World Is the face-to-face Macron-Le Pen still inevitable?

22:55  22 june  2021
22:55  22 june  2021 Source:   nouvelobs.com

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  Le face-à-face Macron-Le Pen est-il toujours inéluctable ? © Copyright 2021, Obs

No one can predict but everyone is employed. Thus, appointment had already been taken for the second round of the presidential election of 2022. The polls of voting intentions - simple instantaneous photos of opinion - were interpreted as the signs announcing an ineluctable duel: Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen. The revenge of 2017, really? Other studies indicated that a majority of French rejected this scenario too expected. And here is the first round of the regional calls into question the distribution of roles.

The right is good, disappointed in mess for the RN ... All the results of the regional

Certain, a local list of list where the abstention has beaten all the records (66%) is very different from a hyperpersonnaised presidential election . The too few voters who spoke last Sunday have understood it well. According to a survey of IFOP - still one! - 75% of them say they have determined their vote according to strictly regional issues. And therefore, no means tried to sanction Emmanuel Macron or to promote Marine Le Pen ...

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The great losers of the first round

he does not stop. The President of the Republic and his best enemy appear as the great losers of the first round. Given, before the ballot, in the lead in six regions and favorites in three, the candidates of Marine Le Pen no longer are nowhere in a position to win. Even Thierry Mariani, LR's defector, a favorite in Paca, now risks to fail after the withdrawal of the left list in favor of the outgoing right Renaud Muselier, who had made alliance with the Republic on the first round. At the national level, the national gathering only obtains 19% of the votes, against more than 27% to the regional 2015.

video: Macron / Le Pen against the French: the duel - 03/06 (BFMTV)

"The social anomie", this growing feeling that explains massive abstention

a cooking failure for the contending to the Elysee. And a burning question: if the polls have been deceived on the voting intentions for the RN in the regional, how to trust the studies that give Marine Le Pen at the top of the first round of the presidential election? Naguère under-declared in the voting intentions, would the epénist suffrage now overdict? The candidate shakes his supporters and exhorts them to "take five minutes of [their] time to make the voice of the people heard". The democratic mistrust that allowed him to prosper so far the plumb in his turn.

Emmanuel Macron played a great national cause and "an essential battle"

 Emmanuel Macron played a great national cause and © Jacques Witt / Pool / AFP After a crowd bath with a hundred people, Emmanuel Macron spent two hours in elementary school, where he greeted the children. Emmanuel Macron has erected on Thursday reading to the rank of great national cause, of the summer of 2021 in the summer of 2022, during a long displacement in the Hauts-de-France.

The left regains the virtues of the Union

Emmanuel Macron affects, a total indifference with respect to local elections undermined by abstention. And yet ... there may be lost its standard anti-Rn connectable standard. Distancing largely the frontier candidate in the Hauts-de-France, Xavier Bertrand triumphed without pain from the ministers launched to his pursuit and now claims to rally the voters on the right to his presidential plume. More unexpected: resuming colors, the socialist and environmentalist is the head and relend, in the Ile-de-France and in Loire Netherlands, the virtues of the Union. Will she overcome her divisions and find a gathering candidate for the presidential election? Only certainty: the regional vote proves that the game of the presidential elections remains much more open than it seems.

in the stronghold of Xavier Bertrand, happy support: "With him, we come to bring back anger"

the failure of the Republic on the move that captures only 10% of the votes at the national level demonstrates the extreme loneliness of the head of state. An so reduced electoral basis encourages to doubt presidential polls. The qualification in the second round against Marine Le Pen so certain? The strategists of Macronia reassure themselves by invoking the "outgoing premium" enjoyed by the regional notables on the right and left. "In April 2022, the outgoing, it will be Macron! ", Argue. And if French voters, experienced by the health crisis, had become legitimistical? At this point, it can only be presaged that they will vote en masse to the presidential election. To renew a lease? Or to get out of the outgoing, as they took the habit? The suspense remains whole.

Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron suffer humiliating results in French regional elections .
France's far-right have endured another miserable night in the country's regional elections, with Marine Le Pen's National Rally failing to win any of the dozen mainland areas where it stood. © Reuters Emmanuel Macron pictured meeting Marine Le Pen in 2019 Following a spate of disappointing results at the polls earlier this month, its candidates were once again largely rejected as other voters appeared to come together to prevent a breakthrough.

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