Health & Fitness An intensive care specialist has this simple and terrifying explanation for why coronavirus spreads so fast

16:21  23 march  2020
16:21  23 march  2020 Source:   walesonline.co.uk

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An intensive care specialist has given this clear, succinct explanation for why coronavirus has spread so rapidly around the world.

In this clip, Dr Hugh Montgomery, chairman of intensive care medicine at University College London, shows why Covid-19 is so infectious and why it’s so important to stop it as early as possible.

He explained in a Channel 4 Dispatches documentary: "If I get normal flu, I am going to infect on average between 1.3 and 1.4 people

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The global coronavirus pandemic causes more than just complications and death. Adam Visser, an intensive care specialist from Toowoomba, a small city in Queensland, Australia, recently took to An IC Specialist gave a spot-on explanation that everyone—not just those at risk— have to stay safe.

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"And if those 1.3, 1.4 people gave it to the next lot, that is the second time it gets passed on.

"By the time that is happening 10 times, I've been responsible for about 14 cases of flu.

"This coronavirus is very, very infectious, so every person passes it on to three.

"Now that doesn't sound like much of a difference, but if each of those three passes it to three, and that happens at 10 layers I have been responsible for infecting 59,000 people."

Hugh Montgomery sitting on a table: The doctor's stark warning © Channel 4 Dispatches The doctor's stark warning

He also warned about how NHS resources will be stretched with more people needing hospital treatment.

"Most people are going to feel pokey, or a bit pokey, and be just fine, but they will have to spread it around.

"A few will get sick by about 10 days of the illness. So they will need to come into hospital .

Intensive care capacity

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"And when they are in hospital they will consume resources and time and people will look after them, quite rightly.

And they will be monitored to see if they become really, really sick.

"Those people then come to an intensive care unit. And that's where, if you are critically ill, your life gets saved or not. And this is the issue.

"If we've got limited resources, and we have, a limited number of ventilators, a limited number of doctors, a limited number of nurses. which is fine because we can't run ourselves with a huge excess capacity all the time.

"If we overwhelm that, we can't provide that level of service for caring these people properly."

But he did provide some hope.

"I am not going to play it down, it's going to be horrible, it's going to be ugly for a large number of people, but it will be a small number of people who get properly sick, and a smaller percentage of those again that need to come to an intensive care unit. And we can save the lives of large number of those patients too.

"Please, just remember that the best chance we can give to the people who do fall ill is if we have got enough beds and enough staff, and enough kit to be there for you."

Coronavirus: How to Isolate Yourself, Channel 4

'I owe them my life' - out of intensive care, Johnson praises medics .
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