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World Iowa once embraced Trump, but could now help vote him out

07:06  22 october  2020
07:06  22 october  2020 Source:   msn.com

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Though she's a Democrat, Michelle Smith understood Donald Trump's popularity in 2016 in her home state of Iowa.

a person standing in front of a mirror posing for the camera: Michelle Smith, the chair of the Democratic Party for Jasper County, Iowa, says she understood why her state voted for Donald Trump in 2016 -- but now believes those reasons are no longer valid © Eleonore SENS Michelle Smith, the chair of the Democratic Party for Jasper County, Iowa, says she understood why her state voted for Donald Trump in 2016 -- but now believes those reasons are no longer valid

She lost her job about 15 years ago at a factory for appliance manufacturer Maytag in the city of Newton. The plant eventually closed altogether in 2007, taking 2,000 jobs with it.

a blue sign sitting in the grass: Polls show Joe Biden is running neck-and-neck with President Donald Trump in Iowa © Eleonore SENS Polls show Joe Biden is running neck-and-neck with President Donald Trump in Iowa

"I think people saw, 'Oh, he's not a politician. He's somebody new. He's a businessman. Let's give him a chance for economic development'," said Smith.

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Republicans have only won Iowa once since Ronald Reagan – in 2004, when George Bush eked out a win by As Kaufmann told the Guardian, this rare embrace of a candidate who blew the establishment to pieces in primary There is open campaigning to replace McGuire after the presidential vote .

Gary Younge’s picks out three similarities between the the Democratic and Republican Iowa results: First, they are an undeniable and unequivocal Third, we are now set for two long races stretching well into spring. The Republican race is fairly evenly split three ways between Trump , Cruz and Rubio

a group of people standing in a room: Many have cast ballots early in Newton, Iowa © Eleonore SENS Many have cast ballots early in Newton, Iowa

She says her situation has, however, not improved since the New York real estate mogul won the White House four years ago -- and in fact may have worsened.

"I have no more money than I had four years ago," said Smith, who now works in a call center and is head of the Democratic Party for Jasper County, which includes Newton.

"I can tell you that my (health) insurance cost more than it did four years ago."

If the polls are correct, Iowa, in the country's rural Midwest, has become a symbol of Trump's troubles as he seeks reelection on November 3.

a group of people standing in a room: Thad Nearmyer (C), the chair of the Republican Party in Jasper County, says Donald Trump is still the man for the White House, and says the country needs to © Eleonore SENS Thad Nearmyer (C), the chair of the Republican Party in Jasper County, says Donald Trump is still the man for the White House, and says the country needs to "move on" from coronavirus lockdowns

While Barack Obama won Jasper County in both 2008 and 2012, Trump touched a nerve here in the last election.

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He won Jasper by 18 percentage points over his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.

But this time, polls show Trump neck-and-neck with former vice president Joe Biden in the state, putting it in the column of key battlegrounds expected to decide who will be in the Oval Office come January.

Any troubles for Donald Trump in Iowa could trickle down to hurt other Republican candidates like incumbent Senator Joni Ernst © Eleonore SENS Any troubles for Donald Trump in Iowa could trickle down to hurt other Republican candidates like incumbent Senator Joni Ernst

- 'State is changing' -

Many voters in Newton have cast their ballots early, and officials expect record numbers will do so in the end.


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Craig Elthof initially supported Senator Bernie Sanders for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination, but has since lined up behind Biden.

Suburban women voters are expected to be key in the 2020 presidential election, in Iowa and elsewhere © Eleonore SENS Suburban women voters are expected to be key in the 2020 presidential election, in Iowa and elsewhere

"The state is changing, and I do think, too, that we've had a chance to see four years of Trump in action," he said after casting his ballot.

After saying yes to Trump in 2016, Iowa could say no to him in 2020

 After saying yes to Trump in 2016, Iowa could say no to him in 2020 © Supplied by The Point Michelle Smith lost her job when the Maytag washing machine factory in Newton closed a year ago fifteen years, in Iowa, leaving 2,000 employees on the floor. This Democrat sees in this the explanation of the success of Donald Trump in 2016: "People said to themselves + he's not a politician, he's a businessman: let's give him a chance to relaunch the economy".

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"And his record is not good. If you're paying attention, it's not good at all."

Republican voters however couldn't see it more differently, reflecting the deeply polarized state of the country.

"I feel President Trump has done a good job with pretty much everything -- the economy," said Keith Eckhart, a retiree who also voted early.

"There's a little question around the coronavirus, but I don't think Biden would have done anything different. In fact, I think he would have done a lot worse."

Thad Nearmyer, head of Jasper's Republican Party, said it was time to move forward with an economic recovery following coronavirus closures -- and that Trump is the person for the job.

"The economy is a huge, huge concern," he said, even though "there's been a little bit of spread around" of coronavirus.

Nearmyer had himself contracted Covid-19, but thinks "we need to just move on" -- a similar approach to Trump, who has spoken of being "immune" from the virus after recovering from his own battle with it.

Iowa long saw more than 1,000 infections per day among its three million residents, though that number has dropped in recent days.

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The Iowa Democratic Party says that the app was recording election data from the precincts properly, but it was failing to transmit all of it to headquarters. The party has not answered questions about how prepared it was for the volume of calls. On Caucus Night, county chairs were recruiting volunteers to

Now Cahaly says Trump will win Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Georgia, where most polls show a stalemate 'What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote , what we refer to as Two weeks out to the election some 35 million Americans have already voted .

- Suburban women key -

The Hawkeye State has only six electoral college votes out of the 270 needed to win the White House, but Trump visited the capital Des Moines last week in a bid to energize his base of support.

Suburban women could turn out to be a key demographic in Iowa and other states.

During a trip to Pennsylvania, Trump pleaded: "Suburban women, will you please like me?"

According to a poll from September, Biden led Trump by 20 points among women in Iowa.

While the state has leaned strongly Republican in recent years, it is becoming more favorable to Democrats due to demographic changes, said Karen Kedrowski, a professor of political science at Iowa State University.

"The population demographics are moving. The population is sorting and moving towards urban areas," she said.

"So all the fastest growing areas are in the Des Moines metropolitan area" and "suburban women are turning into being the crucial swing votes," Kedrowski added.

Should Trump lose Iowa, it could be a sign of a larger struggle for candidates who have strongly supported him.

One-third of the Senate is also up for election this year, including Iowa's Joni Ernst, a Republican trailing her Democratic rival in polls.

Republicans hold only a three-vote majority in the Senate, and Democrats are hoping to take control of the upper chamber of Congress after November 3.

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usr: 1
This is interesting!