Canada: Canadians go to the polls Monday. The race is tied – and still boring. - - PressFrom - Canada
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Canada Canadians go to the polls Monday. The race is tied – and still boring.

19:15  19 october  2019
19:15  19 october  2019 Source:   washingtonpost.com

Odds of a minority government rise, Liberal chances drop as Bloc surges in polls

  Odds of a minority government rise, Liberal chances drop as Bloc surges in polls Gains by the Bloc in Quebec are erasing the Liberals' enduring seat advantage over the Conservatives. But in the rural regions of Quebec and the francophone areas in and around Montreal, the Liberals had been banking on winning seats with relatively low shares of the vote, benefiting from a vote split between the Conservatives, Bloc and New Democrats.That logic no longer holds now that the Bloc has moved into first place among francophones and (as a consequence) in the regions that were being targeted by the Liberals. That has the potential to paint dozens of seats Bloc blue rather than Liberal red.

Canadians go to the polls on 21 October, four years after Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party swept to power. But things aren't as clear-cut this time around, with several other parties rising in the polls . Here's a visual look at some key issues and themes which could shape the outcome on election night.

On Monday , Canadians will go to the polls to elect a new parliament. This election will decide the fate of liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau Canada has long had a selective immigration policy, giving it an immigrant population that ’s fundamentally different from that of most other western democracies.

a man holding a sign: Liberal leader and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau waves after boarding his bus as he campaigns for the upcoming election in Whitby, Ontario, on Oct. 18. (Stephane Mahe/Reuters)© Stephane Mahe/Reuters Liberal leader and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau waves after boarding his bus as he campaigns for the upcoming election in Whitby, Ontario, on Oct. 18. (Stephane Mahe/Reuters)

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

Four years after winning a come-from-behind victory, Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party is now neck and neck with Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives, polling at 31 percent and 32 percent, respectively. Since the election was called on Sept. 11, the parties have jockeyed with each other for first place, always within two percentage points of one another in the polling averages. That makes this one of the most tightly fought Canadian elections in living memory.

Scheer, Singh make confident pitch to voters as polls move to favour Conservatives

  Scheer, Singh make confident pitch to voters as polls move to favour Conservatives Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer is asking for a mandate to govern with increasing confidence as shifting polls favour his party to win the most seats for the first time in this campaign. Meanwhile, Jagmeet Singh is urging voters to park their votes with the NDP, despite poor polling numbers."I believe that Canadians are going to be very happy with that choice to vote Conservative," he told supporters on Saturday in B.C.

Canadians are heading to the polls today for what promises to be one of the closest elections in the country's history. The fact that there are multiple left-of-center standard bearers means that even though a majority of Canadians favor progressive parties this election season, Harper could still win

How much should Canadians trust the polls before they cast their ballots? For those who intend to vote strategically, should you base your vote on the latest polling data? Strategic voters need to ask themselves: Am I in a riding where it is going to be close enough that a strategic vote will even matter?

It’s been pretty dull, eh

That said, it has also been one of the most boring campaigns. Apart from the stunning revelations that Trudeau, a politician who built his reputation on being sensitive to social justice, repeatedly wore blackface and brownface both when he was a high school student and as a high school teacher, there have been few dramatic developments.

Scheer promised to reinstate a tax credit that would help parents with the cost of children’s sports, including hockey. Trudeau arrived at a news conference in a canoe, promising government grants to allow low-income Canadians to go camping. But for the most part, nothing much has happened.

It’s likely to be a minority government

Canadian federal elections are in fact 338 local elections, with each district — known in Canada as a riding — electing one member to the House of Commons, much as happens with the U.S. House of Representatives. Whichever party can command the support of a majority of members of the House, or at least 170 seats, forms a government with its leader as prime minister. Right now, seat projections suggest the Liberals will win 137 seats and the Conservatives 125. As a result, the major parties will have to forge alliances with smaller parties to determine who forms a government.

After the Bloc's gains in Quebec, Liberals now have another worry: a climbing NDP

  After the Bloc's gains in Quebec, Liberals now have another worry: a climbing NDP Jagmeet Singh's NDP is gaining in the polls after last week's English-language debate.That's because the NDP is having a bit of a moment. Both the Liberals and Conservatives appear to be losing steam, while the New Democrats have momentum heading into the election campaign's crucial final week.

She Went to the Races is a 1945 American comedy film directed by Willis Goldbeck and starring James Craig, Frances Gifford and Ava Gardner. The screenplay concerns a team of scientists who discover a seemingly foolproof way of discovering the winner of horse races .

As Canadians head to the polls , the prime minister’s do-gooder image is in shambles. At the time, the prime minister, who is up for reelection on Monday , was seeking a special prosecutorial arrangement for SNC-Lavalin, a large engineering and construction firm headquartered in Montreal.

