© ABC News: GFX/Jarrod Fankhauser Xi Jinping's ascension to power was a turning point in Beijing's foreign policy decisions, analysts say. China has developed at an unprecedented rate since opening up 40 years ago, lifting some 850 million people out of poverty and has become one of the largest contributors to global economic growth.
Beijing has long maintained its rise will be "peaceful", yet its exceptional growth as an economic, military and political power is commonly referred to as a "threat", with experts calling its foreign policy "aggressive" and "menacing".
In 2003, Chinese academic Zheng Bijian introduced the policy of a "peaceful rise" under the leadership of former president Hu Jintao, to assert that China is not a threat to global peace and security, in line with its Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence.
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We have traveled locally and around China on two different “tours” and hope to get to see the Three Gorges Dam next year. Urbanization is another important power for support Chinese economy growth. As you have heard from some newspaper, China has done many things has not done before .
14. The magazines is different to a local newspaper because of. С) what it contains. 15. When she was at primary school, Sarah. 2. What does Tom see as central to his parents’ style of acting? A) insight into the demands of a role. 3. According to Tom, what is difficult about playing cruel characters?
Analysts also say the policies are China's attempt to avoid the Thucydides trap, which predicts that a rising power will inevitably clash with an incumbent dominant force, leading to war and conflict.
However, the policy was criticised almost as soon as it was introduced due to the phrase "rise", which could sound threatening to the country's neighbours.
It was swiftly replaced with "peaceful development" in official documents and speeches, but that hasn't swayed critics from seeing the country as a threat.
Belt and Road, Huawei and the South China Sea
Pradeep Taneja, an expert in Chinese politics at the University of Melbourne, said Beijing's "peaceful rise" policy was initially introduced to counter the "China threat" narrative.
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A. Education has the power to transform a person’ s life. I am the living example of this. G. When my high school English teacher asked us to read Shakespeare, I thought it was boring and too difficult. A. I believe playing sports is more than an activity to fill your day, it can teach important life lessons.
"[It] was meant to directly address concerns that China's economic and military rise will ultimately lead to a conflict between the sole surviving superpower, the United States, and China," Dr Taneja told the ABC.
Paul Monk, a former defence intelligence analyst, told the ABC that Chinese President Xi Jinping's ascension to power was a turning point in Beijing's foreign policy decisions.
The trillion-dollar Belt and Road Initiative has been accused as a "debt-trap diplomacy", while the US has warned that Chinese telecoms giant Huawei's 5G expansion posed a "national security risk".
Meanwhile, China's militarisation of the islands in the South China Sea has become one of the main potential flashpoints, analysts say.
"In practical terms, the use of [the peace narrative] allows China to claim that it has no aggressive intent, while at the same time aggressively pursuing its strategic interests, especially in the South China Sea," Dr Taneja said.
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I really enjoyed it there. and I loved dem onstrating the differen t toys. I was surprised at how frien dly my 7 now on, no one is allowed to enter the school building during the lunch break. 8 I havent seen Michael The rehearsals were far from satisfactory because we thought that. we could just have two
I' ve forgotten my passport! We will have to (go back) and get it! I can 't find a _ flight from London to Delhi so I' ve booked one that changes in frankfurt. You can still see old milestones by the side of the road in england, showing the _ tp the nearest town.
The narrative of China's peaceful nature and growth has been used by many of its leaders to argue that its rise will be different to other great powers of the past.
China's economic resilience became evident after it rode through the 2007 global financial crisis relatively unscathed, and with time it became more willing to assert itself, especially under President Xi, according to Dr Monk.
While analysts recognise that it has been a long-term strategy for the Chinese Communist Party and the People's Liberation Army to counter the US in East Asia and the Asia-Pacific, Dr Monk says such a shift is inevitable.
China's contingency plans and 'American assertiveness'
Andrew J Nathan, professor of Chinese politics at Colombia University, writes that the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence offer an alternative to the US-led world order, where international institutions often reflect US interests and values.
This Chinese alternative would allow nations to govern their own political systems and people as they see fit, and stresses that all nations are equal to do so without interference.
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For example, as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, China has commonly vetoed or abstained from voting on resolutions that require intervention or sanctions.
