Sports CFB Week 4 betting roundup: Mississippi State's an "over" machine
Analysis: LSU's losses too great to overcome as defending champions upset by Mississippi State 44-34
LSU's 44-34 loss to Mississippi State revealed just how much the defending national champions have lost since the end of last season.Yet another Preseason Honor for Notre Dame QB Book
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Every week during the college football regular season, we'll be recapping all the things you may have missed from a betting perspective.
Here's what stood out after Week 4.
Mississippi State is an "over" machine
A lot of people said the air raid wouldn't work in the SEC. Those people are officially 0-for-1.
Ranking the SEC from first to worst after opening weekend
With every team kicking off against a conference opponent, Saturday showed how the SEC’s pecking order might shake out during an unorthodox season.Yet another Preseason Honor for Notre Dame QB Book
Former longtimehead coach Mike Leach made a statement in his inaugural game at , upsetting the defending champion 44-34, as a 15-point underdog. Quarterback threw for a conference-record 623 yards in the win.
SEC totals have seen a spike in recent years as the conference opens it up offensively. However, Leach has set a new precedent. If oddsmakers get lazy with Mississippi State totals, it's over, over, and over from here on out.
Stick a fork in Southern Miss
is on the no-bet list and, frankly, has been there all season. The Golden Eagles kicked off the campaign with a loss to as 13-point favorites. A few days later, the head coach quit.
In their following contest, the Golden Eagles (-5.5) lost on the game's final play to. Then, this past weekend, Southern Miss was steamrolled 66-24 by - which blew a 24-0 lead to the week prior.
Mississippi State makes major move up, while Oklahoma and LSU fall in NCAA Re-Rank 1-126
Mississippi State soars, while Oklahoma and LSU plummets in the USA TODAY Sports NCAA Re-Rank, which adds teams from the Pac-12, Mountain West and MAC.Cade Mays, Trey Smith rated as top 31 players for 2021 NFL Draft
As if allowing close to 600 yards of offense wasn't embarrassing enough, Southern Miss' effort just wasn't there in Week 4. It's clear this team's mailed it in.
Don't fade BYU
Credit! The program had three weeks off between games and barely skipped a beat in a 48-7 win over . The Cougars posted an eye-popping 664 yards of total offense as they continue to maul the Group of 5; the 41-point win came after BYU crushed Navy 55-3 in the opener.
The Cougars will be able to keep the foot on the pedal virtually all season - they don't play a single Power 5 program.
Expect more blowout wins for head coach Kalani Sitake and Co.
Buy Texas A&M's defense
is notorious for its explosive offense, but it's the defense that won me over in Week 4. Head coach Jimbo Fisher brought back roughly 75% of his defense from last year, and the unit didn't disappoint in its first test.
The Aggies allowed just 3.7 yards per play and one touchdown in a narrow 17-12 win over. Granted, it was against a far inferior opponent, but Texas A&M has now strangely gone under the total in five straight games dating back to last season.
Feel free to keep playing under the total until the market correctly adjusts.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter.
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