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Sports NHL Draft lottery 2018: Each team's odds to select Rasmus Dahlin

14:57  09 april  2018
14:57  09 april  2018 Source:   sportingnews.com

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All in for Rasmus Dahlin ? Sporting News keeps track of each team ' s chances to win the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NHL Draft and the right to select the generational Swedish defenseman.

a close up of a baseball player wearing a helmet: Rasmus Dahlin© (Getty Images) Rasmus Dahlin

As the NHL playoff picture comes into focus, a growing number of fan bases are left counting their ping-pong balls.

The race for Rasmus Dahlin, the presumptive No. 1 pick in June's entry draft, is in full swing at the bottom of the standings, with teams like the Coyotes, Sabres and Senators hoping for the opportunity to select the generational Swedish defenseman as a salve for their pitiful seasons.

The "All in for Dahlin" movement hasn't gained as many supporters as its tanking predecessors, though. And recent history suggests most anyone with a lottery pick — from the Canucks and Canadiens to the Red Wings or (gasp) Blackhawks — could swoop in and disrupt the order.

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All in for Rasmus Dahlin ? Sporting News keeps track of each team ' s chances to win the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NHL Draft and the right to select the generational Swedish defenseman. Odds to win the 2018 NHL Draft lottery .

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Remember: The NHL's cruel, anti-tank odds allocation means nothing is guaranteed, rendering the great tankathons of 2014 and 2015 a dying art. The biggest "loser," aka whichever team finishes dead last, has only an 18.5 percent at picking first overall — or an 81.5 percent chance of losing the lottery — and a 50/50 shot at falling out of the top three all together. That club can drop no lower than No. 4, but the talent disparity between Dahlin and the field is significant.

In 2017, the Devils (8.517 percent), Flyers (2.204 percent) and Stars (5.812 percent) stunningly bumped the Avalanche, Canucks, Golden Knights and Coyotes (tied) from the top three, winning the rights to Nico Hischier and Nolan Patrick. In 2016, the Jets nabbed Patrik Laine with the No. 2 pick despite holding the fifth-best odds.

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All in for Rasmus Dahlin ? Sporting News keeps track of each team ' s chances to win the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NHL Draft and the right to select the generational Swedish defenseman. Odds to win the 2018 NHL Draft lottery .

This year, the NHL and NHLPA agreed to a slight increase in lottery percentages for bottom teams to win the No. 1 overall pick. Note that the odds for a top-three pick are via Micah Blake McCurdy, whose model at Hockeyviz.com shows the probability for every lottery slot. The NHL does not disclose official expanded odds.

The draft lottery drawing will be held April 28.

Odds to win the 2018 NHL Draft lottery

Edmonton Oilers78 points5.0%16.0%

Points vs. No. 1 overall % vs. top three %

Odds to win the 2018 NHL Draft lottery

Buffalo Sabres62 points18.5%49.4%
Ottawa Senators67 points13.5%38.8%
Arizona Coyotes70 points11.5%33.9%
Montreal Canadiens71 points9.5%28.8%
Detroit Red Wings73 points8.5%26.1%
Vancouver Canucks73 points7.5%23.3%
Chicago Blackhawks76 points6.5%20.4%
New York Rangers77 points6.0%19.0%
Edmonton Oilers78 points5.0%16.0%
New York Islanders80 points3.5%11.4%
Carolina Hurricanes83 points3.0%9.9%
New York Islanders (via Flames)84 points2.5%8.2%
Dallas Stars92 points2.0%6.6%
Philadelphia Flyers (via Blues)94 points1.5%5.0%
Florida Panthers96 points1.0%3.3%

NHL Draft Prospect Profile: Rasmus Dahlin .
In the weeks leading up to the 2018 NHL Draft, theScore NHL prospect writer Hannah Stuart breaks down 10 of the most notable draft-eligible prospects. The first edition focuses on Rasmus Dahlin. Between finding success against much older competition in the Swedish Hockey League, winning a Champions Hockey League championship, and playing for Sweden at the Olympics, Rasmus Dahlin has already had an illustrious hockey career - and he didn't turn 18 until April 13.Drawing comparisons to players like Victor Hedman and garnering labels like "franchise-defining," Dahlin has been the consensus top pick for this year’s draft since before the 2017 edition ended.

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