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Canada Liberals’ byelection wins signal problems for Singh and Scheer

01:07  13 december  2017
01:07  13 december  2017 Source:   thestar.com

Trudeau campaigns in B.C. byelection

  Trudeau campaigns in B.C. byelection Trudeau campaigns in B.C. byelectionTrudeau attended a campaign event at a high school in Surrey to support Gordie Hogg, a former member of the B.C. legislature and White Rock mayor.

Scheer cannot win the next general election in the face of a Liberal juggernaut in Quebec and B.C. And he won ’t have much of a shot at toppling Trudeau unless the NDP reverses its decline. The federal Liberals won three of four byelections Monday, including an upset over the Tories in the B.C

On the morning after his party endured a quadruple byelection beating, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh had this to offer on Twitter: “Each and every one of us has an inherent self worth. Nurture and grow it.


MONTREAL—On the morning after his party endured a quadruple byelection beating, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh had this to offer on Twitter: “Each and every one of us has an inherent self worth. Nurture and grow it. Give it time and love. Build a courageous belief in your own self worth and you will have the strength to overcome any challenge you face.”

Whether a dose of social media philosophy will provide much solace to a party that has endured diminishing returns since it elected its latest leader is an open question.

The only saving grace for the NDP on Monday was that Singh took a pass on trying to enter the House of Commons via one of the ridings in play, thus avoiding an even more personal defeat.

Opposition attacks on Bill Morneau veer into character assassination territory

  Opposition attacks on Bill Morneau veer into character assassination territory MONTREAL—Over the nine weeks of the fall sitting of Parliament, the Conservative official Opposition has devoted no less than 15 questions daily to matters pertaining to Finance Minister Bill Morneau. Monday’s question period unfolded on the same theme. That works out to more than 600 questions over the space of less than three months. That total does not include the NDP contributions to the same discussion.No recent federal finance minister has come under fire for such a prolonged period of time. Indeed, rarely has a minister — federal or provincial — lasted so long on the hot seat.

From Chantel Hebert: “Throughout the fall — Trudeau’s most difficult political season to date — the New Democrats and the Conservatives have been telling themselves that buyer’s remorse was about to catch up to the Liberals . “It seems both opposition parties had been inhaling their own question

The Conservative and NDP parties thought buyers’ remorse was about to catch up to the Liberals . But if there is any remorse it pertains to the opposition parties and their leadership choices, Chantal

The downside is that if he wanted to reverse his initial decision to stay out of the House until the 2019 election — possibly because his absence from the parliamentary stage has made him virtually invisible on the national radar — he could be hard-pressed to find a reasonably safe place to run.

It is increasingly fair to ask just how many safe New-Democrats seats there are left in the country.

None of the federal ridings in contention this fall was a promising one for the NDP. But Scarborough-Agincourt should have been within the sphere of influence of its rookie leader.

Scarborough is Singh’s birthplace and his former provincial seat was in the GTA. As recently as 2011 the NDP won a riding whose territory is now part of Scarborough-Agincourt with 40 per cent of the vote.

Conservatives, Liberals battle in B.C. byelection

  Conservatives, Liberals battle in B.C. byelection Inside a colourful candy shop in a bustling Vancouver suburb, Andrew Scheer and Kerry-Lynne Findlay marvelled at delicate British chocolate bars, chewy Red Vines and an edible Monopoly board. The Conservative leader and byelection candidate weren't shopping just to soothe a sugar craving. They were making a political point about small business taxes, an issue they're pushing to be front and centre in South Surrey-White Rock.

Justin Trudeau's Liberals scored another byelection upset Monday, snatching the British Columbia riding of South Hogg's squeaker victory marks the second upset win for the governing Liberals in as many months. Monday's byelections marked the second electoral test for Scheer and Singh .

Conservative Leader Scheer ready to win over right-leaning Liberal votersIn a year-end interview with the Star last week, Scheer said one of his challenges in 2019 will be to persuade fiscally conservative Liberal voters to “take a look” at the Conservative party.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, left, and Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer. As the Singh-led New Democrats fail to register with voters, the Conservatives under Scheer are losing long-held seats to the Liberals, and the two things are not unrelated, Chantal Hébert writes.© Provided by Toronto Star NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, left, and Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer.

Six years and two leaders later there is barely a trace left of the party’s former strength.

