Entertainment Oscar predictions: Can anything beat 'Nomadland'?
Director makes history as Nomadland scores top prizes at Bafta film awards
Chloe Zhao is only the second woman to win best director prize.The film stars Frances McDormand as a woman living in her van as she embarks on a journey across the American West.
Ahead of Sunday’s 93rd, Associated Press Film Writers Jake Coyle and Lindsey Bahr share their predictions for a ceremony that is forging on in the midst of the pandemic.
COYLE: A contemplative character study made for $5 million and populated by non-professional actors,is not your typical Oscar heavyweight. And yet it's overwhelming the favorite, a roundly acclaimed movie from an exciting auteur that has already ruled at the Golden Globes, the BAFTAs and, most crucially, the producers and directors' guilds. The weirdness of this unending pandemic awards season adds a drop of uncertainty to everything. But as much as I'd like to see or sneak in for an upset, “Nomadland” is a near-lock, and an eminently worthy winner. But it's udder madness that never contended here. And how much better would the season have been if (which instead will vie at the Emmys) had somehow been in the mix? Old Oscar traditions are eroding, but not quickly enough.
Nomadland wins four gongs at EE BAFTA Film Awards 2021
Chloe Zhao dedicated 'Nomadland's Best Film win at the EE BAFTA Film Awards to the nomadic community on Sunday night (11.04.21).The drama movie's director picked up four gongs at the virtual ceremony on Sunday night (11.04.21) as well as Best Director for Zhao and Best Leading Actress for Frances McDornand for her role as Fern in the hit movie.
BAHR: You had to bring up “Small Axe,” didn’t you? I would have liked to seego the distance too, but I guess this year there was only room for one contemplative character study made for under $5 million — and the one about the rural Pennsylvania teens on a bleak road trip wasn’t it. But it would still be “Nomadland’s” year and that’s only cause for celebration.
The Nominees: Carey Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman”; Frances McDormand, “Nomadland”; Viola Davis, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”; Vanessa Kirby, “Pieces of a Woman”; Andra Day, “The United States vs. Billie Holiday.”
BAHR: The best actress race is perhaps the biggest wild card of the night. Viola Davis won the Screen Actors Guild Award, Andra Day won the Golden Globe and Frances McDormand won the BAFTA. It’s chaos! Day still seems like a long shot and McDormand’s last win still seems fresh enough that it might push voters who would’ve otherwise went for her Fern elsewhere. This year I’m inclined to believe that Davis will walk away with the trophy for her raw portrayal of blues singer Ma Rainey, but I can’t help but think that perhaps Mulligan should win for “Promising Young Woman.” As for who should’ve been a contender, there are so many but two of my favorites include Aubrey Plaza in the criminally underseen “Black Bear” and Han Ye-ri, who gave my favorite performance in “Minari” as the long-suffering, steadfast mother Monica.
Nomadland wins big at the 2021 Independent Spirit Awards
With just days before Oscar Sunday, Nomadland is making an even bigger case as the Best Picture front runner by dominating at the Independent Spirit Awards. The Fox Searchlight film from writer-director Chloe Zhao took home four awards, including Best Feature and Best Director for Zhao. The Sound of Metal also won three awards at the virtual ceremony, hosted by Saturday Night Live star Melissa Villasenor, with Promising Young Woman winning two awards.
COYLE: Chaos indeed! I think this is a toss up between Davis and Mulligan, with the edge going to Davis after her SAG win. Davis has won before, for her titanic performance in “Fences." But that came (somewhat debatably) as supporting actress. And there is justice in Davis — very possibly the greatest actor alive — taking the top award, especially when you factor in the category's history. Just once before has a Black woman (Halle Berry in 2002 for “Monster's Ball”) won best actress. Still, the race would have been all the more interesting if it hadn't overlooked two of the year's best performances:and .
The nominees: Riz Ahmed, “Sound of Metal"; Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”; Anthony Hopkins, “The Father”; Gary Oldman, “Mank"; Steven Yeun, “Minari."
COYLE: After some ho-hum years, the best actor category is really strong this time around. I loved all of these performances. Still, this award has — rightly —that has doubled as tribute and wake for the late “Ma Rainey” actor. . Some see a chance of Hopkins (who won at the BAFTAs) pulling off an upset for his devastating portrait of a man stricken with dementia. But I don't. Expect Boseman to become the third actor to win an Oscar posthumously, following Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight”) and Peter Finch (“Network”). I wouldn't swap any of these nominees out, but Sacha Baron Cohen's high-wire guerilla performance in “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” is in a category by itself.
