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Canada FIRST READING: Beijing meddling in election, why a Trudeau MP is voting Tory

21:31  14 september  2021
21:31  14 september  2021 Source:   nationalpost.com

The West Block — Episode 45, Season 10

  The West Block — Episode 45, Season 10 Watch the full episode of The West Block with host Mercedes Stephenson – Sept. 19, 2021Episode 45, Season 10

Throughout Election 44 we are publishing this special daily edition of First Reading, our politics newsletter, to keep you posted on the ins and outs (and way outs) of the campaign. To get an early version sent direct to your inbox every weekday at 6 p.m. ET, sign up here.

a group of people holding a sign: Demonstrators gather Monday outside Edmonton's Royal Alexandra Hospital in a protest organized by the Canadian Frontline Nurses. © Provided by National Post Demonstrators gather Monday outside Edmonton's Royal Alexandra Hospital in a protest organized by the Canadian Frontline Nurses.

TOP STORIES

Celina Caesar-Chavannes, a former parliamentary secretary with the Trudeau government, announced this week that she will be voting for the Conservatives . Caesar-Chavannes has been an outspoken critic of Trudeau, saying that as an MP she was trotted out for her “ blackness ” but was otherwise ignored. Caesar-Chavannes will be voting for Maleeha Shahid, the Tory candidate for the Whitby riding that Caesar-Chavannes herself once represented. In a column for CTV explaining the decision, Caesar-Chavannes said she is still a Liberal at heart, but was not interested in “rewarding the bad behaviour of a Liberal leader.”

FIRST READING: The Conservatives’ enthusiastic abandonment of conservatism

  FIRST READING: The Conservatives’ enthusiastic abandonment of conservatism Throughout Election 44 we are publishing this special daily edition of First Reading, our politics newsletter, to keep you posted on the ins and outs (and way outs) of the campaign. To get an early version sent direct to your inbox every weekday at 6 p.m. ET, sign up here. DEBATE HIGHLIGHTS Last night was the only English-language debate of Election 44. Find the National Post’s full recap here. What follows are First Reading’s highlights from the Wednesday French-language debate (or “debat des chefs,” as they call it). “ I’m sorry Mr. Trudeau, but this is an undesired election ,” was how moderator Patrice Roy opened the debate .

Chinese state media has officially come out against Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives . Global Times, an English-language mouthpiece of the Communist Party of China, wrote that the Conservatives’ promise of a hard line on China will “invite counterstrikes” and that “hyping the China topic shows that the Canadian Conservative party has very few cards to play.”

An Ontario Liberal candidate had his car vandalized on Saturday night . Chris Bittle, who is running for re-election in St. Catharines, said he woke up on Sunday to see “F U Liberals” spray-painted on the back of the Mazda CX-5 in his driveway. The riding’s Conservative candidate Krystina Waler condemned the incident (she said it “sickened” her) and commiserated with Bittle over an election that she said had seen some particularly toxic opposition. “My volunteers are routinely yelled at, I’ve been spit on, our signs have been destroyed and our supporters shouted down,” she wrote .

Live updates: Leaders face off in only federal election debate in English

  Live updates: Leaders face off in only federal election debate in English This is the Montreal Gazette’s live coverage of tonight’s federal leaders’ debate. Questions/comments? ariga@postmedia.com Top updates: Ahead of debate, leaders agree on something, urge Canadians to get vaccinated Leaders arrive at debate site On Twitter, leaders focus on vaccinations, economy and getting the voting out Welcome to our live coverage Here’s the agenda for tonight’s debate Leaders gearing up for English-language debate tonight after French joust Tonight’s debate could be crucial, pollster says Too close to call – Liberals and Conservatives running neck and neck, polls suggest François Legault favours minority Conservative government Lacklustre secon

One of the signatures of the 2015 campaign was how Conservative candidates were generally forbidden from speaking to the media, participating in debates or generally saying anything . Tory candidates are allowed a bit more autonomy these days, although the Conservative candidate in the NWT recently declined a media request with the explanation that “the team has instructed me not to do interviews.”

Forum Research called up a bunch of People’s Party of Canada supporters to find out what their deal is . The poll found that PPC supporters are disproportionately unvaccinated and are more likely to characterize their economic situation as “bad.” Seventy per cent of respondents reported being “very angry” with the federal government. And while PPCers were much more likely than average Canadians to approve of the performance of former U.S. President Donald Trump, the sentiment was not universal: Only 53 per cent said they approved of Trump.

