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SportOne-on-One: NBA Draft lottery winner (duh!), losers, 'Brow' sweepstakes

23:40  15 may  2019
23:40  15 may  2019 Source:   yardbarker.com

NBA Draft lottery odds 2019: Best chances to win No. 1 pick, Zion Williamson sweepstakes

NBA Draft lottery odds 2019: Best chances to win No. 1 pick, Zion Williamson sweepstakes The Knicks, Suns and Cavs have the best odds to land Duke star Zion Williamson at the 2019 NBA Draft lottery, but don't be surprised if a team in the middle of the pack jumps ahead of them under the new lottery format.

One-on-One: NBA Draft lottery winner (duh!), losers, 'Brow' sweepstakes © Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Yardbarker NBA writers Pat Heery and Sean Keane address the hottest questions in the NBA. This week's topics: winners, losers, and weirdness in the draft lottery.

Heery: Lottery night is all about the top pick. Give me a good analogy of metaphor for landing the second pick.

Keane: Landing the second pick is like winning the Showcase Showdown on "The Price Is Right," but you don’t get the one with the new car. You get the package with a catamaran and a jet ski, and you live in Nebraska. It might be fun, but it’s not really what you were dreaming of, and you owe a lot more tax than you expected. And this year, it’s the Memphis Grizzlies who sailed away from the lottery aboard the S.S. RJ Barrett. At least they won’t be too disappointed, since the alternative was no pick at all.

NBA Draft lottery live results: Full pick order for 2019 lottery teams

NBA Draft lottery live results: Full pick order for 2019 lottery teams Who will win the 2019 NBA Draft lottery? Follow along here for the results and full order of lottery picks. NBA Draft lottery results: Order of 2019 picks The 2019 NBA Draft lottery is set to begin at 8:30 p.m. ET. The draft board below will be updated at that time. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. Odds to win the 2019 NBA Draft lottery Prior to this year, the odds of winning the lottery started with 25 percent for the worst team, 19.9 percent for the second-worst team and 15.6 percent for the third-worst team.

I wrote earlier this week about how the recent history of No. 2 picks is highly unimpressive, but the flip side of that is that the No. 1 pick is extraordinarily reliable. Which means that New Orleans can sell bushels of hope with their victory in the Zion sweepstakes, and the poor Knicks dropped to No. 3, so they have to sell discounted JD & the Straight Shot CDs until they can lure one of the prize free agents.

Of course, LeBron James and the Lakers moved all the way up from No. 11 to get the fourth pick, and when you have LeBron, you don’t need to sell hope, but you also don’t have time to wait for a 19-year-old prospect to develop. So the No. 4 pick in the draft is decidedly for sale.

One-on-One: NBA Draft lottery winner (duh!), losers, 'Brow' sweepstakes © Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Keane: Obviously the Pelicans were the big winners Tuesday, so who was the biggest draft lottery loser?

NBA Draft lottery 2019: Like NYC, Zion Williamson was rooting for Knicks, too, report says

NBA Draft lottery 2019: Like NYC, Zion Williamson was rooting for Knicks, too, report says When he saw the Pelicans shoplift the top spot, Williamson reportedly was "quickly whisked" out of the NBA Draft lottery room in Chicago. Zion Williamson was QUICKLY whisked out of the room after Pelicans were announced the winner of the draft lottery. Source said the former Duke star was rooting to go to New York, but now is going to New Orleans.— Marc J. Spears (@MarcJSpearsESPN) May 15, 2019 It was the shocking ending to a chaotic lottery reveal that saw the Knicks fall to No. 3. Now they and their fans — and Williamson — likely face the prospect of picking whoever the Grizzlies don't at No. 2 behind Williamson.

Heery: Obviously, the Bulls, Suns and Cavs had extremely rough nights. The Hawks and Wizards also dropped three spots each. However, the biggest loser of lottery night were the people who don’t understand math and the effect of flattening the lottery odds. Next biggest losers were Seattle fans who were hoping that the Pelicans and Grizzlies would be so hopeless these next few years that they’d get moved out West.

Conversely, the way this lottery played out couldn’t have worked out better for the NBA’s crusade against tanking as teams with the 11th, eighth and seventh odds all ended up in the top four, joining only the Knicks out of the teams with the best odds at the top pick. The lesson here: Don’t tank til there’s 10 games left, people.

Speaking of the Knicks, do they have enough assets and draft capital to make a legitimate offer for Anthony Davis (assuming the Pelicans still trade him) with the No. 3 pick, two future Mavs’ picks and Kevin Knox? My post-draft power rankings of best AD trade package goes:

NBA Draft 2019: 3 takeaways from the lottery

NBA Draft 2019: 3 takeaways from the lottery The lottery determined Tuesday that the Pelicans will receive the No. 1 overall pick, shocking nearly everyone. Here are three takeaways from the lottery results: Things could be turning around for the Pelicans New Orleans had a 6% chance to win the lottery and beat the odds to come out on top. The Pelicans have an opportunity to draft this year's top prospect, Zion Williamson, with the first overall pick. Williamson averaged 22.6 points and 8.9 rebounds on 68% shooting in his freshman season at Duke. He became just the third freshman in NCAA history to win the Naismith Award.

