Canada: How B.C. voted: Liberals punished, Green breakthrough fades - - PressFrom - Canada
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Canada How B.C. voted: Liberals punished, Green breakthrough fades

10:40  22 october  2019
10:40  22 october  2019 Source:   vancouversun.com

NDP sees surge of support from B.C. voters in election's final days, poll finds

  NDP sees surge of support from B.C. voters in election's final days, poll finds With just days left before final ballots are cast in the federal election, a new poll released Friday says the NDP has seen a surge of support among voters in British Columbia. The survey, conducted online by Insights West, asked 1,670 adults living in B.C. who they would vote for in their constituency, if they had to vote that day. They were surveyed between Sunday and Wednesday.If they had already cast their ballot during advance voting or by mail, they were asked to select the party for which they voted.Results found the NDP pushed ahead of the Liberals for second place in B.C.

Greens need to go through NDP and Liberal territory to reach official party status and the balance of In addition to their historic win in Nanaimo–Ladysmith this week, the Greens have seen provincial breakthroughs in elections in British Though the Greens might take more votes from the Liberals

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Andrew Scheer et al. standing in front of a crowd: The Conservatives increased their seat count in B.C. with a healthy lead in the popular vote, which increased to 34 per cent from 30. Pictured is party leader Andrew Scheer, who campaigned in the province over the weekend.© BRANDON HARDER The Conservatives increased their seat count in B.C. with a healthy lead in the popular vote, which increased to 34 per cent from 30. Pictured is party leader Andrew Scheer, who campaigned in the province over the weekend.

British Columbians shifted their allegiances on election day, punishing Justin Trudeau’s Liberals in the popular vote, but not enough to stop him from forming the next government.

The Liberals garnered just 26 per cent of the popular vote in early results, down from 35 in the 2015 election. Nonetheless, the Liberals are projected to form a minority government with 17 members from B.C.

Election 2019 gets underway with polls closing in Atlantic Canada

  Election 2019 gets underway with polls closing in Atlantic Canada OTTAWA — The polls have closed in Atlantic Canada, signalling the start of what promises to be a long night to determine whether Justin Trudeau's Liberals will get a second mandate to govern Canada. Early results had the Liberals leading in six of the seven ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador, where polls closed half an hour before they did in the rest of the region. In the seventh, St. John's East, former New Democrat MP Jack Harris led in the earliest count as he tried to make a comeback against Liberal Nick Whalen. Liberals also led in the first counting in two ridings on Prince Edward Island.

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“In our polling, Justin Trudeau really failed on two big categories,” said Steve Mossop, President of Insights West.

“One was overall transparency and trust in government and that’s related to the SNC Lavalin affair. In B.C., the whole pipeline fiasco really baffled voters, who didn’t seem to know where the Liberals stood.”

The purchase of the Trans Mountain pipeline may have alienated B.C.’s fossil fuel opponents, he added.

“We’ve been tracking the Conservative lead in British Columbia through the entire campaign and the New Democrats have been gaining steadily,” he said.

The New Democrats cannibalized votes from both the Liberals and the Greens, he said.

The Conservatives increased their seat count in B.C. with a healthy lead in the popular vote, which increased to 34 per cent from 30.

Greens elect MPs in New Brunswick and B.C., but barely increase seat total

  Greens elect MPs in New Brunswick and B.C., but barely increase seat total VICTORIA — Green Leader Elizabeth May says increasing her party's seat total by one in Monday's federal election is a bigger victory than it seems and should not be considered a disappointment. The Greens were hoping for a big breakthrough, but will become a force with three MPs, said May. "We've done better in Canada than any Green party under the first-past-the-post system," she said, adding there are 19 Greens who have been elected across Canada when provincially elected politicians are counted.May won the only seat in the House of Commons for the Greens in 2015, followed by a byelection victory for the party last spring.

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The Liberals and the NDP will each send 11 members to Parliament.

a woman standing in front of a building:  Green Leader Elizabeth May reacts while waiting for results from the federal election in Victoria.© KEVIN LIGHT Green Leader Elizabeth May reacts while waiting for results from the federal election in Victoria.

