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Canada What the Liberals stirred up

14:50  24 october  2019
14:50  24 october  2019 Source:   macleans.ca

Tories viewed as most likely to keep promises, but voters remain cynical: Ipsos poll

  Tories viewed as most likely to keep promises, but voters remain cynical: Ipsos poll But a majority of those surveyed (76 per cent) indicated that no matter who becomes prime minister, they will wind up breaking their campaign pledges. © Provided by Corus Television Limited PartnershipTrustWhen polled about which party leader they trust the most, three in 10 said they don’t trust anyone. Ipsos vice president Sean Simpson says several factors contribute to this widespread cynicism, including a “general decline of deference in society.”“People just seem to be less trusting of their institutions and of their leaders than they used to be,” he said.

Just as the Liberals are likely to feel more like victors than the numbers suggest, the Conservatives will need some time to decide how much of their defeat is a defeat, and how much of it is Andrew Scheer’s fault. Would that even begin to address the tension stirred up by Monday’s returns? Not even close.

Anonymous asked in Politics & Government. Politics · 8 months ago. Why do liberals constantly stir up If it wasn't for liberals ' vile anti-white racism and their radicalizing non-whites into hating whites and blaming all their problems on them for the color of their skin, said flyers wouldn't be necessary.

Justin Trudeau holding a sign: Trudeau delivers his victory speech in Montreal on election night, Oct. 21, 2019 (Sebastien ST-JEAN / AFP) (Photo by SEBASTIEN ST-JEAN/AFP via Getty Images)© Used with permission of / © St. Joseph Communications. Trudeau delivers his victory speech in Montreal on election night, Oct. 21, 2019 (Sebastien ST-JEAN / AFP) (Photo by SEBASTIEN ST-JEAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

Some people I know, even some Liberals from an earlier age, were unimpressed by the triumphal tone of Justin Trudeau’s victory speech on Monday. But if you’re a Liberal who got re-elected, where’s the evidence the party’s done anything wrong? Sure, the caucus is smaller, but it’s more…concentrated. More Liberal-y. Julie Dzerowicz’s vote went up. Marco Mendicino’s vote went up. Marc Miller’s vote went up. In all of those Liberals’ big-city ridings, the first two in Toronto and the third in Montreal, the Conservative vote went down. It’s not hard to find Toronto ridings where the only large party whose vote declined was the Conservatives.

Andrew Coyne: Forget the 'positive' approach, now the campaign is down to a few days and fear

  Andrew Coyne: Forget the 'positive' approach, now the campaign is down to a few days and fear “And always keep a-hold of Nurse For fear of finding something worse.” — Hilaire Belloc, Cautionary Tales for Children After the loathing, the fear. For five weeks the Liberals and Conservatives have taken turns attacking each other’s leaders as, variously, a compulsive liar, an anti-woman American, a racist, a fool, etc. But with the campaign limping to its inconclusive end, party strategies have turned, as expected, to fear of what lies beyond. Gone is the pretence, on either side, of a “positive” campaign, asking voters to support the party’s program of government because of all the good things it would do.

Liberalism is a way of thinking about politics and government. Some liberals believe that freedom is impossible without equality, and that governments should promote egalitarianism by providing education and health care supported by taxes.

Liberals are not born uglier. They voluntarily remain ugly or become uglier to fit a narrative. Why? Because generally these are the kids who grew up as the weak and low on the social hierarchy, who generally, lacking experience or a good support system at home, fell into a bunch of bad habits and

University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe points out that the Conservative vote went down in a lot of urban ridings east of Manitoba, and not just in Toronto and Montreal, but in London and Kitchener and Ottawa. Urban-rural distinctions in voting behaviour are ancient and universal and not shocking, but even as Andrew Scheer pushed the Conservative vote up by half a million votes, he lost large numbers of thousands of urban votes.

I don’t yet know how many Trudeau Liberal MPs will walk into the next national caucus meeting with results similar to the three I listed above, but even if you have an intellectual understanding that the last year was hell for Liberals compared to the first three, and I know many do, it may be hard to maintain any fire in the belly for change against the worst habits of the leader and his office if, after all, the net result of losing Jane Philpott and Jody Wilson-Raybould and Andrew Leslie and Scott Brison and Celina Caesar-Chavannes and Leona Alleslev and then —whoopsie!—two dozen more, all in one night, is that your own margin of comfort at home increased.

Election 2019: What happens if it's a minority government?

  Election 2019: What happens if it's a minority government? With polls showing the Liberals and Conservatives in a dead heat, thanks in part to Quebec’s volatile electorate, the possibility of a minority government is looming. The political phenomena is relatively rare, but not unheard of. The political phenomena is relatively rare, but not unheard of. Canada has had 12 minority governments in its history, Quebec just three, most of them short-lived.