1. Clippers (Lou Will, Montrezl Harrell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Landry Shamet and Miami’s unprotected 2021 pick.)

2. Lakers (The four kids -- Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma and Josh Hart -- plus the No. 4 pick.)

3. Celtics (Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, and the Memphis pick (top-six protected in 2020, then unprotected in 2021.)

4. Knicks (above).

What about you?

Keane: I love that Clippers package, especially considering that they have two max slots for free agents this summer. I would just hate to see the Clips break up the extremely entertaining team they put together last season, though adding AD to your team is probably excitement enough.

I also don’t love the Lakers package, despite the alluring No. 4 pick. It would simply mean the Pelicans would be adding Zion and the core of a 35-win Lakers team from 2017-18.

I’d take the Knicks package and all the first-rounders I could get with the least protection they’d agree to, because the upside is so high. Even with Anthony Davis and whoever they can lure to the Big Apple, would it surprise you if the Knicks were still terrible? Toss in the chance of a Kristaps Porzingis disaster in Dallas and you could have a steady flow of high picks to support Zion’s development in New Orleans

NBA Draft 2019: 3 takeaways from the lottery chaos as Pelicans jump to No. 1

NBA Draft 2019: 3 takeaways from the lottery chaos as Pelicans jump to No. 1 The lottery determined Tuesday that the Pelicans will receive the No. 1 overall pick, shocking nearly everyone. Here are three takeaways from the lottery results: Things could be turning around for the Pelicans New Orleans had a 6% chance to win the lottery and beat the odds to come out on top. The Pelicans have an opportunity to draft this year's top prospect, Zion Williamson, with the first overall pick. Williamson averaged 22.6 points and 8.9 rebounds on 68% shooting in his freshman season at Duke. He became just the third freshman in NCAA history to win the Naismith Award.

However, my pick for the team that most improved its chances to have AD in 2019-20 is the New Orleans Pelicans. Maybe The Brow burned his bridges in New Orleans, but adding Zion and a competent general manager like David Griffin presents a much rosier picture in the Big Easy. I just hope they figure it out relatively soon, so we can focus on more important things, like who is going to trade for Mike Conley.

One-on-One: NBA Draft lottery winner (duh!), losers, 'Brow' sweepstakes © Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

Keane: The draft lottery was an especially big deal this year because of Zion, but I always love it, mainly because it’s so eccentric. The NBA is a huge international sensation with franchises worth billions of dollars, yet it determines the fate of its most talented young players by drawing ping pong balls. That’s the way you choose bingo numbers or give away free goldfish at a school carnival.

I also find the timing delightful. The same night the NBA’s four best teams start facing off, we get to spend time with the 14 worst teams. Plus they’ve all chosen special representatives -- former players, owners’ children, anxious GMs worried about their jobs -- to watch the reveal, wishfully carrying lucky charms and talismans, hoping for franchise-changing news. It all feels like a throwback to the NBA’s weirder, jankier past rather than the streamlined product it has become.

NBA Draft lottery 2019: Alvin Gentry celebrates Pelicans' win

NBA Draft lottery 2019: Alvin Gentry celebrates Pelicans' win Alvin Gentry and the Pelicans had plenty to celebrate as they secured the No. 1 pick in the NBA Draft on Tuesday.

What do you like about the draft lottery? Or are you one of those mavericks who wants to make every eligible player a free agent, or replace the lottery with a rotating multi-year wheel?

Pat Heery: Although I’ve advocated for a free-market rookie free agency in the NFL in the past, I must admit, I eff-ing love the NBA Draft, and by extension, lottery night. Think of all the shady sliding doors moments to come from this bizarre night -- the Patrick Ewing frozen envelope in ‘85, Cleveland winning the LeBron sweepstakes, New Orleans winning the AD sweepstakes after trading CP3, Cleveland winning the lottery three out of four years after LeBron left. I am stunned the Knicks didn't win the Knicks didn't win the Zion sweepstakes, though.

There’s a saying in the NBA that your franchise needs to sell one of two things: winning or hope.  Lottery night is all about the latter. Yet, rarely does that hope translate to actual winning down the road, unless your team lands the No. 1 pick. This year appears to be no different as Zion Williamson will, in my opinion, elevate the Pelicans to playoff contention with All-NBA-level play from the jump  -- yeah, he’s that good. On the other hand, you could tell me every other prospect besides RJ Barrett could be a bust and I would believe you.

Keane: Give me one change you’d love to see the NBA make to the whole draft and lottery system.

Heery: I’d like to see the NBA flip-flop the Draft and free agency (described in greater detail in this Zach Lowe piece from last summer.)

NBA Draft lottery winners and losers: Pelicans, LeBron James get good news; Knicks miss their man.
It's easy to crown the Pelicans a winner from the 2019 NBA Draft lottery, but the ripple effects from Tuesday night spread quickly to other corners of the NBA.

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