Jane Golley, China expert at the Australian National University, told the ABC it is "natural and expected" for an emerging superpower like China to create plans to protect its own interests.
Dr Golley said the militarisation of the South China Sea "does not inherently contradict a peaceful development", explaining that it is a security measure to ensure shipping lanes would be open in the event of war.
"The costs of war would take away from China's economic gains," she said.
"What China is pursuing is economic power, and investment and economics is inherently peaceful."
Ms Golley added that "American assertiveness" has led China — under President Xi — to build up its military "in line with its economic power".
"Why wouldn't a rising power prepare a contingency in the event of a conflict with a superpower?"
However, while China pursues a peaceful foreign policy unless provoked, domestically it is a different story, she said.
"Beijing is enacting policies which are certainly worrying," Ms Golley told the ABC.
"You see it in Hong Kong, Xinjiang and within its own borders, but I'm yet to see comprehensive evidence of aggression overseas."
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Dr Monk emphasised it is important to keep a "cool head" about comparing China's rise to its great power predecessors.
He said the world's former superpowers — including Europe's colonial powers and Japan — have previously risen through "an unprecedented catastrophe", such as world wars or the mass enslavement of peoples.
"The possibility of [similar conflict] occurring in the 21st century as a result of China's rise is non-existent," Dr Monk told the ABC.
"[China] has become integrated as a late starter in a mature international system of trade and investment, and if it messes that system up it would suffer egregiously."
Pictures: US-China Trade War: A timeline
Two of the biggest economies in the world – the U.S. and China – are caught in the throes of a bitter and potentially catastrophic (for themselves and the world) trade war. Take a look at this timeline to understand the progression of the dispute between Washington, D.C. and Beijing.
April 2017: Trump investigates steel imports
One of U.S. President Donald Trump’s biggest campaign promises was to bring manufacturing jobs back to the country. In April, after becoming president, Trump directed the Commerce Department to determine whether the scale of import of steel from China (and other countries) posed a threat to national security.
When announcing the investigation, Trump said: "For decades America has lost our jobs and our factories to unfair foreign trade. And one steel mill after another has been shut down, abandoned, and closed. And we're going to reverse that."
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August 2017: Trump targets China's 'unfair trade practices'
A few months later, Trump expanded the scope of investigation, calling on U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer (L) to decide on a probe of "unfair Chinese trade practices" in general. The Executive Order focused on alleged theft of American intellectual property through spying and hacking.
In response, the Chinese Commerce Ministry said: “… any actions of trade protectionism from the U.S. side would be harmful to the bilateral trade and business relationship and the interests of companies on both sides."
August 2017: China responds through state media
In a sign of deteriorating relations between the two countries, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs hit out at Trump for launching the investigations and trying to use them to pressure Chinese President Xi Jinping into supporting the U.S. in its efforts to control North Korea.
The state-run China Daily newspaper wrote: "His idea of exploiting trade as a bargaining chip in dealings with China dates back to the campaign trail. But instead of advancing the United States' interests, politicizing trade will only acerbate the country's economic woes, and poison the overall China-U.S. relationship."
January 2018: US slaps tariffs on solar panels and washing machines
Undeterred by Beijing’s warnings, the Trump administration initiated its first major trade action against China – a 30 percent tax on imported solar panels (the majority of these come from China). In addition, a 20 percent tax was levied on large residential washing machines.
In his statement, Lighthizer (pictured) said: “The President's action makes clear again that the Trump Administration will always defend American workers, farmers, ranchers, and businesses in this regard.”
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January 2018: China blasts new tariffs
On Jan. 23, China’s Commerce Ministry issued a statement condemning the U.S. move to tax solar panels. Part of the statement said: “China hopes the U.S. will exercise restraint in using trade restrictions.” Beijing also aid it would “resolutely defend its legitimate interests.”
The Trump administration’s move to tax the import of washing machines upset South Korea as well. Seoul’s Trade Minister, Kim Hyun-chong, said the move was an “excessive and a clear violation of World Trade Organization (WTO) rules.
