Canada How B.C. voted: Liberals punished, Green breakthrough fades
The Liberals broke their promise on electoral reform. Will it hurt them in 2019?
OTTAWA — Andrew Cash thinks the Liberal promise to bring in electoral reform might have cost him his job. He also believes the fact that the Liberals abandoned the pledge, which he said is one of many reasons why progressive-minded voters are disenchanted with Justin Trudeau and his government, could help him get that job back in the Oct. 21 election. The New Democrat candidate in the downtown Toronto riding of Davenport lost by a narrow margin — 1,441 votes, or about three percentage points — to Liberal Julie Dzerowicz in the 2015 election, one of many upsets in the red wave that swept across the country.
British Columbians shifted their allegiances on election day, punishing Justin Trudeau’s Liberals in the popular vote, but not enough to stop him from forming the next government.
The Liberals garnered just 26 per cent of the popular vote in early results, down from 35 in the 2015 election. Nonetheless, the Liberals are projected to form a minority government with 17 members from B.C.
Green Leader Elizabeth May promises electoral reform, lowering voting age to 16
VANCOUVER — Green Leader Elizabeth May says if her party is elected Monday, it will be the last federal government in Canada chosen by the first-past-the-post system. In a release, May says a Green government would launch a citizens' assembly with a mandate to make recommendations to Parliament on a new electoral system based on proportional representation. The Greens also say they will lower the voting age to 16. The Liberals included electoral reform as part of their platform for the 2015 election, but dropped the idea shortly after winning a majority mandate.
“In our polling, Justin Trudeau really failed on two big categories,” said Steve Mossop, President of Insights West.
“One was overall transparency and trust in government and that’s related to the SNC Lavalin affair. In B.C., the whole pipeline fiasco really baffled voters, who didn’t seem to know where the Liberals stood.”
The purchase of the Trans Mountain pipeline may have alienated B.C.’s fossil fuel opponents, he added.
“We’ve been tracking the Conservative lead in British Columbia through the entire campaign and the New Democrats have been gaining steadily,” he said.
The New Democrats cannibalized votes from both the Liberals and the Greens, he said.
The Conservatives increased their seat count in B.C. with a healthy lead in the popular vote, which increased to 34 per cent from 30.
Election 2019 gets underway with polls closing in Atlantic Canada
OTTAWA — The polls have closed in Atlantic Canada, signalling the start of what promises to be a long night to determine whether Justin Trudeau's Liberals will get a second mandate to govern Canada. Early results had the Liberals leading in six of the seven ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador, where polls closed half an hour before they did in the rest of the region. In the seventh, St. John's East, former New Democrat MP Jack Harris led in the earliest count as he tried to make a comeback against Liberal Nick Whalen. Liberals also led in the first counting in two ridings on Prince Edward Island.
The Liberals and the NDP will each send 11 members to Parliament.
With much of the free world embroiled in weekly climate change protests, B.C. voters sent Green incumbents, leader Elizabeth May (Saanich-Gulf Islands) and Paul Manly (Nanaimo-Ladysmith) back to Ottawa.
The Greens’ share of the popular vote appeared to wane over the campaign period in B.C.
“People get excited and see the momentum (the Greens had), but sometimes it comes down to strategic voting,” said Mossop.
“People are often not voting for the party they like best, but voting because they want someone else out of power. The lesser of two evils appears to be driving a lot of voter behaviour these days.”
Late in the campaign period, an Insights West poll found that only 19 per cent of respondents said they were voting to support a favourite local candidate, and only 24 per cent to support their preferred party leader.
Greens elect MPs in New Brunswick and B.C., but barely increase seat total
VICTORIA — Green Leader Elizabeth May says increasing her party's seat total by one in Monday's federal election is a bigger victory than it seems and should not be considered a disappointment. The Greens were hoping for a big breakthrough, but will become a force with three MPs, said May. "We've done better in Canada than any Green party under the first-past-the-post system," she said, adding there are 19 Greens who have been elected across Canada when provincially elected politicians are counted.May won the only seat in the House of Commons for the Greens in 2015, followed by a byelection victory for the party last spring.
More than a quarter planned to vote for the “best of the worst,” while 22 per cent were just trying to block an unpalatable party from winning.
It’s not usual for B.C. to elect members from a variety of parties and this election is no exception, said Gerald Baier, at political scientist from the University of British Columbia.
“Rumours of the NDP’s demise appear to be premature, which suggests their core is still there and that they have responded to a strong leader and campaigner (in Jagmeet Singh),” he said.
The NDP’s campaign on Vancouver Island appears to have paid off for them, at least partly at the expense of the Greens, he said.
“It really was a battle there between the NDP and the Greens.”
A different Green voter seems to have emerged from the fight for southern Vancouver Island.
“They are urban, retirees, not exactly the hippies from Nelson we are talking about,” he said.
The election of Jenica Atwin in Fredericton will give the Greens a boost regionally and could see a bump in their popular vote across the country, he noted.
Conservative carbon tax 'resistance' showing cracks after Liberals re-elected
The so-called "resistance" force of Conservative premiers waging war against the carbon tax implemented by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau began showing cracks on Tuesday, following the Liberals' re-election. While some of the five provincial leaders who had publicly criticized or legally challenged the carbon tax maintained their attacks in the hours after voters elected a minority Liberal government, at least one appeared to back down. TheWhile some of the five provincial leaders who had publicly criticized or legally challenged the carbon tax maintained their attacks in the hours after voters elected a minority Liberal government, at least one appeared to back down.
“All the more reason to adopt proportional representation,” said Baier.
“If we did, the Greens might be looking at 35 or 40 seats instead of three,” he said.
Conservatives led all parties in advance polls, with 33 per cent casting a ballot before election day, followed by the NDP (21 per cent), Liberals (20 per cent) and finally the Greens (16 per cent).
Insights West polled 1,670 adults between October 13 and 16. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
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Poll suggests plenty Canadians voted strategically to stop a party from winning .
OTTAWA — More than one-third of Canadians voted strategically in last week's federal election to stop another party from winning, a new poll suggests. Thirty-five per cent of respondents to the Leger poll said their decision about who to support took into account the chances that their vote would prevent another party's candidate from being victorious. And almost as many waited until the final week of the campaign to make their choice. ThirteenThirty-five per cent of respondents to the Leger poll said their decision about who to support took into account the chances that their vote would prevent another party's candidate from being victorious.
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