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UK News The coronavirus peak may have passed by Easter says government advisor

11:05  26 march  2020
11:05  26 march  2020 Source:   walesonline.co.uk

20,000 UK Coronavirus Deaths Would Be 'Good' If 'Horrible' Outcome, Says Patrick Vallance

  20,000 UK Coronavirus Deaths Would Be 'Good' If 'Horrible' Outcome, Says Patrick Vallance See the latest stories on the coronavirus outbreak. The government’s chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, has said 20,000 deaths in the UK from coronavirus would, while “horrible”, be a “good outcome”. Speaking to the Commons health committee on Tuesday afternoon, Vallance said it was “reasonable” to assume there were as many as 55,000 cases already. And he told MPs the social distancing measures put in place by the government last night would have to last at least “months”.The number of people to test positive for coronavirus in the UK as of 9am on Tuesday was 1,950, up from 1,543 on Monday, the Department of Health and Social Care said.

Government advisor says he is ‘confident’ NHS can remain within capacity and the worst may have passed within three weeks. NHS hospitals are expected to just about cope with the thousands of coronavirus patients, even at the peak of the outbreak, according to an expert government adviser .

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Experts advising the Government on the coronavirus pandemic from the Imperial College of London say that the peak may come sooner than expected if people keep following the lockdown rules.

Professor Neil Ferguson, a key member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), says that NHS hospitals are expected to just about cope with the thousands of coronavirus patients, even at the peak of the outbreak.

Despite fears over a lack of intensive care beds and staff going off sick, he has told MPs that he is confident the health service will remain ‘within capacity’.

He said: "There will be some areas that are extremely stressed but we are reasonably confident - which is all we can be at the current time - that at the national level we will be within capacity."

Coronavirus in the UK: Chief Scientific Adviser says '55,000 people already have it'

  Coronavirus in the UK: Chief Scientific Adviser says '55,000 people already have it' Chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance said the Government's new aim is to limit deaths to fewer than 20,000 . © Provided by The i Sir Patrick Vallance said the number of predicted deaths was "horrible" and there would still be a huge amount of strain on the health service due to the Covid-19 outbreak.

CORONAVIRUS cases are set to peak over Easter in the UK, leading experts say . Deputy Chief Medical Officer Dr Jenny Harries said cases will rise She said : “If people have cut down their social interactions, we would start to see a change in the graph." “The peak will be pushed forward but the

Park said only about 10% of coronavirus patients required hospitalization, while the rest had strong enough immune systems to fight the virus on their own. He also said that while most members agreed to be tested for the virus, there were a few that refused, and that may have slowed down the

Prof Ferguson said widespread testing is needed to help move the country from suppression measures and lockdown into something it can manage long-term.

He added: "We clearly cannot lock down the country for a year.

"The challenge that many countries in the world are dealing with is how we move from an initial intensive lockdown ... to something that will have societal effects but will allow the economy to restart.

a man in glasses looking at the camera: Professor Neil Ferguson speaking via video link © PA Professor Neil Ferguson speaking via video link

"That is likely to rely on very large-scale testing and contact tracing. It should be stated that the entire world is in the very early stage of developing such strategies."

Prof Ferguson said the hope is that once the lockdown is lifted, the infection can be kept at manageable levels.

Boris Johnson Asks For 'Ruthless' Action From Public To Beat Coronavirus In 12 Weeks

  Boris Johnson Asks For 'Ruthless' Action From Public To Beat Coronavirus In 12 Weeks Update: See the latest stories on the coronavirus outbreak. Boris Johnson said the UK could “turn the tide” of the coronavirus outbreak in the next 12 weeks, but only if the public follows government advice to avoid gatherings. The prime minister asked for “ruthless, determined, collective action” to “reduce the peak” of the virus. But he told a press conference in Downing Street on Thursday that if people ignored the advice then “nothing is ruled out” when it came to imposing stricter restrictions, especially in London where the outbreak has so far hit hardest.“We don’t know where we are and we don’t know how long this thing will go on for,” he said.

And the White House advised people who have passed through or left New York to undergo a The U.S. government will report weekly jobless claims on Thursday, and some analysts expect the data Experts say the coronavirus crisis is likely to last for a long time — and for many people confined to

Coronavirus infection and death rates across the United Kingdom, Spain, Germany and Sweden. But not everybody shares the government 's faith in the agency, with some accusing it of putting lives at risk. On Monday, Sweden's former state epidemiologist and current advisor to the World Health

He said the demand on intensive care in the UK will peak in approximately two to three weeks and then decline thereafter.

UK deaths from Covid-19 are also "unlikely" to be more than 20,000, he said.

Deputy chief medical officer Dr Jenny Harries agreed that the peak of the virus could be finished by Easter.

In even more hopeful news, Andrew Pollard, professor of paediatric infection and immunity at the University of Oxford, who was also called before the committee, said a vaccine could potentially be available within six months.

Previously many experts have said a vaccine which could end the devastation of the pandemic is at least a year away.

a desktop computer sitting on top of a desk: Professor Neil Ferguson speaking via video link to the Science and Technology Committee at the House of Commons © PA Professor Neil Ferguson speaking via video link to the Science and Technology Committee at the House of Commons

But Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty said there was no guarantee the NHS would not exceed its capacity, although the lockdown and NHS work to increase resources would narrow the ‘gap’.

Parliament Set To Break Up Early For Easter Amid Coronavirus Outbreak

  Parliament Set To Break Up Early For Easter Amid Coronavirus Outbreak See the latest stories on the coronavirus outbreak. Parliament is set to break up early for its Easter break this week, once it has passed key emergency legislation covering the Covid-19 outbreak, HuffPost UK has learned. The 2020 Coronavirus Bill is expected to clear all its Commons stages by Monday night and after Lords approval will become law by Thursday. Parliament had been due to rise for the Easter recess on March 31, next Tuesday, but it is understood there is a cross-party consensus that it would make sense to head for the break earlier.

'I would say by Easter we'll have a recommendation,' he said – indicating he would be guided by health experts and other advisors . Fauci, a respected government expert in disease outbreaks Greta Thunberg says she may have coronavirus and is isolating with her father after displaying symptoms.

The government will send millions of text messages to Australian phone numbers across the country in a bid to slow the spread of coronavirus . 'The Australian Government has begun sending text messages to keep you informed about the national response to COVID-19,' the website says .

And in a stark warning, a senior doctor at the Aneurin Bevan Health Board compared the rate of coronavirus cases in Gwent to Italy.

There are so far 309 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the Aneurin Bevan University Health Board area, and as of Sunday there have been five recorded deaths at the Royal Gwent Hospital in Newport and Nevill Hall hospital in Abergavenny.

The director of public health at Aneurin Bevan University Health Board Dr Sara Aitken said the health service in Gwent could be "overwhelmed" if Government advice is not adhered to.

Dr Aitken said: "In Gwent we are seeing a rapidly rising increase in the number of cases of coronavirus in all our communities and a daily increase in the number of people being admitted to hospital and the number of people dying from the virus.

Polish priest offers drive-thru confessions to beat virus .
Polish priest offers drive-thru confessions to beat virus"We've already done a practice run... I have an appointment with a family of five tomorrow and next week I'm due to hear a parishioner confess every sin from his entire life," Father Adam Pawlowski told AFP.

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