With much of the free world embroiled in weekly climate change protests, B.C. voters sent Green incumbents, leader Elizabeth May (Saanich-Gulf Islands) and Paul Manly (Nanaimo-Ladysmith) back to Ottawa.

The Greens’ share of the popular vote appeared to wane over the campaign period in B.C.

“People get excited and see the momentum (the Greens had), but sometimes it comes down to strategic voting,” said Mossop.

“People are often not voting for the party they like best, but voting because they want someone else out of power. The lesser of two evils appears to be driving a lot of voter behaviour these days.”

Late in the campaign period, an Insights West poll found that only 19 per cent of respondents said they were voting to support a favourite local candidate, and only 24 per cent to support their preferred party leader.

Liberal hold on fortress GTA helps keep Tories from the breakthrough they needed

  Liberal hold on fortress GTA helps keep Tories from the breakthrough they needed The walls of fortress Toronto and its suburbs have held for the Liberals, allowing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to hold off the Conservatives and hang onto government, though downgraded to a minority one. With Conservatives needing a big showing in Ontario, the Tories instead found themselves facing a disappointing night after polls began to report across the province. Whether or not it was the much-discussed “Doug Ford factor” — that being the effect of the popularity problems of the Conservative provincial premier — the federal party seemed unable to make substantial gains in the all-important suburbs of Toronto.

Max Cameron, director of UBC’s Centre for the Study of Democratic Institutions, spoke to the Vancouver Sun about the success of the B . C Cameron explained how the system is “very hard for Greens to break into.” The story also appeared in the National Post and other Postmedia outlets.

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More than a quarter planned to vote for the “best of the worst,” while 22 per cent were just trying to block an unpalatable party from winning.

It’s not usual for B.C. to elect members from a variety of parties and this election is no exception, said Gerald Baier, at political scientist from the University of British Columbia.

“Rumours of the NDP’s demise appear to be premature, which suggests their core is still there and that they have responded to a strong leader and campaigner (in Jagmeet Singh),” he said.

Jenny Kwan, Jagmeet Singh are posing for a picture:  NDP leader Jagmeet Singh dances onstage at the NDP election night victory party, Burnaby, October 21 2019.© Gerry Kahrmann NDP leader Jagmeet Singh dances onstage at the NDP election night victory party, Burnaby, October 21 2019.

The NDP’s campaign on Vancouver Island appears to have paid off for them, at least partly at the expense of the Greens, he said.

“It really was a battle there between the NDP and the Greens.”

A different Green voter seems to have emerged from the fight for southern Vancouver Island.

“They are urban, retirees, not exactly the hippies from Nelson we are talking about,” he said.

The election of Jenica Atwin in Fredericton will give the Greens a boost regionally and could see a bump in their popular vote across the country, he noted.

People’s Party may have cost the Tories 6 ridings on election night

  People’s Party may have cost the Tories 6 ridings on election night Maxime Bernier's People's Party may have cost the Conservatives at least five seats, giving the Liberals a stronger minority than they would otherwise have had, election results suggest.Polling before the election showed the Conservatives were the second choice of about half of PPC voters, according to polling done by Ipsos, implying about one PPC voters in two would have voted Conservative if the party hadn't existed.

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“All the more reason to adopt proportional representation,” said Baier.

“If we did, the Greens might be looking at 35 or 40 seats instead of three,” he said.

Conservatives led all parties in advance polls, with 33 per cent casting a ballot before election day, followed by the NDP (21 per cent), Liberals (20 per cent) and finally the Greens (16 per cent).

Insights West polled 1,670 adults between October 13 and 16. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

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Poll suggests plenty Canadians voted strategically to stop a party from winning .
OTTAWA — More than one-third of Canadians voted strategically in last week's federal election to stop another party from winning, a new poll suggests. Thirty-five per cent of respondents to the Leger poll said their decision about who to support took into account the chances that their vote would prevent another party's candidate from being victorious. And almost as many waited until the final week of the campaign to make their choice. ThirteenThirty-five per cent of respondents to the Leger poll said their decision about who to support took into account the chances that their vote would prevent another party's candidate from being victorious.

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