•   
  •   

Health & Fitness Covid cases in school pupils in Scotland are plummeting already

18:25  08 september  2021
18:25  08 september  2021 Source:   dailymail.co.uk

School absences are double pre-pandemic rate – with GCSE year group missing the most study time

  School absences are double pre-pandemic rate – with GCSE year group missing the most study time Absence rates were around double the 2018-19 rates, with Year 11 pupils absent for almost 15 per cent of the time – the most of any year group.FFT Education Datalab used data collected from 2,000 secondary schools to compare absence up to the May half term in 2020-21 – excluding the period of school closures – with absence in all state secondary schools in 2018-19.

graphical user interface: MailOnline logo © Provided by Daily Mail MailOnline logo

Covid cases among children in Scotland may already be falling just weeks after schools went back and sparked a fresh wave of infections, in an encouraging sign for the rest of the UK.

Public Health Scotland data suggest Covid cases among under-14s peaked at 1,943 on September 1 after rising consistently for three weeks when classes resumed north of the border.

Infections in the age group fell in the following three days and have hovered at almost 1,500 since.

There was huge concern across the UK when Scotland's cases rocketed almost three-fold after schools went back in mid-August.

Scotland's Covid cases TRIPLED in a fortnight after return of schools

  Scotland's Covid cases TRIPLED in a fortnight after return of schools Office for National Statistics weekly report estimated 117,300 Scots, or one in 45 people, were infected with Covid in the latest week. Two weeks ago it said 36,700 had the virus.The Office for National Statistics' weekly surveillance report estimated 117,300 people, the equivalent of one in 45 Scots, were infected with the virus on any given day in the week ending September 3. For comparison, the figure stood at 36,700 people, or one in 140, in the seven-day spell to August 20.

It reignited the debate about whether children aged 12 to 15 should be routinely vaccinated against Covid to keep transmission low and avoid a delayed winter peak.

Professor Chris Whitty and the other chief medical officers are currently weighing up whether to offer jabs to 12 to 15-year-olds, after the Government's vaccine advisers said the shots only offered a marginal benefit to their health.

Professor Whitty — who said over summer he would be in favour of jabbing kids to prevent more school closures — is expected to OK the move on Friday.

But some SAGE advisers have already said it is too late to vaccinate the age group, saying youngsters should have been jabbed before they returned to the classroom.

They pointed to the eight week gap required after the first dose and the up to three week gap after the second dose before the jabs spark immunity to suggest it is too late to vaccinate the age group.

UK's daily Covid cases fall by 11% in a week to 37,622

  UK's daily Covid cases fall by 11% in a week to 37,622 Department of Health data showed 37,622 cases were recorded in the last 24 hours, down from the 42,076 registered last Friday. But hospitalisations went above 1,000 for the third time in two weeks.Britain's daily Covid cases have fallen 11 per cent in a week, official figures revealed today — but both deaths and hospitalisations are still rising.

PHS publishes Covid cases detected in each age group by specimen date, which is when the test was carried out.

Covid cases continue to flatten with just 10% increase over last month

  Covid cases continue to flatten with just 10% increase over last month On Thursday, the U.S. recorded 157,957 cases of Covid with a seven-day average of 140,567, a 10% rise from the 137,058 average one month ago, but a decline from the 212% rise seen in August.On Thursday, officials recorded 157,957 new cases of COVID-19 with a seven-day rolling average of 155,523, which is a 10 percent increase from the 140,567 average reported on August 19.

It can take up to a week for a swab to be checked for the virus and for a result to be reported, which leads to a lag in the figures published to the official dashboard.

SAGE adviser says children should have been jabbed over the summer holidays

A SAGE adviser today suggested that teenagers should have been vaccinated over the summer holidays.

Professor John Edmunds, who is also an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, warned that jabbing teenagers now would not have 'much effect' on suppressing a winter wave.

He told The Times: 'Even if we started [vaccinating all teenagers] immediately it's not going to have much of an impact on the epidemiology in the next couple of months.

'[This is] because they will only get a single dose and one dose is not terribly effective at preventing infection with the Delta variant.

'The biggest lever we could have pressed was to have vaccinated schoolchildren but we should have done it before they went back to school.

'In the last six weeks, we haven't really taken any action to prevent things taking off in the autumn, and that's a shame.'

LA County study finds 0.5% of pupils have tested positive since Aug

  LA County study finds 0.5% of pupils have tested positive since Aug A total of 7,995 Los Angeles County students out of 1.5 million, or 0.5%, and 1,193 staff out of 157,000, or 0.7%, have tested positive for COVID-19 between August 15 and September 13.New data published by the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health (LADPH) last week looked at cases of COVID-19 since classrooms reopened in mid-August.

Experts fear England, Wales and Northern Ireland will be hit by surging cases in the coming days after schools returned from the summer holidays.