The Liberal party tweeted, "The Government is taking action to protect Australia Day from activists". The Government proposes to force local councils to hold citizenship ceremonies on Australia Day, after the refusal of some to do so. Councils defying the edict would not be allowed to conduct them at all.

After the recent murders of two police officers in New York City, Shelby laid a lot of the blame for anti-police hostility at the feet of New York City

In their first mandate, the Trudeau Liberals developed a knack for paying less and less attention to the parts of the country—geographic, demographic, socio-economic, ideological—where they could not expect a warm welcome. They are hardly the first party to do so. It’s a difficult urge to resist. It’s not obvious to me that the election results will discourage that urge. If this caucus could muster no empathy for Jane Philpott, who expects it to try harder with Alberta?

READ MORE: How Justin Trudeau held on: The story of a gruelling, messy campaign

Meanwhile out in that vast and distant hinterland, where some people apparently still insist on voting incorrectly, the early reaction to the election returns is intense. Say hello to Saskatchewan premier Scott Moe, who didn’t endorse any party in the federal election but is pretty sure the wrong one won. He wants a “new deal,” which resembles what would have happened if the Scheer Conservatives had won: cancel the carbon tax, renegotiate equalization and build “pipelines,” plural. Jason Kenney will have something to say too, soon after I finish writing this.

The final 338Canada projection: The most uncertain federal election in decades

  The final 338Canada projection: The most uncertain federal election in decades Philippe J. Fournier: The night before the election, there is no certainty in the numbers. We could end up with the first popular vote and seat split in 40 years.Well, here we are. The day before election day. A flurry of polls have been published in the last 24 hours, and many more will probably come later tonight.

We know that the Liberals backed down to Donald Trump by capping future growth of Canadian auto exports. They backed down to Donald Trump forcing Canadians

The Democrat leaders who promoted massive mail-in ballots and due dates up to three days after the election responded to Justice Alito per Law and Crime Basically what the brilliant minds from the left claimed is that – no one has ever stopped us before so don’t be the first

Interestingly, New Brunswick premier Blaine Higgs seems to have drawn the opposite conclusion on a carbon tax — his remarks suggest he’s dropping his opposition to the Trudeau policy. Add this to the list of things that will look like—indeed, are—a victory to the Liberals, but it also aggravates, rather than alleviating, the sense that this election has opened up big west-east divisions in the federation.

I have Conservative friends and family, many in or from the West, who are anguished by the election result. Most don’t want a confrontation. But they’re the ones who feel confronted. The pipelines Quebec premier François Legault cheerfully disdains ship a legal product that Legault uses. Quebec’s Caisse de dépôt pension fund has been a major oil-sands investor.

Some people remember the 2015 Bloc Québécois campaign ad that showed oil from a pipeline transforming into a Muslim woman’s niqab—you had to see it to believe it; it amounted to a fever-dream rejection of people who do or wear surprising things—and they noticed that every federal leader who was invited showed up for an extra, non-league-sanctioned TV debate organized by TVA, whose commentators can’t get enough of that Bill 21. I know a large Alberta institution that tried hard to get the nod as a host of the federal debate commission’s debates this year. Even that modest symbolic recognition didn’t materialize. Where did the commission hold its debates? At the Canadian Museum of History. In Quebec.

Liberal hold on fortress GTA helps keep Tories from the breakthrough they needed

  Liberal hold on fortress GTA helps keep Tories from the breakthrough they needed The walls of fortress Toronto and its suburbs have held for the Liberals, allowing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to hold off the Conservatives and hang onto government, though downgraded to a minority one. With Conservatives needing a big showing in Ontario, the Tories instead found themselves facing a disappointing night after polls began to report across the province. Whether or not it was the much-discussed “Doug Ford factor” — that being the effect of the popularity problems of the Conservative provincial premier — the federal party seemed unable to make substantial gains in the all-important suburbs of Toronto.

After the 2000 election—Jean Chrétien, chased by a scandal over business deals in his hometown, cleaned Stockwell Day’s clock and increased his Liberal majority—a former Reform MP named Stephen Harper wrote a deeply bitter op-ed for the National Post. Its theme was that, while Alberta shouldn’t embrace separatism, it should take Ontarians’ Liberal votes as a rebuke and react accordingly:

The rest of the country has responded by telling us in no uncertain terms that we do not share their “Canadian values.” Fine. Let us build a society on Alberta values.

What’s coming from Alberta may make Harper’s 2000 letter seem like a love note.

