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Canada Majority of Canadians may not vote for Trudeau, Maru poll finds

17:51  02 september  2021
17:51  02 september  2021 Source:   nationalpost.com

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Trudeau may find himself in real trouble on Sept. 20, after a new poll has found that majority of Canadians may vote for a political party other than the Liberals.

a group of people standing in front of a crowd: Canada's Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau talks to members of the Toronto Raptors youth programs, alongside Masai Ujiri, the President of the team, at the Mattamy Athletic Centre during Trudeau's election campaign tour in Toronto, Ontario, Canada September 1, 2021. © Provided by National Post Canada's Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau talks to members of the Toronto Raptors youth programs, alongside Masai Ujiri, the President of the team, at the Mattamy Athletic Centre during Trudeau's election campaign tour in Toronto, Ontario, Canada September 1, 2021.

The Maru Public Opinion survey found that 73 per cent of Canadians polled are open to voting for a party to run the country other the Liberals led by Trudeau, while a mere 27 per cent have remained loyal to the prime minister.

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The poll surveyed 1,514 Canadians between August 28 and 29 with a margin of error  of +/- 2.5 per cent.

Trudeau on Aug. 14 called a snap election for Sept. 20, arguing that Canadians deserved a say in the national fight to end the COVID-19 pandemic.

The move was met with fierce criticism from opposition parties, who accused the prime minister of an opportunistic power grab, prioritizing his chance at a majority government before the health and safety of voters in the pandemic.

However, Trudeau’s hopes that his government’s handling of the pandemic may garner him a win may be in vain, according to John Wright, the pollster’s executive vice president.

“I think this shows that the electorate is soft in terms of its support for this government, even when they say they acknowledge that Trudeau should be the prime minister and his party should get a majority,” he told the National Post.

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The poll, he explains, tiers Canadians based on how strongly they feel about the Trudeau. Of those polled, only 27 per cent are strongly committed to the Liberal party, while 32 per cent say they would use their vote to help them win a majority government.

Meanwhile, 35 per cent say it would be “good to give Justin Trudeau a four-year uninterrupted majority government”, while 37 per cent say that Trudeau does “deserve to be elected to a majority”, all the while not committing their vote to the Liberals.

“People are still looking around,” Wright said. “They’re the people who should be driving the car but they’re distracted looking at the scenery outside.”

The current numbers may spell trouble for Trudeau; on Aug. 29, Wright tweeted that when “a slide like this starts, it’s almost impossible to recover.”

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“My view: it’s over for the @JustinTrudeau Liberals,” he tweeted.

“You got to have 37 per cent to win a majority, I think that’s going to be tough for them to do. I don’t see the momentum to win a majority,” he reiterated to the National Post on Wednesday, begging the question: what do they win?

How the Liberals’ fate plays out on Sept. 20 could also depend on factors affecting general turnout for the election. The COVID-19 barrier, Wright said, could be another barrier to those already lukewarm about going out to vote for the Liberals.

Most Canadians are not happy about the election, the poll states. Sixty-nine per cent of those polled disagreed that it was the right time to call an election.

However, at the same time, 72 per cent believed that despite COVDID-19, it would be possible to conduct a safe election and vote at the ballot box, further indicating the pandemic may not hold the key to the outcome of the election.

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“There will be people who, as you see here, are not committed enthusiastically to the Liberal Party, and as a result, might just stay home,” he said.  “And that, that is the biggest fear that I think the Liberals should have.”

Early polls, according to Reuters , had suggested that Liberal could win their third consecutive election, but may not gain a majority in the 338-seat House of Commons.

Up until almost Aug. 23, Wright said, the Liberals had been leading in almost every poll around the country, prompting the speculation of a fall election. As the speculation gained ground however, the support for the Liberals began to wind down — by ten percentage points, Wright estimates, since July when they could have garnered 38 per cent of Canadians vote them into a majority.

An Ipsos poll published by Global News on Wednesday also appears to show support for the Liberals on the decline, while support for the Conservatives and the NDP appeared to respectively remain the same or slowly climb, a blow to Trudeau’s hopes for a Liberal-majority government.

Despite government expectations, politicians are “not getting the credit” for the way they handled the pandemic,” Wright explained, because voters assumed that was their job.

And now “people are looking forward,” he said. “They want to be assured that who they’re electing this time got an agenda that matches their own.”

The Liberals, he says, comes up short with a mandate that doesn’t match people’s interests and a brand that is “anaemic and tired.”

“I think what (the Liberals) believe is having the prime minister out all the time is a good thing,” he said. “And I think that what (the poll) says is having this brand and his personal stamp on it, is not very strong.”

1 in 8 Canadians are undecided about the election. Here’s what they have to say .
Global News talked to voters across the country about why they remain undecided, what could help them make a choice, and what's important to them.A new Ipsos poll conducted exclusively for Global News found 13 per cent of those surveyed don't know who they'll be voting for on Sept. 20. The results show nearly half of these voters -- 47 per cent -- don't like any of the parties, while 50 per cent say there shouldn't be an election right now amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

usr: 0
This is interesting!