Canada: The Doug Ford factor looms large in the federal election - PressFrom - Canada
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Canada The Doug Ford factor looms large in the federal election

18:41  09 october  2019
18:41  09 october  2019 Source:   msn.com

ANALYSIS: Ontario’s unpopular premier could be the deciding factor for GTA voters

  ANALYSIS: Ontario’s unpopular premier could be the deciding factor for GTA voters Doug Ford is political poison in Ontario right now. But Conservative leader Andrew Scheer believes he has the antidote: Invoke the name of Kathleen Wynne.There are 55 seats densely packed together from Oshawa in the east, to Burlington in the west, to Newmarket in the north. You can drive from end to end in a few hours. It’s home to the country’s busiest airport and the assignment desks of most of the country’s major news organizations.

Doug Ford shakes up cabinet amid controversies. Cuts to health care and education, the bungled autism funding, and Ford ’s hollow promise that not one It’s probably no coincidence that the Ontario legislature won’t resume sitting until the week after the federal election . Scheer’s team deny that

But Scheer is trying to distance himself from Ford . Abigail Bimman explains why. Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is campaigning in Ontario, a vote-rich province which elected Conservative Doug Ford as premier.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford tries on his new cowboy hat at the Alberta Premier's Stampede breakfast during the Calgary Stampede in Calgary, Alberta, Canada July 8, 2019. REUTERS/Todd Korol© Getty Ontario Premier Doug Ford tries on his new cowboy hat at the Alberta Premier's Stampede breakfast during the Calgary Stampede in Calgary, Alberta, Canada July 8, 2019. REUTERS/Todd Korol

TORONTO — Doug Ford may have kept his promise to stay out of the federal election spotlight, but it was inevitable that he would be front and centre anyway.

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau has seized onto the Ontario premier's tanking popularity and tried to anchor it to federal Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, invoking Ford's name at every turn as a harbinger of Conservative doom and gloom.

"He's Premier Bogeyman," said Scott Reid, a former adviser to Liberal prime minister Paul Martin. "For the Liberals that means he's a walking, talking, sometimes shouting, example to voters in Ontario of what you'll get federally if you vote for Andrew Scheer."

How a school strike in Ontario could affect the election

  How a school strike in Ontario could affect the election As hard as Ontario Premier Doug Ford is trying to stay out of the federal election, the provincial political climate is threatening to drag him back into the campaign in a big way.That's because some 55,000 education workers in Ontario are poised to strike on Monday if they do not reach a contract deal by then. Such a strike has the potential to shut down classes for many of the 2 million students in Ontario's school system.

BILL KELLY: ‘ Ford Factor ’ looms large in fall federal election . For his part, Ford said he won’t get involved in Scheer’s campaign despite the The federal Conservative campaign source told Global News Kenney is likely to appear alongside Scheer when the federal leader campaigns in Alberta.

Although Premier Doug Ford announced this summer that his government would take an extra-long break until after the federal election , and lay low during the campaign, Angus Reid Institute data released this week finds Ford by far the most likely premier to impact federal race, and largely to the

Ford's Progressive Conservatives won a majority government last summer after a campaign full of populist promises such as cheaper gas, buck-a-beer and lower taxes. But his cuts to services and programs like legal aid, student loans, tree planting and public health have angered many in the province.

Recent polling has his approval ratings in the 20s and 30s, and Abacus Data found in July that 65 per cent of Ontarians had a negative impression of Ford, up from 48 per cent last October.

Trudeau has been suggesting that Ford and Scheer are one in the same, saying often that Conservatives promise to be "for the people" — a nod to Ford's campaign slogan — but make cuts once in office.

"Exhibit A? Doug Ford," Trudeau said Wednesday. "Larger classes for your kids and less support for your communities. That's the real cost of buck-a-beer. And now, Andrew Scheer wants Canadians to double down on Conservative politicians like Doug Ford."

Here’s how often Trudeau has called out Harper, Ford instead of Scheer

  Here’s how often Trudeau has called out Harper, Ford instead of Scheer Global News tallied up how often the two main rivals for power went after each other — or not.But just how much more?

Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is campaigning in Ontario, a vote-rich province which elected Conservative Doug Ford as premier. But Scheer is trying to distance himself from Ford . Abigail Bimman explains why.

The “ Doug Ford factor ” that some federal Conservatives worried would hurt their chances in Ontario this election appears to be very real, and especially significant, suggests a new survey conducted in partnership between the Angus Reid Institute and Postmedia.

The Liberals have also pledged to fund programs that Ford's government cut, including the tree-planting program and refugee and immigration legal aid services. Trudeau also waded into a labour dispute between the province and its education workers earlier this week, holding a photo op with teachers on a day that schools were set to close due to a strike that was averted at the last minute.

Amanda Galbraith, a principal at communications firm Navigator and a former Conservative staffer, said the Liberals need to demonize someone to whip up their base and motivate voters, and Ford has a higher profile than Scheer in Ontario.