Everything you need to know about Nomadland
The cast and crew behind Nomadland are hoping for success as this weekend's Academy Awards…
BAHR: Could you imagine if Boseman didn’t win? The grit and commitment in all these performances are worth singing about, though. There were so many others that could have fit in here too, likeMads Mikkelsen for “Another Round” or, while we’re bending categories, even Hugh Jackman for “Bad Education."
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
The Nominees: Maria Bakalova, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”; Glenn Close, “Hillbilly Elegy”; Olivia Colman, “The Father”; Amanda Seyfried, “Mank”; Yuh-Jung Youn, “Minari.”
BAHR: In a category where, it certainly seems like the tide has shifted toward It’s a difficult task to be both the comic relief and the heart of a film, but she pulls it off effortlessly which is why she probably will and should win (although Maria Bakalova could sweep in with a possible upset). Both women elevated their respective films and deserve all the attention they’re getting. And Seyfried will absolutely get her Oscar somewhere down the line. I would have also liked to see Talia Ryder advance to this stage for “Never Rarely Sometimes Always.”
Oscars 2021: Nomadland Grand Winner of this 93th edition, Florian Zeller rewarded
© Sipa Oscars 2021: Nomadland Grand Winner of this 93th edition, Florian Zeller rewarded The ceremony of the most prestigious awards of the American cinema postponed by two months Reason for pandemic crowned Nomadland, Oscar of the best film, the best director and the best actress. All the winners of this 93th edition. The 93rd Oscars ceremony, took place Sunday night in Los Angeles and was broadcast live on Canal + on Sunday night to Monday, French time.
COYLE: This has been a shape-shifting race but Youn is definitely in the lead. I'd like to see more love all around for “Minari,” but it's kind of fitting that Lee Isaac Chung's film be celebrated through the minari-growing matriarch of the movie. Two other names that I wish were here, both for disarmingly funny, natural performances: Cristin Milioti, MVP of “Palm Springs," and Dylan Gelula of the indie college romance “S—-house.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
The Nominees: Sacha Baron Cohen, “The Trial of the Chicago 7”; Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah”; Leslie Odom Jr., “One Night in Miami”; Paul Raci, “Sound of Metal"; LaKeith Stanfield, “Judas and the Black Messiah."
COYLE: This seems certain to go to Daniel Kaluuya. For his mighty performance as Black Panther leader Fred Hampton, Kaluuya (a nominee for “Get Out”) has racked up wins at the SAGs, Globes and BAFTAs. A little wrinkle came when Stanfield was unexpectedly nominated here despite being campaigned for as a leading actor — and that could split some of the vote between the two “Judas and the Black Messiah” stars. Stanfield, for me, is the best actor in this bunch. But this is Kaluuya's year. Stanfield will be back, as will some of the performers who missed out, like
Nomadland home 3 Oscars: Chloé Zhao also the best directory
The filmmaker Chloé Zhao at the Oscasrs in Los Angeles equal to several prizes, her Road Movie Nomadland was awarded the best film - and the 39-year-old got the Oscar as the best director. Nomadland is paid by the fate of a working migrant in the US. © AP / AP Filmmaker Chloe Zhao Your Browser Does Not Support This Video Chloé Zhao: "People are good" Chloé Zhao was born in Beijing, but lives in California for years. The Chinese motto of the filmmaker is "people are good".
BAHR: Oh, Kingsley Ben-Adir! If I’m being perfectly honest, I would have been happy if the supporting slate was simply the cast of “One Night in Miami," plus Kaluuya. I do think Paul Raci has a shot as the Cinderella story of awards season, but it also feels like it’s time to get Kaluuya up on that stage.
The Nominees: Chloé Zhao, “Nomadland”; Lee Isaac Chung, “Minari”; David Fincher, “Mank”; Emerald Fennell, “Promising Young Woman”; Thomas Vinterberg, “Another Round.”