You can point out, as I plan to keep doing, that Alberta’s unemployment rate today is lower than Newfoundland’s, lower than Quebec’s was for years until quite recently, and projected to keep falling over the medium term. That Alberta pumped nearly 3.8 million barrels of oil today, product that has and finds a market. A larger market at a higher price would be even better. I often say the same thing about the market for magazines. And you could agree that Canada’s first-past-the-post electoral system exaggerates regional differences, a problem that used to preoccupy Justin Trudeau. In the short term these arguments are unlikely to help much.

Kelly McParland: Like Donald Trump, Justin Trudeau wins an election but loses the vote

  Kelly McParland: Like Donald Trump, Justin Trudeau wins an election but loses the vote The amazing thing, when you look at a map of Monday’s election results, is how little Liberal red there is. The Liberals won the election, but you wouldn’t know it from the map. Mainly they did well in a few cities: Toronto and the suburbs around it, Montreal, parts of Vancouver and most of the Maritimes. So, three cities and a region heavily reliant on federal largesse. They didn’t even draw the most votes. The Conservatives under Andrew Scheer won 34 per cent of the ballots, to 33 per cent for the Liberals. Justin Trudeau and Donald Trump now share the distinction of having won an election while losing the vote.

Just as the Liberals are likely to feel more like victors than the numbers suggest, the Conservatives will need some time to decide how much of their defeat is a defeat, and how much of it is Andrew Scheer’s fault.

Everyone’s talking about remarks Kory Teneycke made on the CBC on election night, just after 3:31:00 in this video, about Scheer’s decision to stay well clear of Ontario Conservative Premier Doug Ford. (Teneycke was Ford’s campaign manager for the leadership and last year’s election, as he was for Scheer’s federal leadership rival Maxime Bernier. He founded the Sun News TV network. He was Stephen Harper’s communications director for two years. Make of all this what you like.)

“We’ll release some polling tomorrow,” Teneycke said (I haven’t seen that polling yet today), “but Doug Ford has been more popular than Andrew Scheer throughout the entire election campaign in Ontario. And I think it was a mistake. Because mobilizing conservative voters—we’ll see as the night unfolds—is something Ford was able to do very successfully 18 months ago. And we are not seeing the signs of that same enthusiasm for Andrew Scheer tonight.”

I wrote to Teneycke and asked him about his plans as a federal Conservative over the next several months. I haven’t yet heard back. A different former senior federal Conservative pointed out to me that next April’s Conservative convention is in Toronto, where Doug Ford’s provincial Conservatives tend to concentrate, forming as they do a large provincial government; that a leadership review vote at that convention is mandatory; and that a very large number of delegates to that convention will be driving in. From ridings that didn’t see their vote go up. A third prominent Conservative said there’s not much likelihood of an organized attempt to drive Scheer’s leadership-review vote down, but there is considerable anger in the Conservative caucus about how the campaign was run, and he needs to make large concrete moves to show he understands that anger.

How Justin Trudeau held on: The story of a gruelling, messy campaign

  How Justin Trudeau held on: The story of a gruelling, messy campaign The path to a Liberal minority was paved with low points and sloppy moments. In this election, there were no undiluted victories.But it wasn’t only the numbers that made the comparison unwelcome to Liberal operatives who were pushing back against the narrative that Canadians were seeing a diminished Trudeau this time out. That Brampton rally in ’15 came after his Liberals had soared to first place in the polls from third at the start of the race. His jabs in the leaders’ debates had knocked his more seasoned adversaries, Stephen Harper and Tom Mulcair, back on their heels.

But Scheer’s worries, for the moment, are secondary, because he’s not the prime minister of Canada. Speaking of large concrete moves to acknowledge anger, Justin Trudeau has a few such options available too. I made this one up, entirely out of my own head, for demonstration purposes: He could ask the independent, left-ish Alberta senator and former Edmonton Journal columnist Paula Simons to join his cabinet. Would that even begin to address the tension stirred up by Monday’s returns? Not even close. But doing less would accomplish less.

MORE ABOUT FEDERAL ELECTION 2019:

  • Justin Trudeau says better is always possible. It’s time to do better.
  • What does the new Bloc wave really represent?
  • Elizabeth May: ‘We will not allow the Parliament of Canada to let down our children’
  • The 338Canada post-election report: We called it

Toronto backed the Liberals — so what could the city get back from Trudeau? .
Every single one of Toronto's 25 ridings backed the Liberals in Monday's federal election. So what will the city get back from Justin Trudeau when it comes to key issues like transit, housing, and gun violence?In a campaign marked by scandals, from revelations of Trudeau wearing blackface to questions over Conservative leader Andrew Scheer's dual Canada-U.S. citizenship, policy issues took a backseat to finger-pointing over the gaffes and foibles of party leaders.

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