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Health & Fitness Coronavirus latest: 'possible' UK is beginning to flatten Covid-19 curve - but distancing must continue, says chief scientific adviser

00:21  08 april  2020
00:21  08 april  2020 Source:   inews.co.uk

Coronavirus could infect 80% of people in the UK, government says

  Coronavirus could infect 80% of people in the UK, government says Coronavirus could infect up to 80% of the population, although the real number “will probably be a lot lower” - the government has said. Professor Chris Whitty, the Chief Medical Officer, told a No10 press conference that as many as 530,000 could die from the disease under in the worst case scenario. Globally, more than 90,000 cases have been confirmed, with more than 3,000 deaths, while in the UK the number people diagnosed rose to 51 on Tuesday.A government “battle plan” revealed at the press conference stated that as much as 80% of the population could be infected in the coming months, but Prof Whitty the real amount is likely to be less than that.

Inside an intensive care unit fighting coronavirus Jump to media player The BBC's Fergus Walsh meets medics treating patients with Covid - 19 at Speaking at the daily Downing Street briefing, Sir Patrick Vallance said it was " possible that we ' re beginning to see the curve flattening ".

The UK 's chief scientific adviser says the curve of the epidemic may be starting to flatten . The number of coronavirus cases in the UK "could be moving in the right direction", the government's The UK PM, suffering with Covid - 19 , is breathing without help in intensive care says his deputy.

a man wearing a suit and tie © Provided by The i

The Government's scientific advisor has said it is "possible" the UK is starting to see the "beginning of change" in terms of the number of coronavirus cases levelling out.

Chief Scientific Advisor Sir Patrick Vallance said the Covid-19 data suggests the country could be on the brink of "flattening the curve" which would mean cases of the virus could begin to drop in coming days.

But he warned the country would not know for sure whether social distancing had worked "for a week or so" and the measures should continue for now.

No review of rules yet

Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab, who is deputising for Prime Minister Boris Johnson while he is in intensive care with coronavirus, said that the Government does not have enough evidence yet to review the social distancing rules.

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Monday will see the three-week deadline since the stricter rules were put in place and when the PM had originally planned to review the measures.

But Mr Raab said the Government wanted to make "evidence-based decisions" so any review of the new rules would not be until there was enough new information to do so.

Asked during the Downing Street press briefing when the Government will announce if lockdown measures will continue beyond next week, Mr Raab said: "The critical thing is to take evidence-based decisions and so we've said that we will take any review once we've got the evidence that the measures are working.

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Covid - 19 . The technical name for the coronavirus is SARS-CoV-2. Coronaviruses are named for the crown-like spikes that protrude from their surfaces, resembling the sun’s corona. Social distancing refers to measures that are taken to increase the physical space between people to slow

Science | Flattening the Coronavirus Curve . (For a more detailed analysis, see a recent paper in The Lancet, “How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID - 19 epidemic?”)

"And having the kind of impact taking past the peak which means that they can be responsibly done. We're not at that stage yet."

Prof Chris Whitty, Chief Medical Officer, added: "It's really important that we get to the point that we're all confident that we're beyond the peak and then at that point start making it clear what combination of things and over what period of time seems a sensible combination to take us through."

The latest figures, released by the Department of Health on Tuesday, revealed that as of 9am on Tuesday, 213,181 people have been tested of which 55,242 tested positive for Covid-19.

A total of 6,159 patients have died in hospital after testing positive for coronavirus in the UK as of 5pm on Monday.

Sir Patrick said the latest figures showing new coronavirus cases in the UK suggest we are not seeing "the big upswing of growth that we talked about at the beginning - there is a fairly steady increase in numbers".

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Mr Trump said that the peak death rate in the United States from coronavirus pandemic was likely to hit in But it is still too early to claim that the curve is beginning to flatten off. "It is also important not to Meanwhile Uruguay and Bolivia have both confirmed their first deaths related to Covid - 19 today.

"It is possible we are beginning to see the beginning of change in terms of the curve flattening a little bit. We won't know that for sure for a week or so but what we are not seeing is an acceleration," he said.

"It does begin to suggest that things might be moving in the right direction in terms of numbers and it's important that we carry on with the measures that we have got in place in order to make sure that this does go in the right direction."

He said the key was to avoid a large peak in cases so as to prevent a surge in hospital admissions that would put too much pressure on intensive care resources in the NHS.

"What we can say, though, is that the numbers as we look at them now look as though we should come in about right, there shouldn't be an overall increase above the number of beds available.

"The NHS, I think, has done an amazing job in terms of increasing the capacity of ICU and so things seem to be tracking in the right direction, but I don't think I can say more than that."

Stay at home to stop coronavirus spreading - here is what you can and can't do. If you think you have the virus, don't go to the GP or hospital, stay indoors and get advice online. Only call NHS 111 if you cannot cope with your symptoms at home; your condition gets worse; or your symptoms do not get better after seven days. In parts of Wales where 111 isn't available, call NHS Direct on 0845 46 47. In Scotland, anyone with symptoms is advised to self-isolate for seven days. In Northern Ireland, call your GP.

Coronavirus: Risk of second peak 'is very real', government's chief adviser warns .
The government’s chief scientific adviser has warned that the threat of a second peak in coronavirus deaths is “very real” as the UK looks set to loosen its lockdown restrictions. Sir Patrick Vallance told the Health and Social Care Committee on Tuesday morning that although several countries are reducing lockdown measures, the world is still "quite early" in the pandemic. He argued that countries should focus on keeping their “R rate”, the virus’s reproduction rate, below one - where social distancing measures mean a carrier is only able to one other person with the disease.

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