March 2018: US imposes tariffs on steel and aluminum
On March 9, Trump imposed a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum. The tariffs would impact every country exporting either material to the U.S., with the exception of Canada and Mexico. Trump said: “America will remain open to modifying or removing the tariffs for individual nations as long as we can agree on a way to ensure that their products no longer threaten our security.”
China responded by calling the tariffs “a serious attack on normal international trade order” and said it is “firmly opposed” to the move.
April 2018: China hits back with its tariffs
On April 2, Beijing announced tariffs on nearly $3 billion of U.S. imports. These tariffs included a 15 percent duty on products like fruits, wine, nuts and steel pipes. In addition, China also levied a 25 percent tax on goods like pork and recycled aluminum. The latter move alarmed the U.S. National Pork Producers Council, who claimed the $1.1 billion in exports to the Asian giant would be negatively impacted.
China’s Ministry of Commerce said it hoped the U.S. would withdraw its tariffs “as soon as possible so that the trading of products between China and the United States will return to a normal track.”
April 2018: US taxes 1,300 Chinese products
The two countries continued to trade blows, with the U.S. adding 1,300 more items to the list of taxed goods. The products taxed included those from the aerospace and medical industries, both of whom were the subject Trump’s 2017 investigation into China’s “unfair trade practices.” The sum total of Chinese exports to be taxed was $50 billion.
The decision was criticized by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, whose executive vice president, Myron Brilliant, said that although the move to restore balance in trade was correct, “… imposing taxes on products used daily by American consumers is not the way to achieve those ends.”
April 2018: China retaliates with tariffs worth $50 billion
China then announced plans to impose a 25 percent tariff on U.S. exports worth $50 billion. The list of products to be affected included soybeans, chemicals, aircraft and automobiles. At the time, there was confusion over the date on which these tariffs would come into effect. In response, China’s vice finance minister, Zhu Guangyao, said the intervening period could be used as a “time to negotiate and compromise.”
April 2018: US threatens $100 billion of tariffs
An apparently frustrated Trump then threatened a further (and steeper) range of tariffs. On April 6, he said: “In light of China’s unfair retaliation, I have instructed the [United States Trade Representative] to consider whether $100 billion of additional tariffs would be appropriate.” China’s response, via Commerce Ministry spokesperson Gao Feng (pictured), was to say: “We are prepared and have already formulated very detailed countermeasures.”
Trump’s announcement was criticized by members of the Republican party, with Nebraska senator Ben Sasse calling it “the dumbest possible way to do this.”
April 2018: US bans Chinese tech giant
Washington, D.C.’s next move was against Chinese telecom giant ZTE. The firm was banned from purchasing components from U.S. companies. The U.S. Commerce Department claimed ZTE lied about punishing employees who violated sanctions against North Korea and Iran and slapped a seven-year ban on the company.
Meanwhile, the U.K. government made a similar move, warning its companies from using the Chinese one’s equipment and services.
April 2018: China's 179 percent sorghum tax
The following day, China’s Commerce Ministry announced a staggering 179 percent fee on sorghum imports from the U.S. The grain is used in animal feed but is also popular in the country for making a local liquor. China imported over $960 million of sorghum in 2017, according to data from CNN.
April 2018: Both sides show interest in talks
In the first sign of a potential thaw in relations, on April 21 U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin (pictured) said a trip to China was possible and that he was “cautiously optimistic” a trade deal could be agreed between the two countries.
In response, on April 22, China’s Commerce Ministry said: “China has received a message from the U.S. about its willingness to hold bilateral trade talks in Beijing. China welcomes this move."
May 2018: First round of talks
Talks between senior U.S. and Chinese officials began in May, in Beijing. They were described by the White House as “frank discussions.” The Chinese were more circumspect, with official news agency Xinhua saying: “Both sides realized there are some relatively big differences on some issues. And more work needs to be done to achieve more progress.”
May 2018: Trump tweets in favor of ZTE
On May 13, Trump tweeted: “President Xi of China, and I, are working together to give massive Chinese phone company, ZTE, a way to get back into business, fast. Too many jobs in China lost. Commerce Department has been instructed to get it done!”
A spokesperson for China’s Foreign Ministry responded: “We very much appreciate the positive statement from the U.S. side on ZTE and maintain close communication with them on the issue.”
