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Sports Odds for NASCAR race at Pocono: Expert picks & favorites to win Saturday's Cup Series race

17:55  27 june  2020
17:55  27 june  2020 Source:   sportingnews.com

NASCAR set for Truck, Xfinity, Cup tripleheader Sunday

  NASCAR set for Truck, Xfinity, Cup tripleheader Sunday LONG POND, Pa. — NASCAR is set for a tripleheader of racing at Pocono Raceway from three national series on Sunday. NASCAR says it's the first time three NASCAR National Series races will be raced on the same day at the same track. It will be the fifth time three NASCAR National Series races will be run on the same day but those were at different tracks. Rain washed out the Truck Series race on Saturday in what was already a packed schedule. Pocono is the site of a Cup Series twin bill, with one race on Saturday, one on Sunday, and the second race comes with a twist. The field for Sunday’s race will be set by inverting the lead-lap finishers from race No. 1.

NASCAR live race coverage, latest news, race results, standings, schedules Get NASCAR race information, including times, TV and results for the four national series races at Pocono Raceway this weekend. Justin Haley won Saturday ' s Unhinged 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Talladega

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a car parked on the side of a road © Provided by Sporting News

Picking a winner for Saturday's race at the Tricky Triangle based on the odds is, well, tricky. Because this is no ordinary race weekend at Pocono Raceway in Long Pond, Pa. For the first time ever, Pocono's two dates on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule are mashed together in one weekend, a Saturday-Sunday doubleheader.

Which means the results of Saturday's race, the Pocono Organics 325, should give us a good idea of who will be competitive in Sunday's race. We don't get that luxury when it comes to picking a winner for Saturday's race.

MORE: Full starting lineup for NASCAR race at Pocono

NASCAR Cup Series 2020: Double header in Pocono on Sunday live on SPORT1

 NASCAR Cup Series 2020: Double header in Pocono on Sunday live on SPORT1 © Getty Images NASCAR Cup Series While many national and international racing series are still preparing for the restart after the Corona compulsory break, the NASCAR Cup Series has been back to business for a few weeks now. This time there is a special highlight for all fans of the premier class in US motorsport, because SPORT1 is broadcasting a free TV race for the first time this season: The second race of the Pocono double can be seen live on Sunday from 10:00 p.m. -Headers.

Race lengths, additional details announced for 2020 Pocono doubleheader. Both Cup races will be part of doubleheaders, with the NASCAR Gander Outdoors Truck Series running a 200-mile event before Saturday ’ s Race 1 and the NASCAR Xfinity Series competing over 225 miles before

See who's the favorite for Saturday ' s Pocono Organics 325 in the NASCAR Cup Series at Pocono Raceway, with odds provided by our friends at Penn Ryan Newman Opening odds : 80-1 Best Pocono finish: 1st (2003, late summer). Saved to `My Liked Photos`. Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images.

Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch won the pair of Pocono races last season, which is part of the reason they are two of the favorites for Saturday's race at the 2.5-mile triangle race track. That's the case even though Busch, the defending Cup Series champion, is riding a 13-race winless streak.

Below are the complete Vegas odds to win Saturday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Pocono, plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR race odds to win at Pocono

Busch has three career wins at Pocono, including last June's victory. Kevin Harvick, the driver with the second best odds to win Saturday's race, has never won a Cup Series race at Pocono, but he tends to run well at the Tricky Triangle and enters the weekend as the series' points leader.

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Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, below are the complete odds to win Saturday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Pocono.

Driver Odds to win Homestead race
Kyle Busch +500
Kevin Harvick +600
Denny Hamlin +650
Brad Keselowski +750
Chase Elliott +750
Martin Truex Jr. +750
Joey Logano +1200
Ryan Blaney +1200
Erik Jones +1700
Alex Bowman +1900
William Byron +1900
Kurt Busch +2300
Jimmie Johnson +2900
Clint Bowyer +5500
Tyler Reddick +7500
Aric Almirola +8000
Matt Kenseth +9500
Bubba Wallace +10000
Austin Dillon +12000
Christopher Bell +12000
Matt DiBenedetto +12000
Ryan Newman +12000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +14000
Chris Buescher +19000
Ty Dillon +20000
BJ McLeod +20000
Brennan Poole +20000
Cole Custer +20000
Corey LaJoie +20000
Daniel Suarez +20000
Garrett Smithley +20000
JJ Yeley +20000
James Davison +20000
Joey Gase +20000
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Josh Bilicki +20000
Michael McDowell +20000
Quin Houff +20000
Ryan Preece +20000
Timmy Hill +20000

There's a reason all four JGR drivers are near the top of the oddsboard. The organization has won five of the last nine NASCAR Cup Series races at Pocono, including the last three consecutive — Busch’s win in July of 2017 and his back-to-back victories in July 2018 and June 2019, and Hamlin’s victory last July.

