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World Russia's Military Buildup Next to Ukraine May Force Joe Biden's Hand

21:15  27 november  2021
21:15  27 november  2021 Source:   newsweek.com

US seeks balance as fears grow Russia may invade Ukraine

  US seeks balance as fears grow Russia may invade Ukraine WASHINGTON (AP) — The buildup of Russian troops near Ukraine has left U.S. officials perplexed, muddying the Biden administration’s response. Some Republican lawmakers have been pressing the U.S. to step up military support for Ukraine. But that risks turning what may be mere muscle-flexing by Russian President Vladimir Putin into a full-blown confrontation that only adds to the peril for Ukraine and could trigger an energy crisis in Europe. ButSome Republican lawmakers have been pressing the U.S. to step up military support for Ukraine.

The buildup of Russian troops along Ukraine's border is a growing concern for the international community and is posing an ever trickier foreign policy problem for President Joe Biden.

Ukrainian servicemen in military exercises with the United States and other NATO countries near Lviv, Ukraine, on September 24, 2021. Ukraine has called for NATO membership to counter the threat of Russia. © YURIY DYACHYSHYN/Getty Ukrainian servicemen in military exercises with the United States and other NATO countries near Lviv, Ukraine, on September 24, 2021. Ukraine has called for NATO membership to counter the threat of Russia.

With Russian tanks moving west towards Ukraine months after a similar buildup caused outrage, NATO's Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg warned Moscow on Friday of the risk of "miscalculation."

Russia Ramps Up War Rhetoric Against Ukraine as West Fears Imminent Invasion

  Russia Ramps Up War Rhetoric Against Ukraine as West Fears Imminent Invasion Russian claims of fearsome provocations from Ukraine match prior instances in which the Kremlin used self defense as a pretext to war.Through a series of public statements and posts through its state news services, leaders in Russia on Monday presented the unified case that Ukraine was needlessly deploying its military forces to challenge Russia’s sovereignty and its nearby interests, that rising concern in the West of military action by Moscow represents only an attempt by Kyiv to mask its own intentions to do so, that the Western-backed peace process for the conflict in Ukraine is broken and that Kyiv’s allies in Europe and North America are not prepared to back up their

The same day Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy told reporters that his country was "entirely prepared for an escalation." He also said he had information that a "coup d'etat will take place in our country."

While light on details and not accusing the Russian government itself, nor directly referring to the build-up, Zelenskiy was specific enough to say the coup would take place on December 1 and 2 involving Russian and Ukrainian "representatives." The Kremlin dismissed Zelenskiy's claims.

Zelenskiy's accusations have raised the temperature and come ahead of the U.S-led virtual Summit for Democracy to be held on December 9 and 10.

A virtual meeting between Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected before the end of the year that will test the results of their summit in June. Since then, Kyiv has been ramping up its pleas to join NATO to curb the threat of Moscow.

Overnight Defense & National Security — Biden officials consider more Ukraine aid

  Overnight Defense & National Security — Biden officials consider more Ukraine aid It's Tuesday, welcome to Overnight Defense & National Security, your nightly guide to the latest developments at the Pentagon, on Capitol Hill and beyond. Subscribe here: thehill.com/newsletter-signup.The Biden administration is considering sending military advisers and weaponry to Ukraine as concerns about a possible Moscow invasion intensify.We'll have more on that, plus the Bidens' "Friendsgiving" at Fort Bragg and the status of his new presidential helicopter.For The Hill, I'm Jordan Williams. Write me with tips at jwilliams@thehill.comLet's get to it.

"Politically not all NATO member states are ready for that and we know that Russia is instrumentalizing it to draw red lines, and further increase pressure on the west not to help Ukraine," said Iulia Joja, director and senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, and adjunct professor at Georgetown University.

"This also brings us into this difficult cycle of NATO membership, with Russia saying that 'this is a red line' and the United States having a problematic history over the last few years of red lines," she told Newsweek.

"It is a conundrum in which the Biden administration is in right now," she said, as the U.S balances how "to help Ukraine in real terms and make a difference on the ground, without inadvertently escalating a response from Russia."