On Monday, the New Democrats barely took 5 per cent of the vote in Scarborough-Agincourt, Newfoundland and Labrador’s Bonavista-Burin-Trinity and B.C.’s South Surrey–White Rock.

In Saskatchewan’s Battlefords-Lloydminster, the party finished second, with 13 per cent of the vote. In all cases, the NDP’s share of the vote went down from 2015.

Stacked against the party’s performance in the same ridings at the time of Jack Layton’s last election campaign, the picture is even more dismal. Indeed, the end-of-year polls show the federal NDP deep in third-party territory across the board.

As the Singh-led New Democrats fail to register, the Conservatives under Andrew Scheer are losing long-held seats to the Liberals. The two are not unrelated.

Voters in four federal ridings select new MP

  Voters in four federal ridings select new MP Voters in four federal ridings select new MPOTTAWA - The Trudeau government will get a chance to test its popularity today with four federal byelections.

Justin Trudeau's Liberals scored another byelection upset Monday, snatching the British Columbia riding of South Hogg's squeaker victory marks the second upset win for the governing Liberals in as many months. Monday's byelections marked the second electoral test for Scheer and Singh .

Liberals ’ byelection wins signal problems for Singh and Scheer . Liberals win 3 of 4 federal byelections , nab seat from | CBC News - www.cbc.ca. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, and South Surrey-White Rock Liberal byelection candidate Gordie Hogg are shown here attending a rally in

When the party lost Lac-Saint-Jean in October, many rationalized the defeat as the product of a Quebec microclimate that is more auspicious to a native son such as Justin Trudeau than to a relatively obscure Conservative leader from Western Canada.

The NDP had been fading in Quebec before Singh became leader. No one was surprised that it fell 17 points in a byelection that immediately followed his leadership victory.

But Monday’s Conservative loss of South Surrey-White Rock combined with the lacklustre NDP scores points to a larger pattern. The B.C. riding had not elected a Liberal since 1972. And while Trudeau did recruit a popular candidate, the Conservative tasked with holding the riding — Kerri-Lynne Findlay — was a former Harper minister.

Buoyed by two upset byelections victories over the Conservatives this fall and with a solid shot at winning back Outremont from the NDP if and when Thomas Mulcair retires in the New Year, few in the Liberal backrooms will lose sleep over the fact that overall, the Conservatives increased their vote share in three of four ridings on Monday.

What to watch as Trudeau, Scheer face test in 4 byelections

  What to watch as Trudeau, Scheer face test in 4 byelections What to watch as Trudeau, Scheer face test in 4 byelections Voters in four ridings spread across the country go to the polls Monday in federal byelections that will provide a midterm report card on Justin Trudeau's Liberal government and present another tough electoral test for Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer.Two of the ridings holding byelections — in Ontario and Newfoundland and Labrador — were last held by Liberals. The other two ridings, in Saskatchewan and British Columbia, were won by the Conservatives in 2015.

Liberals ’ byelection wins signal problems for Singh and Scheer . Liberals ’ byelection wins signal problems for Singh and ScheerWhether a dose of social media philosophy will provide much solace to a party that has endured diminishing returns since it elected its latest leader is an open

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Scheer cannot win the next general election in the face of a Liberal juggernaut in Quebec and B.C. And he won’t have much of a shot at toppling Trudeau unless the NDP reverses its decline.

The two parties to the left of the CPC are communicating vessels. A lost vote for the New Democrats is almost always a vote gained for the Liberals. It usually takes a split in the non-conservative vote for the Conservatives to win government.

Throughout the fall — Trudeau’s most difficult political season to date — the New Democrats and the Conservatives have been telling themselves that buyer’s remorse was about to catch up to the Liberals.

It seems both opposition parties had been inhaling their own question period fumes.

In the end the only seeds of buyer’s remorse that may have been planted in the mid-mandate byelections would pertain to the opposition’s leadership choices.

Chantal Hébert is a national affairs writer. Her column appears Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday.

Mulcair expected to resign in spring .
OTTAWA - Former NDP leader Tom Mulcair is expected to resign as a Montreal MP in the new year. A spokesperson for the New Democrats confirms Mulcair plans to depart after the spring parliamentary session, adding that the date of his resignation will be announced in the "near future." He is expected to take on a teaching role at a university but the name of the institution has not been announced. Mulcair, a former Quebec Liberal cabinet minister, scored a stunning 2007 byelection upset for the federal NDP in the Montreal riding of Outremont, until then a Liberal stronghold.

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