"I think you're going to see the prime minister campaign against the premier and not the Opposition leader, which I think says a lot about how he feels about his chances against campaigning head to head with that Opposition leader," she said.

Scheer has not appeared with Ford — or mentioned the premier's name — during the campaign. He has said that he is ready to run against Trudeau, but the Liberal leader is desperate to run against anyone other than him.

Amid the threat of province-wide school closures, where is Premier Doug Ford?

  Amid the threat of province-wide school closures, where is Premier Doug Ford? When asked about the premier's current whereabouts, Yelich said, "The premier is in Ontario." She did not provide further details. Government sources not authorized to speak publicly say advisors are telling the premier to stay out of the news until the federal election campaign is over.Conservative leader Andrew Scheer has distanced himself from Ford and has not been pictured with the premier since the writ dropped.Scheer has campaigned with other prominent conservative leaders, however, including Alberta Premier Jason Kenney. This weekend both are scheduled to appear together once again.

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau criticized Ontario Premier Doug Ford for various cuts, including to public education and health, saying it was not "for the people."

The 2019 Canadian federal election (formally the 43rd Canadian general election ) is scheduled to take place on October 21, 2019, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 43rd Canadian

"You seem to be oddly obsessed with provincial politics," Scheer told Trudeau during Monday's debate. "There is a vacancy for the Ontario Liberal leadership and if you're so focused on provincial politics, go and run for the leadership of that party."

Ford has been noticeably absent from the public eye, making himself available to answer journalists' questions just once since the election campaign began on Sept. 11. The legislature was supposed to return from a summer break in early September, but Ford recessed it until after the election. His office doesn't release his itineraries, but his social media posts show him making only a handful of public appearances, largely at community barbecues and parties.

That is in stark contrast to Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, who has been actively campaigning for Scheer, including in Ford's own west-Toronto stomping grounds.

Ford's poll numbers are just one factor why Scheer is not campaigning arm-in-arm with him, said Galbraith. The Conservatives need to define Scheer as his own person, she said.

'Obsessed' Justin Trudeau Should Run For Ontario Liberals: Andrew Scheer

  'Obsessed' Justin Trudeau Should Run For Ontario Liberals: Andrew Scheer TORONTO — Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau could turn his Doug Ford fascination into something productive with a run for the Ontario Liberal leadership, Andrew Scheer suggested Monday. “You seem to be oddly obsessed with provincial politics,” the Conservative leader said to Trudeau during the federal leaders’ debate in Gatineau, Que. “You seem to be oddly obsessed with provincial politics,” the Conservative leader said to Trudeau during the federal leaders’ debate in Gatineau, Que. “There is a vacancy for the Ontario Liberal leadership and if you’re so focused on provincial politics, go and run for the leadership of that party.

Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is campaigning in Ontario, a vote-rich province which elected Conservative Doug Ford as premier. But Scheer is trying to distance himself from Ford . Abigail Bimman explains why.

‘ Ford Factor ’ looms large in fall federal election . Jun 25 2019 — Bill Kelly — Global News — A year ago, Doug Ford was the superstar of Conservatives from coast to Jan 7 2019 — Bill Kelly — Global News — There’s great anticipation among Canadian voters about the federal election later this year.

Barry Kay, a political science professor at Wilfrid Laurier University, said voters don't yet have a strong sense of Scheer.

"In Ontario, people don't know who he is, and that's given the Liberals the opportunity to tie him to a very unpopular premier," he said.

David Coletto, the CEO of Abacus Data, said not only is Ford a factor in Ontario, but nationally. Abacus did some recent polling on the profile of several premiers, and while most Canadians said they didn't know enough about the premiers of Alberta, British Columbia and Quebec, just 10 per cent said they didn't know enough to form an opinion of Ford — and 54 had a negative impression.

"You compare Doug Ford to even the four major party leaders federally, he is more unpopular nationally than any of them," Coletto said.

Provincially, Ford has lost the support of about 15 per cent of those who voted for him last year, Coletto's polling has found. Federally, there is a slice of about 10 per cent of voters who supported Ford in the last Ontario election but voted Liberal in the last federal election.

"The sheer unpopularity of the premier with those kind of key swing voters...that's the key group," Coletto said. "They have been for the most part turned off by a lot of what Doug Ford has done. He may get them back in time for his election, but I'm not sure he's helping Andrew Scheer right now."

How the 'Doug Ford strategies' are playing out in the election campaign .
With voting day just a weekend away, there are questions about the effectiveness of the Liberal Party's dominant campaign strategy in Ontario: invoking Premier Doug Ford to try to drag down Andrew Scheer's Conservatives.CBC's Poll Tracker data for Ontario suggests the tactics of Justin Trudeau's party are working to some extent: the Conservatives have not come within three percentage points of the Liberals in the province at any time in the campaign, and are currently trailing by more than six points.

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