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Canada Mandryk: Meili must rewire city voters to hear NDP's message

17:30  22 september  2020
17:30  22 september  2020 Source:   leaderpost.com

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Who would have thought the NDP would be the first political party to be accused of buying off voters with their own money while disregarding public It could be back in the pockets of ordinary people.” It’ s surely an argument we haven’t heard from Meili before … and certainly an unusual one to hear from

“Sweeping the cities ” now means the NDP overcoming vote margins from the 2016 election of 1,000+ in 11 seats and 2,500+ in six seats, including The easy route for Meili ’ s NDP would be win the closest seats in 2016, but that would still require NDP taking seats it lost by more than 2,000 votes

Ryan Meili et al. walking on a sidewalk: NDP Leader Ryan Meili addresses the media on the front steps of the Saskatchewan Legislative Building in Regina _ the city where his party absolutely most re-establish a foothold. © Provided by Leader Post NDP Leader Ryan Meili addresses the media on the front steps of the Saskatchewan Legislative Building in Regina _ the city where his party absolutely most re-establish a foothold.

New Democratic Party Leader Ryan Meili took a big step Sunday toward revitalizing his party by choosing a familiar path.

He marked the unofficial start of the 2020 Saskatchewan election campaign with a party rally in Regina Coronation Park and followed it up with a couple more Regina events.

Mandryk: Meili needs to make the case for a strong opposition

  Mandryk: Meili needs to make the case for a strong opposition The problem for Saskatchewan New Democrat Leader Ryan Meili is that he can’t undo most of the things now contributing to what seems likely will be a big loss for his party on Oct. 26 — some things that have occurred on his watch, but many that go back decades. He can’t go back in time and reappoint his 2020 slate of candidates earlier so each could make a more viable run in their respective ridings and at least put the NDP in better stead for the next election.

Share this Story: Mandryk : Moe projecting confidence as Assembly resumes. There are valid reasons for the the quiet confidence of a premier who knows his message and may be even a little cocksure on the Party election sloganeering about how NDP Leader Ryan Meili is “not on our side”.

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It stands to reason that Coronation Parkthe closest seat in the province in 2016 that the Saskatchewan Party won by a mere 127 votes — would be Meili’s first target. In fact, four of the closest six seats in 2016 were all in Regina and were all Sask. Party wins by less than 600 votes.

But this needs to be about more than winning the easiest seats. The NDP desperately needs to re-establish familiar voting patterns in Saskatchewan politics, which means retaking the city where it’s been most successful: Regina. Except for the 1982 Progressive Conservative sweep, the NDP has dominated the capital city going back to the Tommy Douglas Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) sweep of 1944.

However, the Sask. Party’s slow and steady advance knocked down the gates of the Queen City in 2016, taking the majority of its seats. The fall of Regina four years ago fortified the notion the once-natural governing party in this province has been relegated to also-ran status with virtually no statistical chance of winning on Oct. 26, 2020.

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Changing the thinking pattern of voters is absolutely critical to the NDP’s survival right now.

There are an estimated 86 billion neurons in the human brain — each with an estimated 10,000 connectors. The paths toward thinking and learning are endless.

Yet past the voting age of 18, our brains are already settling into familiar patterns. While we never stop thinking and learning, neuroscience tells us our thinking tends to settle into more familiar patterns equated with memory and acquired knowledge.

Now, consider this in relation to how we vote … or more specifically, how certain demographics influence the voting process and the electoral results.

We are generally considered an older province, although changing demographics during our recent decade-and-a-half-long population growth spurt has actually slowed our aging process quite a bit.

For example, the 170,425 Saskatchewan seniors in the 2016 Canadian Census represented a 10.9-per-cent increase from the 153,705 seniors in the 2011 census. Seniors made up 15.5 per cent of our population in 2016 — actually, below the Canadian average of 16.9 per cent. Just five years earlier, the percentage of Saskatchewan seniors (14.9 per cent) was slightly higher than the Canadian average of 14.8 per cent.

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That suggests the seniors vote doesn’t tell the whole story and, certainly, not everyone in a specific demographic votes the same way. But understanding our brain’s tendency to seek out patterns reinforces our thinking and helps us better understand the bigger picture.

We do know that seniors tend to be more conservative — especially now that those who can relate to the rise of the CCF are fewer and fewer.

We also know that a higher percentage of conservative-minded voters are located in the Sask. Party’s bedrock of 31 (mostly rural) seats that it won by 2,500 votes or more in 2016. That makes for a lot of ridings in Saskatchewan — and a lot of voters of all ages —  hardwired to see the Sask. Party as the beneficial choice to them.

This perhaps help us understand why Premier Scott Moe was writing to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau last week demanding Saskatchewan’s voice be heard in the throne speech and why Tuesday’s ongoing constitutional challenge of the federal carbon tax is so politically important. It solidifies a thought process that these are the most important issues to Saskatchewan and the comfortable notion that the Sask. Party is the one fighting for the people of this province.

By contrast, Meili must remind voters that issues like the Global Transportation Hub,  the Regina bypass and classroom overcrowding are issues people in Regina need be concerned about. He must remind voters of the history and perhaps begin to draw the next generation into the NDP fold.

The NDP’s very future may now depend on it.

Mandryk is the political columnist for the Regina Leader-Post and Saskatoon Star-Phoenix.

Mandryk: NDP might need twist of fate to alter upcoming campaign .
By the third term, the NDP was supposed to have “unmasked” the Saskatchewan Party, convincing the electorate it is something voters shouldn’t want. That clearly hasn’t happened … notwithstanding the argument by New Democrats or simply policy realities that say the Sask. Party government’s third-term record hasn’t been great. Public debt due has soared past a record $24 billion to pay for projects like the Saskatchewan Hospital in North Battleford plagued with public-private partnership (P3) build problems . The Global Transportation Hub (GTH) and the Regina bypass are, arguably, far bigger overspending messes.

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This is interesting!