When contacted for comment about American support for Kyiv, the U.S. State Department referred Newsweek to spokesman Ned Price's remarks on Tuesday in which he reiterated how the U.S. was committed to an arms and military aid deal worth $60 million.

EXPLAINER: Is Russia going to invade Ukraine?

  EXPLAINER: Is Russia going to invade Ukraine? MOSCOW (AP) — Ukrainian and Western officials are worried that a Russian military buildup near Ukraine could signal plans by Moscow to invade its ex-Soviet neighbor. The Kremlin insists it has no such intention and has accused Ukraine and its Western backers of making the claims to cover up their own allegedly aggressive designs. It’s unclear whether the Russian troop concentration heralds an imminent attack or represents an attempt by Russian President Vladimir Putin to persuade the U.S. and its NATO allies to refrain from sending soldiers and weapons to Ukraine, and drop plans for its eventual integration into NATO.

The pact struck in September also increased U.S. military assistance to about $400 million in 2022 but there are calls from Capitol Hill for more.

"The question in the relationship between Ukraine and Russia and the United States is what the United States can do more to help, Joja said, "certainly there is more need for military equipment."

Senators Rob Portman(R-OH), a senior member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) want to increase Pentagon funding to Ukraine by another $50 million as part of annual defense policy legislation.

When asked about the prospect of further U.S. military support, Price said: "We don't have anything to announce or preview at this time."

Price also summed up the international community's view about the buildup which by Kyiv's estimate, consists of 92,000 troops.

"We don't know Russia's intentions," he told reporters, "we don't know precisely what Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin might be planning."

President Joe Biden at Eisenhower Executive Office Building on November 23, 2021 in Washington, DC. He faces pressure to act amid Russia's military build-up along its border with Ukraine. Alex Wong/Getty © Alex Wong/Getty President Joe Biden at Eisenhower Executive Office Building on November 23, 2021 in Washington, DC. He faces pressure to act amid Russia's military build-up along its border with Ukraine. Alex Wong/Getty

Moscow has dismissed claims it plans to invade Ukraine and has spent much of the last few months accusing NATO of provocations amid alliance military exercises in the Black Sea it considers its backyard.

What is happening at Ukraine's border? Putin's buildup of Russian troops sparks concern

  What is happening at Ukraine's border? Putin's buildup of Russian troops sparks concern A previous build-up of Russian forces on the border preceded Moscow's annexation of Crimea. President Vladimir Putin is threatening Ukraine again.Ukraine has been on edge in recent weeks amid a fresh build-up of Russian troops on the nation's eastern border, near where Moscow and Kyiv have been enmeshed in a simmering conflict for the last seven years that's killed more than 14,000 people.

In any case, doubt reigns over the wisdom of Russia openly entering and escalating the nearly eight-year conflict in which 13,000 people have died in eastern Ukraine, where Moscow is condemned for backing separatist forces but denies any role.

In commemorating the Holodomor famine in Ukraine of the early 1930s, Biden this week reiterated the U.S.'s "unwavering support for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine." But the Biden administration might be wary of giving Kyiv further commitments that if it did not defend, might make the U.S. look weak.

"U.S. options range between doing nothing to threatening to increase deliveries of lethal weaponry to Ukraine and imposing additional sanctions on Russia," said John Lough, associate fellow of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at London's Chatham House think tank.

"The Biden administration appears to be waking up to the fact that Ukraine is unfinished business for Russia and that it sees an opportunity to redefine the balance of power in Europe by insisting on Ukraine being part of its sphere of influence," he told Newsweek.

"Putin wants to show Kyiv that Ukraine is more important to Russia than to its western partners. The challenge for the U.S. is to show that Ukraine will not be on its own if the tensions increase."

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No shortage of sanction options if Russia invades Ukraine .
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration has plenty of options to make good on its pledge to hit Russia financially if President Vladimir Putin invades Ukraine, from sanctions targeting Putin’s associates to cutting Russia off from the financial system that sends money flowing around the world. The United States and European allies have made no public mention of any plans to respond militarily themselves if Putin sends troops massed along the border into Ukraine, a former Soviet republic with close historical and cultural ties to Russia but now eager to ally with NATO and the West. Instead, payback could be all about the money.

usr: 1
This is interesting!