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Health & Fitness Coronavirus cases rise for the first time in a week as scientists warn pandemic is not over yet

20:28  28 july  2021
20:28  28 july  2021 Source:   msn.com

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Coronavirus cases have risen slightly ending a 7-day run of daily falls with scientists and politicians stressing the pandemic is far from over in the UK.

Another 27,734 cases were recorded on Wednesday, up from 23,511 the previous day, with hospital admissions rising slightly to reach 6,021.

A further 91 people had died within 28 days of testing positive for Covid-19 as of Wednesday, bringing the UK total to 129,430.

Separate figures published by the Office for National Statistics show there have been 154,000 deaths registered in the UK where Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate.

Scientists have been puzzled by, but pleasantly surprised, by the week of daily falls in cases and were looking to the latest monthly findings of Imperial College London’s REACT study to provide further evidence that cases in the community have come down significantly.

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However, the research team called off a briefing at the 11th hour today saying they needed more time to analyse their data.

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Scientists continued to warn against complacency pointing out that people are still not resorting to pre-pandemic levels of socialising despite all lockdown restrictions having ended.

Mike Tildesley, professor of infectious disease modelling at the University of Warwick,  said the recent falls in case numbers could have occurred because people are less willing to get tested ahead of summer holidays.

Asked about the decline, he said: “Because schools in England closed last week, we haven’t got secondary school pupils doing regular lateral flow testing and so we’re not necessarily detecting as many cases in younger people.

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“It’s also been suggested by some that, possibly, because of a high number of cases, because of the summer holidays approaching, people might be less willing to ‘step up’ to testing when they have symptoms.”

Professor Tildesley, a member of scientific modelling group Spi-M, which advises the Government, said if hospital admission figures began going into decline in August it would be “much stronger evidence” to suggest the third wave is starting to turn around.

However, he also warned that Covid-19 “isn’t necessarily all over bar the shouting quite yet”.

Boris Johnson wearing a suit and tie: Read More - Featured Image © Provided by The i Read More - Featured Image

Professor Tildesley said: “I think people are aware that Covid isn’t quite over. I really hope that this is the turnaround of the third wave and as we get towards the autumn we really are very much getting back to normal. But I think, actually, people are doing pretty well at using their own judgment and exercising caution when necessary.

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“It’s pretty clear that we are not back to kind of pre-pandemic levels of mixing – people aren’t socialising in the same way they were before the pandemic, hopefully that will come. But I think that’s probably partly what we’re seeing in the data – that we’re not seeing a big surge in infections because people are taking a little bit of time to get back to normality.”

Professor Tildesley said that the high level of protection from the vaccines should put the UK in a “better position” in the winter, but added that it is possible a variant of concern could emerge.

Health Secretary Sajid Javid, who has previously warned that there could be 100,000 daily cases over the summer, said he hoped recent falls in the numbers would be sustained but it was important not to be “too optimistic”.

Speaking at a vaccination centre in London’s Little Venice, he said: “The truth is, when it comes to case numbers no-one really knows where they are going to go next. I hope that the falls that we’re seeing now are sustained. That’s of course what I want to see.

“But we’ve already seen with the Delta variant, a new variant that emerged over the last year, that’s more infectious than the previous one, that things can change. And so, I think it’s important to remain cautious, not get too optimistic.”

Is the number of coronavirus cases still the best measure of the pandemic? .
Spain has the third-highest incidence rate in the European Union, but has the lowest reported mortality figure per 100,000 of the largest states thanks to its Covid-19 vaccination driveOn Friday, the 14-day cumulative number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants reached 152, above the 150-threshold considered to indicate a situation of “high risk.” But with most of the at-risk population vaccinated against Covid-19 in Spain, this figure cannot be read in the same way. The CI is just one of eight main indicators and around 20 secondary ones that are used in the traffic light system to assess the level of risk in a territory.

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