Odds for NASCAR race at Pocono: Expert picks & favorites to win Sunday's Cup Series race

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For the first time in NASCAR history, the Cup Series will run points-paying races on consecutive days at the same track. Pocono Raceway is set to host Saturday ' s Pocono Organics 325 in partnership with Rodale Institute at 3:30 p.m. ET on FOX and then Sunday's Pocono 350 at 4 p.m. ET on FS1.

Two JGR drivers, Hamlin and Erik Jones, also have the two best driver ratings at the track.

Below are the top 10 career driver ratings at Pocono among those in Saturday's field.

  1. Denny Hamlin, 105.1
  2. Erik Jones, 103.6
  3. Kurt Busch, 100.7
  4. Jimmie Johnson, 99.1
  5. Kevin Harvick, 98.6
  6. Chase Elliott, 98.2
  7. Kyle Busch, 95.4
  8. Brad Keselowski, 94.7
  9. Joey Logano, 89.3
  10. William Byron, 88.3

The pole position, which for Saturday's race was awarded to Aric Almirola based on the results of a random draw, has produced the most Pocono race winners in the Cup Series. A total of 16 of the 84 races (19 percent) have been won by the driver who started first.

Below is the breakdown of wins from varying starting positions in the history of Cup racing at Pocono.

Starting position Winning % Wins
1st 19.05 percent 16
Front row 30.95 percent 26
Top 5 58.33 percent 49
Top 10 71.43 percent 60
Outside top 20 8.33 percent 7
Outside top 20 8.33 percent 7
Outside top 20 8.33 percent 7

The top 10 starters for Monday's race at Pocono are as follows: 1. Aric Almirola, 2. Ryan Blaney, 3. Denny Hamlin, 4. Kyle Busch, 5. Chase Elliott, 6. Joey Logano, 7. Kurt Busch, 8. Brad Keselowski, 9. Kevin Harvick, 10. Alex Bowman

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NASCAR at Pocono expert picks

(All NASCAR loop data stats are from 2005 through present.)

1. Erik Jones

Career stats at Pocono:

  • Four top fives, five top 10s
  • Average finish of 8.333 (series-best)
  • Average running position of 8.880 (series-best)
  • Driver rating of 103.6 (second-best)
  • 40 fastest laps run (12th-best)
  • 830 laps in top 15; 85.8 percent (13th-most)
  • 218 quality passes (17th-most)

We're going with the trends. Not only has JRG been dominant at Pocono of late, but so has Toyota in general. With Toyota drivers winning the last five Cup races at Pocono, if another were to win Saturday, the manufacturer would tie Chevrolet for the most consecutive wins at Pocono with six (August 2012 - June 2015). Jones personally happens to run well at Pocono, too.

2. William Byron

Career stats at Pocono:

  • One top five, three top 10s
  • Average finish of 9.250 (second-best)
  • Average running position of 12.023 (sixth-best)
  • Driver rating of 89.0 (10th-best)
  • 13 fastest laps run (17th-best)
  • 458 laps in top 15; 70.8 percent (20th-most)
  • 140 quality passes (21st-most)

Byron is still looking for his first career Cup Series win, and given the speed Hendrick Motorsports has shown this season (think Alex Bowman's win at Auto Club Speedway and Chase Elliott's win at Charlotte Motor Speedway), this could be his chance.

3. Kyle Busch

Career stats at Pocono:

  • Three wins, eight top fives, 15 top 10s
  • Average finish of 15.633 (12th-best)
  • Average running position of 13.133 (11th-best)
  • Driver rating of 95.4 (seventh-best)
  • 322 fastest laps run (third-best)
  • 3,616 laps in top 15; 69.6 percent (fourth-most)
  • 1,018 quality passes (sixth-most)

The winless streak has to end at some point, and his team's hot streak at Pocono leads us to believe Busch is the favorite Saturday for good reason.

Odds for NASCAR race at Homestead: Expert picks & favorites to win Sunday's Cup Series race .
Here are the complete odds to win Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Homestead-Miami Speedway.For example, two of the top three drivers on the odds board have won at Homestead over the last three years. Those wins, of course, made Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. NASCAR Cup Series champions in 2019 and 2017, respectively. Now the Homestead race will play out during the first half of the season with much less on the line.

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