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World New York’s ‘Mystery’ Surge in COVID Cases Is Freaking Experts Out

01:37  31 march  2021
01:37  31 march  2021 Source:   thedailybeast.com

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Almost half the US is reporting increased numbers of new Covid -19 cases as health experts warn of a potential coronavirus surge in the fall and winter.

The New York legislature is weighing a bill that would let the authorities take anyone suspected of having or being exposed to a contagious disease and hold them indefinitely - even forcibly medicating them. Under the new law, New Yorkers may be dragged out of their homes and locked up on mere Last month, a California neurologist published a paper claiming that belief in Covid -19 “conspiracy theories” was the result of brain damage and hinting that institutionalization might be the only option for these incurable “patients.” Unlike in a criminal case , authorities seeking to medically imprison some

Even though New York has one of the strictest mask mandates in the country, and one-third of the population has received at least one dose of the vaccine, COVID-19 infection rates are rising faster than any other state in the U.S.—and public health experts aren’t completely sure what’s behind the spike in new cases.

a man and a woman walking down a city street: Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty © Provided by The Daily Beast Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty

“The reality is that no one knows exactly why,” Dr. Irwin Redlener, a New York epidemiologist specializing in pandemic response, told The Daily Beast. “There are a lot of factors in New York that have to do with population density, lots of people who are in marginalized populations or living in poverty, and all of these factors tend to exacerbate spread and reduce access to vaccines. But one of my colleagues pointed out that this is not dissimilar to places like Detroit, where they are not seeing a surge.”

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Coronavirus cases in the US will spike after Thanksgiving, further stressing health care systems and prompting new restrictions, an emergency physician said Saturday, as states continued to report soaring numbers of new cases , hospitalizations and deaths.

Not yet there. Photo: Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images. On Monday morning, CDC director Dr. Rochelle Walensky issued an urgent — and at times emotional — plea for the country to stay vigilant against COVID -19 amid a more than 10 percent uptick in new cases nationwide, and a smaller but still notable rise in COVID hospitalizations and deaths. Fearing another wave of cases amid the rapidly reopening country’ s mass-vaccination drive, Walensky said she felt a sense of “impending doom,” and urged Americans to “just hold on a little longer” and not let down their guard.

After nearly three months on a downward trajectory, new coronavirus cases rose 64 percent in New York last week. State officials reported 67,963 new cases for the seven-day period, an increase of 26,557 from the previous week. This gives New York the dubious distinction of being the state in which COVID is spreading fastest on a per-person basis, according to a USA Today data analysis, and the biggest increase has been in New York City. About 55 New York City residents have died from COVID each day over the past two weeks, per New York magazine, higher than it was at any point from last August to the beginning of December.

At the same time, embattled New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo continues to relax COVID restrictions on indoor dining, recently allowing restaurants to operate at 50 percent capacity. Indoor fitness classes reopened statewide on Mar. 22 at 33 percent capacity, Yankee Stadium and Citi Field will soon open at 20 percent capacity, and New Yorkers are once again permitted to go to movie theaters (25 percent in New York City) and billiard halls (35 percent in the city, 50 percent elsewhere in the state).

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By The New York Times Updated March 27, 2021. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said on Saturday about 91.7 million people have received at least one dose of a Covid -19 vaccine, including about 50.1 million people who have been fully vaccinated by Johnson & Johnson’ s single-dose vaccine or the two-dose series made by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna.

New York Post. Medics are facing a surge of patients being admitted to intensive care with Covid in FranceCredit: AFP. More than 40,000 new cases are being recorded every day. A critic of Macron told Le Monde: "It is very naïve to claim that the president has epidemiological expertise because he reads COP OUT . Cops BAN alcohol in parks & beachgoers told to stay away as Brits enjoy Rule of 6.

“We’re not doing enough genomic surveillance,” said Redlener. “It may be that we’re dealing with some yet unidentified strains in New York. Unfortunately, the conclusion is we don't know why the New York Metro area is being hit. We don't have a lot of information that really explains this uniqueness. It’s a mystery that will eventually be unraveled—but not yet.”

