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Entertainment Federal modelling suggests 'very intense' Omicron surge within weeks

09:55  15 january  2022
09:55  15 january  2022 Source:   msn.com

The Netherlands in "confinement" during Christmas holidays

 The Netherlands in has a week of Christmas, the restrictions multiply again across Europe in the face of the propagation of the Omicron variant. View on euronews © / copyright 2021 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved has a Christmas week, restrictions multiply again across Europe to the spread of the Omicron Variant, especially in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom. "I am here tonight in a dark mood. To summarize it in one sentence, the Netherlands will return to confinement from tomorrow".

New modelling released today by the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) suggests the highly transmissible Omicron variant will push hospital admissions to "extremely high levels" in the coming weeks as case counts reach levels never before seen in this country.

While there is a lot of uncertainty about how many new infections are being reported each day due to ongoing COVID-19 testing constraints, PHAC said the current test positivity rate suggests the variant is running rampant and there will be "several weeks of very intense activity expected to come."

Nationally, the positivity rate is a stunning 28 per cent. That means more than one in four tests for the virus are coming back positive — nearly five times higher than the rate at any other point in the pandemic.

"The non-vaccinated are running a danger of death": the cash comments of a physician

 © Screenshot LCI "The non-vaccinated runs a danger of death": the cash comments of a doctor guest On the LCI Plateau on Tuesday, December 21, Professor Didier Sicard alerted the French on the Omicron variant. According to him, "the price to be paid by the non-vaccinated will be heavy". It also alerts damage that may cause the Omicron variant, currently at the heart of the news. Professor Didier Sicard , was Elizabeth Martichoux's guest on the LCI Morning Plateau on Tuesday, December 21.

That sky-high number may be skewed by testing limitations, now that some provinces and territories are restricting testing access to groups most vulnerable to COVID-19.

To maintain the health care system and the "critical functions of society," PHAC is urging Canadians to limit in-person contacts, get their booster shots and wear good quality, snug-fitting face masks to help stop transmission of a variant that is ripping through communities nationwide.

While PHAC said Omicron is likely less severe than past variants — the risk of hospitalization is lower than with the Delta variant, for example — the sheer number of new infections means more people will be susceptible to severe outcomes, including hospitalization and death.

Live updates: British Columbia orders closures due to COVID

  Live updates: British Columbia orders closures due to COVID VICTORIA, British Columbia — The Canadian Pacific Coast province of British Columbia is closing bars, nightclubs and gyms because of the omicron coronavirus variant. Starting at 11:59 p.m. on Wednesday, bars, nightclubs, gyms, fitness centers and dance studios will have to close, and all seated events will be reduced to 50% capacity. Indoor gatherings, including weddings, are being cancelled. Provincial health officer Dr. Bonnie Henry said Tuesday the risk posed by omicron is “fundamentally different” than other variants and it more easily infects those who are vaccinated or have had COVID-19.

The "enormous volume of cases" — the modelling suggests there could be as many as 150,000 new infections a day sometime this month — is driving an increase in severe illness trends nationally, PHAC said. New hospital admissions could surge to somewhere between 2,000 and 4,000 each day, well above historic highs.

Since December, the number of people with COVID-19 being treated in hospitals has more than quadrupled to an average of over 6,779 daily, while the number in critical care has doubled to an average of over 884 daily. Meanwhile, 82 deaths are being reported each day.

While the high volume of cases is driving an increase in hospitalization rates across all age groups, the number of hospital and ICU admissions is still highest among adults 80 years of age or older.

Infection rates could be stabilizing in Quebec, Ontario


Video: On This Day: 5 January 1968 (The Canadian Press)

Rising COVID-19 cases lead to stronger measures across Canada to slow spread

  Rising COVID-19 cases lead to stronger measures across Canada to slow spread Health professionals and provincial governments are drawing up battle plans to curb the spread of COVID-19 by bringing back restrictions, while speeding up booster doses as the highly transmissible Omicron variant washes over the country. As the holidays draw near, restrictions on social gatherings and visits to hospitals have been reintroduced with provincial governments trying to blunt the impact of Omicron. British Columbia's health officerAs the holidays draw near, restrictions on social gatherings and visits to hospitals have been reintroduced with provincial governments trying to blunt the impact of Omicron.

People over 80 report hospitalization rates eight to 10 times higher than younger cohorts. But unlike previous pandemic waves, the Omicron wave also has seen a small but notable uptick in hospitalizations among young children.

There are early indications that the rate of new infections may be stabilizing in Ontario and Quebec. "It is quite possible that in the next few days we'll see a peak in the cases," said Dr. Theresa Tam, Canada's chief public health officer.

But the number of new hospital admissions will remain high for the foreseeable future because there's a lag time between infection and severe outcomes.

"We could be like other countries — seeing a sharp, sharp increase and then it coming down fairly fast. But we all just want to be cautious about pronouncing on that before we see more information," Tam said.

Omicron has wreaked havoc because it is able to evade prior immunity from past infections and vaccination. PHAC said two doses of an mRNA vaccine are not very effective against infection and symptomatic disease; it described vaccine efficacy against an Omicron infection as "low to very low."

Omicron COVID-19 variant outlook for Canada has feds ‘very concerned,’ Trudeau says

  Omicron COVID-19 variant outlook for Canada has feds ‘very concerned,’ Trudeau says Canada is currently seeing a Delta-driven resurgence of COVID-19 cases — but if Omicron takes hold, that variant could drive infections up to unmanageable levels, data suggests.Those projections, made by chief public health officer Dr. Theresa Tam on Friday, suggest that Canada is on track to experience a COVID-19 resurgence -- one that could worsen if the Omicron variant tightens its grip on the country.

However, people with two doses of a vaccine are less likely to be admitted to hospital. PHAC data suggest unvaccinated people are 19 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people.

"These trends clearly show that being vaccinated with two or more doses is highly protective. As booster doses continue to expand, being up-to-date with COVID-19 vaccines is expected to preserve this protection advantage," Tam said.

To prevent further strain on hospitals, PHAC is urging vaccine holdouts to finally get a dose. More than 6.5 million eligible Canadians are not yet fully vaccinated. Vaccine coverage among people aged 5 to 11 remains stubbornly low, with just 48 per cent of kids in this age group having had at least one dose.

This image provided by Pfizer shows the company's COVID-19 Paxlovid pills. Pfizer's COVID-19 pills that were supposed to be an important weapon against the pandemic are in short supply. © Pfizer via AP Photo This image provided by Pfizer shows the company's COVID-19 Paxlovid pills. Pfizer's COVID-19 pills that were supposed to be an important weapon against the pandemic are in short supply.

Tam said Pfizer's promising antiviral, Paxlovid, may be a useful tool in the next phase of this pandemic fight — and future federal modelling on hospitalizations and deaths may have to be updated if and when this self-administered treatment is widely available for high-risk patients.

Clinical trial results suggest Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization or death by an impressive 89 per cent compared to a placebo in non-hospitalized high-risk adults with COVID-19.

Health Canada is reviewing the product now, but a post-approval delivery schedule remains uncertain.

"There's a global supply constraint and it may not be in widespread use for a while. What we're trying to do at PHAC is convene experts to help provide some considerations as to how the initial supplies could be prioritized, much as we did with the initial batch of vaccines. That work is underway," Tam said.

Canada in for ‘intense’ weeks of Omicron infections, hospitalization surges: data .
The projections, made by Canadian health officials on Friday, indicate the Omicron wave could peak at 170,000 cases a day this month. Canada is set for several “intense” weeks of COVID-19 activity as Omicron will continue to drive record infections and hospitalizations, new federal data suggests.

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