Canada Canadians must reduce contacts by 25 per cent to flatten 2nd wave curve, officials say
Canada is nowhere near herd immunity to the novel coronavirus as second wave surges: Tam
The country's top doctor says while questions about border closures are important, the key focus must be rising cases.It's a question that will need to be examined, says the country's top doctor, but right now the focus must be the rapid resurgence of the virus across the country as the second wave tightens its grip.
Canadians must reduce the number of close contacts they have with other people by 25 per cent in order to suppress the second wave of COVID-19, according to new federal modelling on the spread of the coronavirus released today.
At a news conference in Ottawa, Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam said the number of people being infected continues to increase across the country, even as some regions tighten restrictions.
"If we increase, or if we even maintain our current rate of contact with others, the epidemic in Canada is forecast to continue increasing steeply," said Tam.
"To bend the epidemic curve and reduce transmission to lower levels … we must really reduce our number of contacts as much as possible."
Fewer Canadians to hand out Halloween candy, trick or treat this year, poll says
A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News found just 19 per cent of Canadians said they will be handing out Halloween candy this year, with many choosing to forego other holidays such as Christmas and birthdays altogether. "One of the things that we see consistently in the polling is whenever anybody is going to be confronting a stranger, their fear goes up when it comes to dealing with COVID-19," Bricker said.
Reducing those interactions by 25 per cent would bring the pandemic under control in most regions, according to the modelling.
The projections show the number of COVID-19 cases could rise from the current level — 230,547 as of 11:20 a.m. ET today — to 262,000 by Nov. 8, with up to 300 people expected to die from complications of the disease during that time.
While it has been increasing, the number of people hospitalized due to COVID-19 remains below the peak of about 3,000 per day observed during the first phase of the pandemic. Tam said this is most likely because the vast majority of recent cases have been among young people who have experienced less severe illnesses, and because of the better availability of treatments.
The number of deaths also has continued to gradually increase over the past several weeks — but at a slower rate than it did during the first wave.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau urged people to continue following public health guidelines — particularly those that call for people to physically distance and reduce close contacts with others.
"When you're thinking of seeing people outside your household, ask yourself, 'Is this absolutely necessary?'" said Trudeau.
"I know that the situation is frustrating. I know it's hard. But it is temporary."
Latin America's corona curve is flattening out .
The good news first: Corona infections are on the decline in Latin America. The bad news: Scientists are expecting a second wave and are warning against being played down again. © Pablo Rojas Madariaga / ZUMAPRESS / picture-alliance Provided by Deutsche Welle These are numbers that act like balm for the soul in Latin America: In the Corona-shaken region, the COVID-19 numbers are falling.