World in Brazil, in J-6 of the presidential election, Lula Grand Favorite, a possible victory in the 1st round

18:00  26 september  2022
18:00  26 september  2022 Source:   leparisien.fr

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L'ancien président Lula (2003-2010), de nouveau candidat à la tête du pays, lors d'un rassemblement dans une école à Rio de Janeiro, le 25 septembre 2022. AFP/Mauro Pimentel © Mauro Pimentel The former President Lula (2003-2010), again candidate at the head of the country, during 'A rally in a school in Rio de Janeiro, September 25, 2022. AFP/Mauro Pimentel Last Strength of an ultra-popular electoral campaign summarizing in a merciless duel between Jair Bolsonaro and Lula , including The election in the first round seems possible. 11 candidates for the presidential election in Brazil align at the start, but it is the struggle between former leftist president Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva (47% of the voting intentions according to the last DataFolha survey) and the president of 'Extreme right Jair Bolsonaro (33%) who monopolizes attention, while the first round of the ballot takes place on Sunday October 2. "We have to talk to the undecided and those who plan to go by," Lula said in a meeting this Sunday in front of thousands of support at the Samba Portela school in Rio. It is with consistency that opinion surveys have been granting a third term to direct the first power of Latin America for months to the one who has already presided Brazil from 2003 to 2010 and who represents the workers' party (PT, Left ). The issue of "useful vote" The old metalo had left power on stratospheric approval rates (87%), before knowing the disgrace of the prison for corruption (2018-2019) and being prevented to represent yourself. His election, at 76, would mark a remarkable comeback . "The polls say that there is a real possibility that Lula wins in the first round" of October 2, notes Fernanda Magnotta, analyst at the FAAP Foundation, in Sao Paulo. Lula could benefit from the "useful vote" if "the voters of less competitive candidates such as Ciro Gomes migrate to him", she explains, about the candidate of Center left, 3rd in the polls (7%). The "useful vote", which is a lot talked about, has become the dominant theme of Lula's campaign. In recent days, he has surfed a wave of support: ex-president Fernando Henrique Cardoso (1995-2003) asked Brazilians to vote "for democracy", his ex-minister of the Marina Silva S 'environment is rallied to him after a long quarrel. Politicians and left -wing intellectuals from Latin America have asked Ciro Gomes to retire to facilitate Lula's victory. But outgoing president Jair Bolsonaro, 67, is far from admitted defeated . On Friday, he assured during a meeting in the Minas Gerais (southeast): "We are going to defeat in the 1st round". "If God wants it, we will win in the first round," he repeated live on social networks on Sunday. "The other camp does not bring the people into the street, how would they win in the first round? It seems difficult to me ... No: impossible. Final point, ”he added. Brazilian remake of the Capitol assault? On Telegram, Bolsonarist networks are campaigning to explain that if their champion is not elected on October 2, the election will have been fraudulent. The fear of a Brazilian remake of the Capitol assault is in all minds. "It can be dangerous," says Fernanda Magnotta, according to whom "Bolsonaro will most likely invoke electoral fraud, like Donald Trump, and that will galvanize his supporters". False information surge like never on social networks. They are also abundantly relayed by the presidential themselves, on television, and until the UN tribune last Tuesday by Jair Bolsonaro . The former army captain can count on battalions of supporters ready for anything. He himself violently attacked the institutions of the young Brazilian democracy, such as the Supreme Court, and led a virulent campaign against electronic polls, which would promote "fraud". But suddenly lowering the tone, this unpredictable president also said that if he lost, he would withdraw from politics. It is therefore impossible to predict the continuation of events on the evening of the first round. This Bolsonaro and Lula campaign was more marked by personal attacks - "thief", "incompetent" - than by the presentation of programs. The daily O Globo called on Saturday Lula to propose "a coherent economic project" because "if he wins, no one knows how he will govern". The theme of the environment and the climate, in this country housing the Amazon, has passed through the hatch, contrary to hunger, inflation or corruption, concerns of the majority of 214 million Brazilians. The candidates crisscrossed the gigantic Brazil and held countless meetings in bulletproof vests.

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usr: 1
This is interesting!