May 2018: Rumors of Chinese purchases surface
On May 17, U.S. officials told CNN Beijing had proposed a boost in Chinese purchases of U.S. products by nearly $200 billion, in order to address trade imbalances between the two nations.
The following day, Lu Kang (pictured) responded, “These rumors are not true.” At the same time, China also announced it was removing the 179 percent tax on the import of U.S. sorghum.
May 2018: Mnuchin says trade war 'on hold'
Four days later, Mnuchin told Fox News: “We're putting the trade war on hold. We have agreed to put the tariffs on hold while we try to execute the framework.” The statement came after news U.S. and China had agreed to not impose tariffs while talks were ongoing.
May 2018: China reduces tariffs on imported cars
In response, China then announced, with effect from July 1, a reduction in import duties on passenger cars from the U.S., from 25 percent to 15 percent. The decision was one of some promises made by Jinping to Trump and included a significant reduction of fees on imported auto parts as well.
May 2018: US revives tariff threats
What followed was a surprising revival of tariff threats against Beijing. On May 29, the White House announced it would go ahead with an earlier plan to levy a 25 percent duty on $50 billion of Chinese goods “containing industrially significant technology.”
In its statement, the U.S. government said: “The United States will request that China remove all of its many trade barriers, including non-monetary trade barriers, which make it both difficult and unfair to do business there.”
May 2018: China 'not afraid of fighting trade war'
Beijing issued a strong response to the new threats, with Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying saying: “We want to reiterate that we don't want a trade war, but we aren't afraid of fighting one. If the U.S. insists on acting arbitrarily and recklessly, China will take firm and powerful measures to safeguard its own legitimate rights.”
Beijing also decried what it saw as U.S. efforts to unsettle China ahead of talks with American Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, saying: In international relations, an about-face or constant change of positions is bound to damage or squander a country’s credibility.”
June 2018: Wilbur Ross holds talks in Beijing
Ross met with Chinese vice premier Liu He in Beijing over the first week of June. At the end of that discussion, China said it would purchase U.S. products worth nearly $25 billion in 2018. The decision was seen as Beijing’s attempt to reduce the deficit in trade balances between the two countries – something Trump repeatedly pointed out in his relationship with China.
June 2018: US allows ZTE to return to business, if it pays a fine
On June 7, the U.S. government said it had reached a deal with Chinese firm ZTE that would allow the telecom giant to return to trading with American partners. The deal included the payment of a record $1.4 billion ($400 million in escrow) fine and proposed management changes.
July 2018: US slaps $34 billion duty
The Trump administration’s unpredictable handling of the trade issue took a new turn on July 6, with the U.S. slapping $34 billion of tariffs on products like farming plows and airplane parts. The government said a further $16 billion in tariffs could be imposed in two weeks or less.
The move was criticized by Robert Holleyman, a senior trade official who served under former president Barack Obama, who said: “Once these tariffs start going into effect, it’s pretty clear the conflict is real. If we don’t find an exit ramp, this will accelerate like a snowball going down a hill.”
July 2018: China hits back
The latest salvo in a rapidly escalating trade war was fired by China, who imposed a similar $34 billion of tariffs on 545 American products. Lu Kang confirmed the development, saying: “After the U.S. activated its tariff measures against China, China’s measures against the U.S. took effect immediately.”
July 2018: US announces second list of tariffs
The Trump administration retaliated by imposing a 10 percent tariff on an additional $200 billion of Chinese imports. Some of the products included in the list facing tariff were manufactured under the Made in China 2025 initiative, which is a strategic plan to help China dominate the major global industries.
August 2018: Both sides unveil new tariffs
The Trump administration directed the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) to consider a 25 percent tariff – more than double the one in July – on $200 billion worth of goods, including construction materials, textiles, tools, food and agricultural products. China also issued a second round of tariffs.
On Aug. 7, the USTR issued a final list of Chinese goods worth $16 billion that will be hit with tariffs. In response, China imposed a 25 percent tariff on $16 billion worth of U.S. imports, such as medical equipment, fuel, steel products and autos – both effective from Aug. 23.
