Canada: Liberals have slight edge over Tories in close race in battleground Ontario - - PressFrom - Canada
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Canada Liberals have slight edge over Tories in close race in battleground Ontario

05:40  22 october  2019
05:40  22 october  2019 Source:   msn.com

Here’s what election strategists are saying in the week before Election Day

  Here’s what election strategists are saying in the week before Election Day Strategists on the West Block had some advice for federal party leaders poised to set out on their last week on the campaign trail.The most recent Ipsos poll conducted for Global News showed the Liberals and Conservatives virtually tied, with support for the Liberals at 35 per cent and for the Tories at 34 per cent.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party edged ahead with a two-point lead over its Conservative rival, within the margin of error, according to The New Democratic Party was third with 18.4% support. Canadians vote on Monday in what’s expected to be one of the closest races in the

A new poll suggests Liberals hold a comfortable lead over the governing Conservatives nationwide, as well as in battleground Ontario . They were followed by the Tories at 26 per cent and New Democrats at 23 per cent. Aside from an uptick in Liberal support of four points from Harris-Decima's

TORONTO — The Liberals are leading in key Toronto-area ridings in a province that could make or break electoral hopes with nearly one-third of the country's seats.

With results just starting to trickle in after polls closed at 9:30 p.m., the Liberals so far appear poised to grab more seats in the province than the Tories.

The NDP was leading in five ridings, including in some northern Ontario seats that the Liberals had won in 2015.

Ontario, and in particular the suburbs of the Greater Toronto Area, played host to the leaders of the three major parties far more than any other region.

The so-called 905 area ringing Toronto and southwestern Ontario is home to several swing ridings that were considered up for grabs  — and key to victory.

Liberals resilient in close race with Tories for Toronto's critical 'burbs: poll

  Liberals resilient in close race with Tories for Toronto's critical 'burbs: poll OTTAWA — The Liberals are showing resilience in the crucial, tightly contested fight to win votes in Toronto's so-called "905" suburbs, a new poll suggests. But the Leger poll suggests any success the Liberals have holding off challengers might have less to do with newfound popularity for the Liberals than with concerns about a return of the Conservatives to power in Ottawa. The poll, found that 43 per cent of respondents in Toronto's suburbsBut the Leger poll suggests any success the Liberals have holding off challengers might have less to do with newfound popularity for the Liberals than with concerns about a return of the Conservatives to power in Ottawa.

Tight regional races are emerging between the Liberals and Conservatives in the battle for Ontario , a new poll finds. A recently released Mainstreet The Conservatives also appear to be stronger in south central Ontario with a three per cent lead over the Liberals , which have about 26 per cent support.

Both the Tories and Liberals could potentially emerge with a majority government, but overall the PCs appear The regional breakdown. The Liberals are able to pull an equal amount of seats to the Tories at a That Liberal dominance in Toronto does not extend to the suburbs, where the race is far closer .

The province's leader was a central focus for Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau's re-election campaign, as he constantly name-dropped Premier Doug Ford, invoking the spectre of "doubling down" on Conservative governments and cuts.

He attempted to tie Ford to Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer like an anchor to sink Tory prospects in the province that holds nearly a third of the country's seats.

Scheer and Ford themselves took massive pains to avoid helping voters make that connection. Scheer nearly managed to make it through the campaign without even saying Ford's name, and the Tories dispatched Alberta Premier Jason Kenney to stump for Conservative votes in Ontario, including on Ford's own turf. Ford kept an extremely low profile, making few public appearances and avoiding questions from reporters except on two occasions in northern Ontario.

Trudeau accuses Tories of running 'one of the dirtiest, nastiest campaigns'

  Trudeau accuses Tories of running 'one of the dirtiest, nastiest campaigns' MONTREAL — Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau says the Conservatives are running one of the dirtiest, nastiest campaigns based on disinformation that Canada has ever seen. Trudeau went on to say that Canadians are saddened to see some parties running polarizing and negative campaigns using tactics imported from other countries. Over the weekend, a security threat forced Trudeau to wear a bulletproof vest at an event, and the next day he lamented the divisive nature of the campaign.He said the Conservatives are adopting the politics of fear and negativity, though he did not blame them for the security threat.

In Ontario , the survey found the Liberals and Tories in a statistical dead heat, with 38 per cent and 35 per cent support respectively. The NDP was a distant third with 15 per cent while the Greens had 10 per cent.

OTTAWA—The opposition Conservatives maintain an edge over the governing Liberals among decided and leaning voters, according to the latest Forum Research “I think there’s a possibility that reaction to some of (Premier Doug) Ford’s initiatives are starting to taint the federal Tories in Ontario .”

Ford's Progressive Conservatives won a majority government last summer on the strength of a campaign replete with populist promises but also an electorate eager for change following 15 years of Liberal governments.

Since then, however, Ford's popularity has tanked, thanks in part to a wide range of cuts in his first budget and a variety of patronage scandals.

Trudeau was trying to entice voters who helped elect Ford in 2018 and may now be regretting that choice — polling suggests that may be 10 to 15 per cent of last year's Tory voters — and scare left-leaning voters into coalescing around the Liberals.

"The NDP wasn't able to stop Doug Ford," Trudeau said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2019.

Allison Jones, The Canadian Press

Regionalism is nothing new .
Scott Matthews: Politics are not significantly more regionalized today than they were in 2015. But Quebec is the anomaly.A prominent theme in the wave of commentary on last week’s election is Canada’s increasing regionalism. Indeed, it’s hard not to see a reflection of the highly fragmented politics of the 1990s in the outcome of Oct. 21, 2019, particularly looking at the colouring of Elections Canada’s map of national results.

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