Research Are We Headed For 'Peak SUV?'

18:35  15 december  2017
18:35  15 december  2017 Source:   forbes.com

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Hey, if we ’ll all be owning self-driving vehicles in the next 20 or 30 years as some industry prognosticators predict, they might as well be comfortable Or in another 10 years we could be talking about the unexpected emergence of crossover compact pickup trucks and their adverse effect on

Similar from the Web. Are We Headed For ' Peak SUV '? - www.forbes.com. Bentley Bentayga Sport Coupe- SUV Coming In 2019? Pricing details have not been disclosed, but we do know the Pikes Peak Bentayga uses the standard biturbo 6.0-liter W12 engine hooked up to the same eight-speed ZF

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Perhaps an SUV in name only, the Land Rover Range Rover Evoque is uniquely available as a two-door convertible. (Land Rover via AP Images)

The conventional wisdom in the car business is that the days of the hallowed family sedan are numbered, soon to be replaced by all shapes, sizes, and demeanors of sport-utility vehicles.



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To be sure passenger-car sales are sputtering. According to Autodata, they’re down by 10.3% year-to-date over the first 11 months of 2016, while crossover SUVs are up by 8.7%. And the market is expanding far beyond its core of growing families to encompass singles and empty nesters, as evidenced by a spike in both supply and demand among small crossovers. Sales here are led by the compact Nissan Rogue (up by 25.5% so far this year), Chevrolet Equinox (+19.8%), and Toyota RAV4 (+19.1%).

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Peak code is a ridiculous idea. I'm sure a liberal arts academic who had written a paper on peak oil pontificated over a glass of chardonnay that software was So Have we hit peak music? Why would some people feel that we 're eventually going to create "most of the code that will ever be needed"?

We are now just two thirds of the way through 2013 but there have been more papers about autism published this year than in the whole of 2011 (as pointed out by Michelle Dawson). Autism diagnoses are rising and so are autism publications. Will they peak ?

The ice-coldest segment of the new-vehicle market right now is among large cars, with sales plunging by a whopping 24.7% so far this year, as even the segment’s most-stalwart customers, namely law enforcement agencies, are replacing pursuit sedans with SUVs.

Automakers unveiled no fewer than a dozen new SUVs at this year’s Los Angeles Auto Show, and the genre now encompasses models from nameplates not usually associated with trucks like Bentley, Jaguar, and Maserati, with other exotic nameplates including Lamborghini, Rolls-Royce, and even Ferrari readying crossovers of their own.

Car companies are extending their lines with a parade of ever-smaller crossovers, including the just-introduced subcompact Ford EcoSport and the coming Nissan Kicks and Hyundai Kona. At the other end of size spectrum, there’s a new large crossover coming from Subaru, the Ascent, while Lexus stretches the RX to accommodate a third-row seat in a new 350L version.

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We can't program around every future. And in ideal worlds, we might extend Sachs argument to anything at all: bridges, recipes, art, architecture. What's to say that the situation is so different from that of an architect or civil engineer? Is there some similar anxiety in those fields?

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With fewer market niches to fill, automakers are slicing and dicing SUV categories to help meet the demand, with brands like BMW and Mercedes-Benz extending their present model lines with swoopy four-door-coupe-like crossovers that emphasize the “sport” in SUV, but at the expense of their overall “utility.” And then there’s the compact The Range Rover Evoqu, which is alternately available in a two-door convertible version.

According to the research firm LMC Automotive, more than 150 different SUVs will be clogging the U.S. market by 2020, which is double the number buyers found in dealers’ showrooms back in 2010.

On the downside, both transaction prices and average fuel consumption among new vehicles are rising in direct correlation with the popularity of crossover SUVs, which tend to be costlier and less fuel-efficient than comparably sized sedans. The average fuel economy of new vehicles sold in the U.S. in November was 25.0 mpg, which is up 4.9 mpg since October 2007, according to the University of Michigan’s Transportation Research Institute. What’s more, the average new-vehicle transaction price reached hit a new all-time high of $35,852 last month, according to Edmunds.com, which represents a 2.3% increase over November 2016, and is 12.1% higher than it was in November of 2012.

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Previous. Next. 1 of 8. Shortly after sibling brand Volkswagen smashed the overall record at the Pikes Peak International Hill Climb, Bentley set a new record for production SUVs with its Bentayga. The big Bentley climbed the 12.4-mile course to the summit of Colorado’s Pikes Peak in 10:49.9

Some wonder if the market might not become saturated before long, with fickle consumers, abruptly moving on to another, even unexpected genre – let’s say crossover pickup trucks for the sake of argument – just as they did back when they ditched station wagons for minivans, then moved on to truck-based SUVs, and eventually crossover SUVs. And those were family buyers, today’s crossover market has expanded greatly to encompass a rich stew of demographics.

Perhaps a better way for automakers to address the growing dominance of these tall wagons is instead of just building more crossovers, to try making their car lines more crossover-like. That means somehow bucking the “longer and lower” trend that has dominated auto design since the post-World War II era to make the next generation of sedans more amenable to a wider range of consumers (some of which may, unfortunately, run counter to the purposeful emphasis on making a car’s aerodynamics ever sleeker to help meet increasingly strict fuel economy requirements).

That means, among other things, making it easier for taller riders to climb in and out of a passenger car, especially in the rear where swoopy roof designs and odd door shapes too-often require a contortionist’s talents to access. A taller roofline affords added headroom, while a slightly taller ground clearance and more upright seating position helps improve a vehicle’s outward visibility. And if we’ll all be owning self-driving vehicles in the next 20 or 30 years as some industry prognosticators predict, they might as well be comfortable, right?

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And are we close to reaching a peak ? For now, crossovers and SUVS are salvaging the industry's growth. Sales of SUVs and sport wagons rose 6 America's sudden affection for crossovers comes in sharp contrast to a decade ago when the nation's gas prices peaked above a gallon and drove

“ Peak SUV ”. There’s no shortage of SUVs and crossovers to choose from these days, with more offerings to come from ultra-luxury automakers like Aston “ SUVs have become such a big part of the business,” he noted. “ We are able to design SUVs that are more car-like in terms of how they behave.

This type of approach is not without precedent. Faced with a burgeoning interest in SUVs, but with no model of its own to sell at the time, Subaru took its Legacy station wagon, jacked up its ground clearance a few inches, and added sport-utility styling cues to create the 1994 Outback, which is regarded as the first contemporary crossover vehicle. For a time, Subaru also offered Outback versions of the Legacy sedan, but that was an idea whose time had yet to come. Volvo has since taken more or less the same approach with Cross-Country versions of not only its V60 and V90 station wagons, but the S60 sedan, which could provide the template for future crossover sedans.

Or in another 10 years we could be talking about the unexpected occurrence of crossover pickup trucks sitting in the nation’s driveways.

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