•   
  •   

UK News New tool isolates potential future coronavirus hotspots

17:27  29 june  2020
17:27  29 june  2020 Source:   msn.com

Fewer than 10 countries will have an 'air bridge' to the UK and travelers arriving from elsewhere could have to pay for a COVID-19 test to avoid 14-day quarantine

  Fewer than 10 countries will have an 'air bridge' to the UK and travelers arriving from elsewhere could have to pay for a COVID-19 test to avoid 14-day quarantine A total of 12 countries - including Greece, Spain, Portugal and France - are being considered with officials examining both the coronavirus risk and the destination's popularity.A total of 12 countries - including Greece, Spain, Portugal and France - are being considered with officials examining both the risk of travellers bringing Covid-19 back and the popularity of the destination.

© Joe Giddens The new tool isolates potential future coronavirus virus hotspots (Joe Giddens/PA). Researchers have created a tool that allows potential coronavirus hotspots to be identified. The system can supplement test and trace technology by highlighting which regions and

Online tool that identifies potential future coronavirus ' hotspots ' based on the number of It was built Oxford University’s Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science The tool could help policymakers best target resources against future outbreaks

The new tool isolates potential future coronavirus virus hotspots (Joe Giddens/PA) © Joe Giddens The new tool isolates potential future coronavirus virus hotspots (Joe Giddens/PA)

Researchers have created a tool that allows potential coronavirus hotspots to be identified.

The system can supplement test and trace technology by highlighting which regions and local areas are most likely to suffer disproportionate potential infections and hospital demand in case of future infection spikes.

The online tool from Oxford University’s Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science combines key data from multiple sources of known Covid-19 vulnerabilities, such as age, social deprivation, population density, ethnicity and hospital resources.

Lockdown rules look 'inconsistent', minister admits

  Lockdown rules look 'inconsistent', minister admits Some lockdown rules look inconsistent, a government minister has admitted amid scenes of packed beaches and large parties broken up by police yesterday. Environment Secretary George Eustice implored people to follow social distancing rules, after overcrowding on Bournemouth seafront sparked a major incident warning and illegal raves were broken up in London.He insisted that broadly the two-metre rule social distancing rule is being followed but added "clearly people didn't heed that" in some areas on Thursday.

Coronavirus in China | DW Documentary - Продолжительность: 28:29 DW Documentary 4 756 668 просмотров. India sees another record number of coronavirus infections - Продолжительность: 8:30 Football Life Нет просмотров.

Potential COVID-19 hotspots can be identified using a new online tool from Oxford University’s Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science. It acts by highlighting which regions have the most at-risk factors and can supplement test-and-trace technology in highlighting potential future infection

Researchers say the dashboard is accurate to a granular local level, enabling policymakers to target resources to the most at-risk areas.

It also allows users to adjust for changing infection rates and hospital resource levels.

____________________________________________________

More on coronavirus:

Download the Microsoft News app for full coverage of the crisis

Latest rules on what you can and can’t do (City AM)

What the NHS Test and Trace system asks you to do (The Independent)

____________________________________________________

Professor Melinda Mills, author and director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, said: “With additional outbreaks and second waves, thinking not only regionally but at much smaller scale at the neighbourhood level will be the most effective approach to stifle and contain outbreaks, particularly when a lack of track and trace is in place.”

Scotland records no coronavirus deaths for fourth day running

  Scotland records no coronavirus deaths for fourth day running Scotland has recorded no new deaths from coronavirus for the fourth day running, Nicola Sturgeon has said. During a Scottish Government briefing, Ms Sturgeon announced the total number of people who have died after contracting the virus remains at 2,482.She added five more people tested positive for the virus since Sunday, taking the total to 18,241.

A lack of new hotspots in the coronavirus pandemic appeared to be holding Tuesday, fueling a debate about how soon authorities could start scaling back social restrictions and reopen economies.

Union Health Ministry has identified 20 hotspots and 22 potential hotspots of coronavirus , including Delhi's Nizamuddin, UP's Noida, Kerala's Kasargod and

For example, the tool shows that Harrow in London would have been a local area with an exceptionally high age-related risk of hospital admissions due to Covid-19.

The Northwick Park Hospital in Harrow was also the first to declare a critical incident after experiencing a surge in coronavirus patients.

Mark Verhagen, lead author of the study, said: “By using our online tool, policymakers would immediately have identified Harrow as a potential hotspot of hospital demand.

“Ensuring that local decisionmakers have this type of fine-grained information available was a key goal of this study.”

Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak around the world (Photos)

According to the study, published in BMC Medicine, as countries across the globe exit strict lockdown and enter the “new normal” of co-existence with Covid-19, monitoring new infection hotspots will be crucial.

The authors write: “We identify potential health care pressure points in England and Wales where expected hospitalisation rates are disproportionately high and the per capita availability of hospital beds is relatively low.”

The article concludes: “As this pandemic continues to unfold across the world, we urgently need to consider how emerging sociodemographic risks, such as social deprivation, ethnicity and population density, structure spatial differences in Covid-19 severity and health care demand.”

The researchers have produced online maps to identify the most at-risk areas in England and Wales.

The research suggests that areas such as the Isle of Wight and Lincolnshire have some of the highest risk factors, as they not only have older populations but also higher levels of social deprivation.

According to the report, the researchers estimate specific pressure points where Covid-19 demand is likely to outstrip the baseline local supply.

This includes rural areas in Wales as well as the north-east and south-west of England, where high expected hospitalisation rates combine with relatively low bed capacity.

These areas are often more isolated and further away from alternative hospital services, the report indicates.

Meanwhile, London and other inner-city areas, from Birmingham to Manchester and Liverpool, are highlighted as areas of high population density and deprivation, which have potentially higher risk levels for additional outbreaks.

However, although population-based hospitalisation risk tends to be lower in urban centres, some localities in cities may have higher levels of social deprivation and population density, which could counterbalance relatively low age-related risk levels.

:: The tool is available at covid19.demographicscience.ox.ac.uk/demrisk

_______________________________________________

Stay at home as much as possible to stop coronavirus spreading - here is the latest government guidance. If you think you have the virus, don't go to the GP or hospital, stay indoors and get advice online. Only call NHS 111 if you cannot cope with your symptoms at home; your condition gets worse; or your symptoms do not get better after seven days. In parts of Wales where 111 isn't available, call NHS Direct on 0845 46 47. In Scotland, anyone with symptoms is advised to self-isolate for seven days. In Northern Ireland, call your GP.

NHS staff who stayed at hotels helped Premier Inn prepare for social distancing .
Boss Alison Brittain hinted that she may be looking to acquire some other businesses.The company, which has taken advantage of lockdown to refurbish several hotels, said customers are flocking to regional holiday hotspots, which are getting a good number of bookings.

usr: 0
This is interesting!