations. Richmond will have plenty of nostalgia from last year’s huge grand final win over the Giants and 2017’s thrashing of Adelaide. That makes their favouritism completing.

But with rain expected, Geelong with an abundance of motivation and the Gabba locale bound to throw up a surprise, I’m not even considering a Richmond blowout.

In fact I’m not tipping a Richmond win at all. The sentimentality around Geelong is irresistible, and while the Tigers are a ridiculously tough opponent that are likely to make me regret this come Saturday night, the moment is right for the Cats. They’ll win in a close one – I’m thinking 2018-close, just to raise a few heart rates.

As for individual tips, I’m going to back the controversial Tom Lynch to get the scoring underway. The Norm Smith is more difficult to tip, though. Patrick Dangerfield is the easy choice if the Cats win, though I’m somewhat partial to falling for the Gary Ablett Jr being best on ground. Not partial enough to tip it – the medal will be Dangerfield’s.

Grand final Stirling Marnie Liam Crowd
Winner GEE GEE GEE ?
Margin GEE 22 5 ?
Norm Smith Dangerfield Guthrie Dangerfield ?
First goal Prestia Lynch Hawkins ?
Last week 1 0 0 0
Total 106 94 98 109

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