Analysis: Justin Trudeau and the parable of the foolish prince

  Analysis: Justin Trudeau and the parable of the foolish prince Analysis In some elections , the vote converges. In others, it diverges. Canadians came together for Trudeau over Stanfield in 1974, Mulroney over Turner in 1984, Chrétien over Campbell in 1993, Trudeau II over Harper in 2015. But sometimes votes diverge and just spill all over the place like marbles. That is what ended the Liberals ‘ previous run in power with the messy rejection of Martin for Harper in 2006. The most recent election just before the pandemic in 2019 was also like that. The party with the most votes, the Conservatives under failed leader Andrew Scheer , became the opposition in a minority parliament. Justin Trudeau was humbled.

With protests against COVID-19 restrictions hitting hospitals across the country, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau promised on Monday to make it a criminal offence to block access to buildings that provide health care services . That’s actually already illegal , but Trudeau is presumably promising to make it illegaller.

Lisa Robinson was dropped as the Conservative candidate in the riding of Beaches-East York after her Liberal opponents dug up a Twitter account allegedly linked to her which contained a 2017 post reading “Muslims go home.” But now, Robinson is claiming that the Twitter account is a fake formed to slander her and the Tories threw her under the bus without a proper investigation .

ELECTION INSIGHTS

For the rest of Election 44, the National Post will be sharing insights from Polly, an artificial intelligence engine developed at the University of Ottawa that correctly predicted the results of the 2019 election.

Election 44 could end up being the most close-run election since 1972. According to Polly’s current projections , only a seat or two could decide who the Governor General calls upon to form government after Sept. 20. While Polly’s current frontrunner is the Conservatives, things are so close she’s changed her mind four times in the past four days.

Canada’s 2021 election: Here’s your last minute voter’s guide

  Canada’s 2021 election: Here’s your last minute voter’s guide With latest polling finding Liberals and Conservatives at a dead heat, here's what you need to know about voting in Canada's 2021 election.Canadians are girding to hit the polls in an historic election taking place amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

chart, line chart:  Polly’s latest seat projections. After a surge in Tory support in August, the Liberals and Conservatives have been at loggerheads since Sept. 1st. Polly’s latest seat projections. After a surge in Tory support in August, the Liberals and Conservatives have been at loggerheads since Sept. 1st.

LET’S POLL …

Conservative support dropped off a cliff in the latest Mainstreet Research poll. With the Tories polling at 28.6 per cent against 33.5 for the Liberals, Mainstreet is now projecting that the Liberals are entering the final week of the campaign only six seats short of a majority.

Nanos also has the Conservatives in second place , continuing a slump that started last week when the Liberals clawed their way back to 33 per cent for the first time all month.

SOLID TAKES

First Reading has featured plenty of columns bashing the Liberals on the usual topics of spending, integrity and the like. But a new National Post editorial warns that the Liberals’ 2021 pledges are uniquely perilous to Canadian free speech in a way unmatched by any other Canadian government of modern times. A Liberal promise to “combat serious forms of harmful online content” would involve appointing a commissioner empowered to order the removal of any internet content within 24 hours.

Pro-Beijing forces in Vancouver may be working behind the scenes to elect MPs more sympathetic to the People’s Republic of China , according to Daphne Bramham . Specifically, she detailed how a free lunch organized in support of Vancouver East Liberal candidate Josh Vander Vies has uneasily close ties to a collection of Vancouver groups who have also campaigned in defence of Beijing’s crackdown on Hong Kong and the PRC’s treatment of Uyghurs in Xinjiang.

‘A bit of relief’: Voters highlight flaws and benefits of advance election polls

  ‘A bit of relief’: Voters highlight flaws and benefits of advance election polls Over 1.3 million Canadians voted on Day 1 of advance voting. Canadians are showing out in force to cast their ballots ahead of federal election day with 1.3 million Canadians casting a ballot on Day 1 of advance voting.

Sabrina Maddeaux is inclined to think that one of the only useful takeaways from the election debates was the official photo from the French-language TVA debate, which showed Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet both adopting unusually aggressive wide-legged stances . Prove her wrong.

Justin Trudeau et al. standing next to a person in a suit and tie

And with cost of living issues dominating the election campaign, the Fraser Institute is here with some math to show that the largest single expense for Canadian families remains taxes .

Get all of these insights and more into your inbox every weekday at 6 p.m. ET by signing up for the First Reading newsletter here.

From now until the bitter end of Election 44, the National Post is publishing a special daily edition of First Reading, our politics newsletter, to keep you posted on the ins and outs (and way outs) of the campaign. All curated by the National Post’s own Tristin Hopper and published Monday to Friday at 6 p.m. and Sundays at 9 a.m. Sign up here.

Protests not influencing polls, but Canadians growing frustrated with pandemic election .
An Ipsos poll reveals a generational divide amongst how voters perceive the election call -- the older the voter, the more likely they are against the idea of a pandemic election.According to a recent Ipsos poll for Global News, only 17 per cent of respondents said the protests will impact their vote.

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