The acceleration in new COVID cases also puzzles Lawrence Gostin, a public health law professor at Georgetown University who is affiliated with the World Health Organization. Sometimes, the reasons can be obvious, such as an influx of Spring Breakers gathering together at one time, he said. However, New York City isn’t a Spring Break destination. There may be other factors at play, according to Gostin, who speculated about three possibilities.

First, people have a tremendous amount of “pandemic fatigue,” and are itching to go out again. And it’s far easier to get COVID while seeing friends in a restaurant or bar than it is sitting six feet away from them in Central Park.

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Although cases of Covid -19 had been trending downward in the United States, experts are warning that we are now in a precarious place after cases nationwide ticked up this past week by 12 percent as 30 states plus D.C. reported a rise in infections. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’ s leading infectious disease expert and chief medical advisor to President Joe Biden, explained on Face the Nation, that often when cases decline and reach a plateau — like they have in the U. S . over the past month — there is a surge . “Once you stay at that plateau, you’re really in danger of a surge coming up,” Fauci

The U. S . has been incredibly fortunate to see COVID cases trending downwards nationwide for almost all of 2021. But despite the good news, experts are continuing to warn that the pandemic is far from over just yet, even though there has been an increase in the pace of vaccinations. Now, some are predicting that we might even see another COVID surge as springtime approaches. Read on to see why experts fear numbers will go up once again, and for more on when we might actually be able to put the PPE away, check out This Is When the COVID Pandemic Will Be Completely Over, Experts Say.

Second, Gostin pointed to the population density of New York City as a potential reason for the uptick in new cases.

“There are just a lot of people packed together,” he said. “Thirdly, I think the U.K. variant could be an explanation because it’s so much more transmissible than the original virus and that's also a contributor.”

The U.K. variant, or B117, is the main culprit behind any surge right now, believes Dr. Emily Landon, an infectious disease expert at the University of Chicago Medical Center. It’s the most aggressive and most dangerous, and leads to more deaths than the original permutation of the virus, she said.

“Every cough and sneeze from a person who has B117 has more virus in it than the others, and it takes fewer viral particles to make you sick,” Landon told The Daily Beast. “So it’s a double whammy. I don't think people understand that, really.”

Landon doesn’t see the New York surge—as well as a midwestern version of it happening now in her home state of Illinois—as much of a surprise.

“We knew for a while that the variants were going to begin to spread more rapidly, and our vaccine effort wasn't going to outpace that,” she said. “It’s a little bit like the tortoise and the hare: right now, the variants are the hare and the vaccines are the tortoise.”

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B117 is the COVID strain that’s pushing hospitalization numbers up for younger people across the country right now, said Landon. And while younger people tend not to get as sick as those who are older, she pointed out that even mild cases of COVID can lead to things like long-term organ damage.

Children with mild cases of COVID can also act as vectors, spreading it to family members, teachers, and others with whom they may come into close contact, according to Ryan Marino, a Cleveland, Ohio ER doctor who has treated patients who refused to believe COVID was real. This could also be contributing to the rise in COVID infections in places where schools have reopened for in-person learning, such as New York City.

Ignoring this “big part of the equation” is unwise, Marino said, adding that kids are “definitely catching the virus and spreading the virus.”

“It’s heartbreaking that we haven’t learned from 500,000 preventable deaths, and more that could be prevented if people didn’t have a need to be wall-to-wall bodies on Miami Beach,” he told The Daily Beast. “We really are very close to having some degree of control here, so it does feel kind of exasperating to see people kind of throwing caution to the wind when we’re in the home stretch.”

We’re close to the light at the end of the tunnel, said Gostin.

“Just hold on for another four to six weeks,” he said. “Then there are going to be enough people vaccinated to break the chains of transmission, and by spring and summer we’re going to see a significant drop in cases and a truly dramatic drop in hospitalizations and deaths.”

Read more at The Daily Beast.

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