Kingmakers …

Three smaller parties will almost certainly win seats Monday: the socialist New Democratic Party, the environmentalist Greens, and the Quebec separatists in the Bloc Québécois. The NDP has ruled out supporting a Conservative minority government because of Scheer’s past opposition to same-sex marriage. The Green Party has said that neither major party’s environmental agenda is strong enough to merit its support. But Scheer supports oil and gas development far more strongly than does Trudeau, and wants to scrap the Liberals’ carbon tax. If push comes to shove, the Greens are likely to choose the Liberals as the lesser of two evils.

The Tories, for their part, won’t want a formal coalition with the Bloc Québécois, which is dedicated to having Quebec secede from Canada. If that’s the Conservatives’ only hope for forming a government, however, they may try to work with the bloc issue by issue. But doing so may have a high cost. The Conservatives want to build a pipeline to carry oil from petroleum-rich Alberta in the Canadian Rockies to the Atlantic Coast. Doing so would require going through Quebec, which the bloc sternly opposes.

Montrealers flock to advance polls to cast their ballots

  Montrealers flock to advance polls to cast their ballots Montrealers flocked to the polls to cast their ballot during advance polling over the holiday weekend. "It was just incredible," said Claude Landry, the Elections Canada returning officer for the riding of Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount. "First day we had 3,000 electors, the next two days we had close to 3,000 each day, so that's quite busy."According to Elections Canada, more people are showing up to vote in advance not only in Montreal but across the country.In the first two days of advance voting, two million Canadians cast votes - a 25 per cent increase compared to the same period in 2015 when 1.

Canadians cast votes for parliament Monday , after an 11-week campaign. It's the longest in Canada 's modern history — and one of the most contentious. Canadians are casting votes for Parliament after an 11-week campaign. Now, that might strike Americans as rather brief, but it is actually the longest in

What does go to the polls expression mean? Definitions by the largest Idiom Dictionary. A sense of unrelenting hopelessness exists among the nation's poor, and one is left with the sobering impression of Canadian policy makers continuing to prove George Santayana's maxim, that " those who cannot

Of course, whether a combination of the Liberal, NDP and Green parties will hold more seats than the Conservatives and the Bloc Québécois will be determined by the voters.

… and spoilers

To Scheer’s chagrin, the right-wing Maxime Bernier may also win a seat in the House of Commons. Scheer and Bernier fought each other for the Conservative leadership in 2017. After 13 rounds of voting, Scheer beat Bernier by less than one percentage point. Bernier then quit the Conservatives to form the People’s Party of Canada (PPC) with himself as leader. The People’s Party views itself as crusading against the “globalist” agenda and has vowed to cut immigration by more than half. Critics call the party an alt-right organization.

The PPC is polling at less than 3 percent in polls nationally and doesn’t have a chance to win seats outside Bernier’s riding of Beauce, Quebec, where Bernier remains personally popular. But it could bleed support from the Conservatives in other tight races, allowing the Liberals to claim those seats, thus denying Scheer a chance to be prime minister. Given the animosity between Scheer and Bernier, this may be exactly what the latter wants.

Canadians casting ballots after divisive campaign, and amid tight polls

  Canadians casting ballots after divisive campaign, and amid tight polls Canadians casting ballots after divisive campaign, and amid tight pollsPolls have officially opened across the country and millions of Canadians are expected to cast their ballots in this country's 43rd federal election, which many experts believe will result in a hung Parliament.

“We are going to win on Monday , yeah. I am very optimistic," Mr. Scheer replied. But days before Canadians will cast their vote and as polls continue to show the Conservatives and the Liberals are The tight race between the Liberal and Conservatives in the polls continues, according to Thursday’s

Canadians are heading to the polls today for what promises to be one of the closest elections in the country's history. Canada has a parliamentary system, where the leader of the political party that wins the most of the seats in the House of Commons automatically becomes prime minister after the

If Bernier fails to win his seat, the PPC probably will fade away after this election. The Conservatives have made defeating Bernier a priority, running a popular local mayor against him. Bernier has also received pushback from an unlikely source: the Rhinoceros Party. A satirical party first formed in 1963, it lay largely dormant until it tracked down another person named Maxime Bernier to run in the same district against the People’s Party leader in the hopes of confusing PPC supporters. So if the PPC gets gored to death this election, Canadians may have a humorous horn-nosed herbivore to thank.

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Tyler Kustra has been a visiting fellow at Harvard University and has served as an economic adviser to the Parliament of Canada. He is a research fellow at the Center for Defense and Security Studies at the University of Manitoba.

'Human error' blamed for long delay reporting results in Ontario riding .
OTTAWA — Elections Canada is blaming "human error" for having left federal candidates in one southern Ontario riding waiting the better part of a day to find out who garnered the most votes in Monday's election. Preliminary results from Monday night's vote showed Liberal candidate Tim Louis leading Conservative incumbent Harold Albrecht by fewer than 300 votes with all but five polls having reported in. Yet by Tuesday morning, those five polls still hadn't been reported, leaving the race in limbo.

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