In Scotland — where children went back in mid-August — infections have already spiked to their highest levels since the pandemic began.

PHS Scotland data showed that among under-14s infections peaked on September 1, when 1,943 tested positive for the virus.

Cases fell six per cent the next day, the latest available, after 1,819 tested positive.

Data up to September 6 shows that infections have continued to fall in the age group, with 1,612, 1,288 and 1,335 recorded so far on the next three days.

But the delay in reporting suggests that these numbers will rise when the next updates are published, although the change is likely to only be small.


Video: 'Significant uncertainties' around vaccinating children (Daily Mail)

Among teenage boys aged 15 to 19 years old Covid cases peaked on August 31 when there were 532 new infections recorded.

They have since fallen by 17 per cent, after 438 infections were recorded on September 2.

This was also down a tenth on the same time last week, when 489 infections were recorded.

And among teenage girls in the age group Covid data suggests infections peaked on August 25 when 529 cases were recorded.

Britain's daily Covid cases rise by 7% in a week as outbreak grows

  Britain's daily Covid cases rise by 7% in a week as outbreak grows Department of Health bosses posted another 36,722 infections, a rise of 6.6 per cent compared to the 34,460 positive tests recorded last Wednesday. Britain's infections have increased steadily after schools reopened this month, with increased mixing in classrooms driving up rates in pupils. There are now signs that they are passing the virus to their parents. Meanwhile, another 150 deaths were added to the Covid death toll, while 659 infected Britons were hospitalised.

Since then they have dropped by almost 20 per cent after 424 cases were recorded on the latest date available.

This was a drop of 15 per cent on the same time last week when 501 cases were recorded.

The seven-day average suggests among boys in this age group there wre 314.6 cases reported every day by September 2, the lowest level since August 23 (295.3) around the time schools returned from the holidays.

Among girls in the age group the seven day average has dropped to 294.4, at its lowest level since August 21 (279.4).

The majority of Scottish schools began the autumn term between August 18 and August 19.

But PHS data suggests Covid cases in these age groups started to surge shortly before schools went back, with cases first beginning to rise around August 15. It takes several days for someone who has caught Covid to suffer symptoms and get a positive test for the virus.

The majority of schools in England, Wales and Northern Ireland began their autumn term at the start of September.

England has shelved all Covid measures except requiring pupils to swab themselves for the virus twice a week. It will also now only require children that test positive to quarantine at home for ten days, while their peers will be able to keep coming to school providing they test negative for the virus.

In Scotland testing, mask wearing and social distancing was all in place for schools when children first returned to the classroom.

It comes as top experts continue to debate whether children aged 12 to 15 should be vaccinated against the virus, but a SAGE member has already warned it may be too late to inoculate the age group.

Sajid Javid and Nadhim Zahawi urge children to get jabbed

  Sajid Javid and Nadhim Zahawi urge children to get jabbed Around one in 15 secondary school age children in England are estimated to have had coronavirus, latest ONS figures show.The plea comes after one in 12 pupils in England aged 11 to 16 were thought to have been infected on October 2, according to estimates from the Office for National Statistics.

Professor John Edmunds, who is also an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told The Times: 'Even if we started (vaccinating all teenagers) immediately it’s not going to have much of an impact on the epidemiology in the next couple of months because they will only get a single dose and one dose isn’t terribly effective at preventing infection with the Delta variant.

'The biggest lever we could have pressed was to have vaccinated schoolchildren but we should have done it before they went back to school.

'In the last six weeks we haven’t really taken any action to prevent things taking off in the autumn, and that’s a shame.'

Covid vaccines reduce the risk of becoming infected with the virus, but drastically cut the chance of being hospitalised and dying from the disease.

Dr David Strain, a chief at the British Medical Journal, predicted on Monday that the vaccines would only cut the risk of getting infected with the virus by 20 per cent amid the spread of the more infectious Delta variant.

Ministers have made no secret of the fact they want to inoculate the age group, with the NHS ordered to have plans ready to roll out the doses from last week.

If approved, children are expected to be offered either the Pfizer or Moderena jabs in schools.

Scientists are divided over whether 12 to 15-year-olds should get the Covid vaccine, with some SAGE members backing the move yesterday arguing it would help to head off a surge in infections later this winter.

But others have argued it would be ethically dubious to inoculate the age group when millions of people in poorer countries are still waiting to be vaccinated.

Read more

Fewer than 20% of 12-15 year olds in England have had their Covid jab .
NHS England insisted today that all children had been invited for a Covid vaccine and that it was sending out follow up letters. Jeremy Hunt called on ministers to 'turbo-charge' the roll out.Just 19.3 per cent of 12 to 15 year olds have come forward for their first jab, figures on the Government dashboard show, despite the whole group being eligible since September 20.

usr: 0
This is interesting!