September 2018: Trump threatens new duties
Broadening the divide in an already escalating trade dispute, Trump threatened to impose tariffs on another $267 billion of goods. Speaking about the additional tariffs, Trump said, “The $200 billion we are talking about could take place very soon depending on what happens with them. To a certain extent it’s going to be up to China. And I hate to say this, but behind that is another $267 billion ready to go on short notice if I want. That totally changes the equation.”
September 2018: US invites China for trade talks
In a what was then viewed as a positive move in Asian markets, the U.S. sought to reinitiate trade talks with China before the proposed increase of tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. “There’s some discussions and information that we received that the Chinese government – the top of the Chinese government wished to pursue talks. And so, Secretary Mnuchin, who is the team leader with China, has apparently issued an invitation,” explained Larry Kudlow (pictured), director of the U.S. National Economic Council.
September 2018: USTR finalizes tariffs worth $200B
On Sept. 18, USTR released a list of approximately $200 billion worth of Chinese imports to be subject to an additional 10 percent starting Sept. 24. The level would increase to 25 percent starting Jan. 1, 2019. Though Trump warned “we will immediately pursue phase three, which is tariffs on approximately $267 billion of additional imports” if China takes retaliatory actions, China hit back with plans to impose tariffs on U.S. goods worth $60 billion.
September 2018: China cancels trade talks
Amid escalating tariff threats and trade tensions, China pulled out of proposed talks on Sept. 22.
Two days later, the U.S. and China imposed another round of tariffs against each other’s goods. China also published a white paper against the “economic hegemony” and “trade bullyism practices of the U.S. administration.”
October 2018: Senior officials meet
Senior trade officials of both sides met for a working-level contact that could possibly lead to a meeting between Trump and Xi on the sidelines of the G20 Summit in Argentina. Bloomberg reported that if the planned meeting between the two world leaders does not yield any favorable result, then the U.S. will prepare to announce tariffs on remaining goods imports from China by early December.
November 2018: Trade talks resume
Weeks before Trump and Xi were due to meet at the G20 Summit, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin (pictured) and his Chinese counterpart Vice Premier Liu He spoke on phone and resumed discussion on ways to ease the trade tension. While the U.S. maintained that China make an offer before negotiations can start, China decided to wait for the discussion to begin before making a formal proposal.
December 2018: Temporary trade truce
Defusing tensions caused by months of trade threats, Trump and Xi met for a dinner meeting at the G20 Summit on Dec. 1 and agreed to halt new trade tariffs for a period of 90 days to facilitate talks. The first face-to-face meeting between the two leaders since the trade war erupted was described by Trump as an “amazing and productive meeting with unlimited possibilities for both the United States and China.”
December 2018: China lowers tariffs on auto parts, buys US soybean
After the 90-day negotiation window was put in place, China temporarily lowered tariffs on cars and parts originating in the U.S. for three months. The country also resumed purchase of soybeans from the U.S. – a practice it had stopped in July 2018.
January 2019: Three-day trade talks in Beijing
Between Jan. 7 and Jan. 9, the two met to reach a consensus.
The U.S. noted China had agreed to purchase “a substantial amount of agricultural, energy, manufactured goods, and other products and services from the United States.” In a separate statement, China said both sides “held broad, deep and meticulous discussions on shared observations on trade issues and structural problems, laying the foundation for addressing areas of common concern.” A second round of talks was held Jan. 30-31.
In an interview with The New York Times after the talks, Trump said, “Without the tariffs, we wouldn’t be talking. And I make this point clear to them.”
(Pictured) Trump meets with China Vice Premier Liu He (2nd L) at the White House in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 31, 2019.
February 2019: Trade talks continue
Ahead of the March 1 deadline of the 90-day trade truce, top officials engaged in several rounds of talks to reach a consensus on issues from currency manipulation to market access. A side-by-side comparison by Bloomberg of the statements released by the two countries after their meeting in Beijing showed that while the U.S. made no mention of a consensus, China noted the “sides reached ‘consensus in principle on major issues,’ with a view toward a ‘memorandum of understanding on bilateral economic and trade issues.’”
(Pictured) Lighthizer (2nd L) speaks with Xi, next to Mnuchin (L), during a meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Feb. 15, 2019.