BAHR:even if it’s become a forgone conclusion at this point. In an awards season as endless as this one it’s hard not to be skeptical of any film and filmmaker that has thus far swept most awards. But that this tiny movie has had such an ascent is something of a miracle and well deserved. The bonus is that (hopefully) we’ll finally have more than one best director-winner who is a woman. That said, it would have been nice had as well.
COYLE: I like imaging the Dynes of “Kajillionaire” getting all dressed up and taking multiple bus transfers to the Oscars. But Zhao will win, and it should be a great moment. Not just because she'll be only the second woman to ever win the award but because she's an exceptional — and exceptionally humble — filmmaker with a lot of movies ahead of her. More often this award goes to someone who's been around a while. Pretty soon, we'll be wondering how it's possible that— maybe the very best Hollywood director of his era — hasn't ever won.
Oscar moments: History, glamour ... and what a weird ending
Wait. What? If that’s what you yelled at the TV during the final moments of Sunday's Oscars, you weren’t alone. In what may have been the most abrupt ending since that closing shot of “The Sopranos,” TV audiences expecting an emotional finale crowning the late Chadwick Boseman as best actor were left to ponder a huge upset, an absent winner, and a quick “see ya” from the Oscars. It was one more unusual moment in the most unusual of all Oscar telecasts, one that defied convention in so many ways. Some of it was good: In a pandemic year when award shows faced unprecedented challenges, the Oscars brought back red-carpet glamour.
The Nominees: “Collective,” “Crip Camp,” “The Mole Agent,” “My Octopus Teacher,” “Time”
COYLE: With increasing frequency, this is the best Oscar category, and it's the one with the most snubs. Some of the very best movies of the year — includingand — didn't make it through the crowded shortlist stage. And still the films that did get nominated are sensational. Probably the only one that I wouldn't pick — “My Octopus Teacher” — is going to win. Little noticed at its debut last fall, the film's audience swelled on Netflix, turning it into an out-of-the-blue Academy Awards contender. I would cheer loudest, though, if . It would be a triumph for a warm-hearted film, and for the disability community.
BAHR: Even the shortlist itself was brutal, leaving outand but the documentary category has long left out some of the medium’s best work (hi “Hoop Dreams”). It is odd that a late-game Netflix sensation like “My Octopus Teacher” somehow became the frontrunner, but I’m trying not to judge what people connect to this year even if I would prefer an .
The Nominees: “Quo Vadis, Aida?”, Bosnia and Herzegovina; “Another Round,” Denmark; “Better Days,” Hong Kong; “Collective,” Romania; “The Man Who Sold His Skin,” Tunisia.
BAHR: This category seems to be a race between Denmark’s “Another Round” andboth of which were nominated in other prominent categories (director and documentary, respectively). I think this one will veer towards “Another Round” simply because its directing nod gave it a brighter spotlight and a bigger audience and voters have a chance to honor “Collective” in another category. Another film that would have been a worthy contender here is Italy’s “Martin Eden.”
COYLE: “Another Round” is a lock. But “Quo Vadis, Aida?” is really good, too. Jasmila Žbanić dramatizes the lead-up to the 1995 massacre of Bosnian Muslim men and boys by the Bosnian Serb army in Srebrenica. Following a fictional translator (Jasna Đuričić) working for the United Nations, the film devastatingly probes a human rights tragedy.
The Nominees: “Onward," “Over the Moon,” “A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon," “Soul,” “Wolfwalkers.”
COYLE: Pixar, like always, seems to have this in the bag. The studio's “Soul” is the clear favorite. There's so much that's wondrous in. But you couldn't find a better underdog than the plucky Irish animation studio Cartoon Saloon, which last year released their most enchanting and ambitious film yet. Tomm Moore and Ross Stewart's , is impossibly stunning. Every hand-drawn frame is a work of art. It's the Kilkenny-based studio's fifth Oscar nomination, and it's time they won one.
BAHR: Disney and Pixar are so hard to beat. Since 2010, they’ve won eight times and the other two were not exactly indie underdogs (“Rango" and “Spider-Verse”). I’m rooting for “Wolfwalkers” but I’m betting on “Soul.”
Nomadland streaming: Can I watch the full movie online? Is it legal? .
NOMADLAND swept the Oscars, receiving wins for its director, star and the overall Best Picture gong - but how can I watch the full movie online?At the moment, it is not possible to watch Nomadland online legally.