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UK News As Covid infections double each week… what IS best for Britain?

10:25  19 september  2020
10:25  19 september  2020 Source:   dailymail.co.uk

North East lockdown: 10pm curfew for bars and pubs and ban on household mixing

  North East lockdown: 10pm curfew for bars and pubs and ban on household mixing New local restrictions are being introduced in northeast England - including a 10pm curfew for bars and pubs and a ban on people mixing with others outside their household. Health Secretary Matt Hancock confirmed the measures in a statement to the House of Commons on Thursday morning after the government's talks with North East councils and local MPs.They will come into force from Friday in Northumberland, North Tyneside, South Tyneside, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, Gateshead, Sunderland and County Durham.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson talks about the plans for dealing with the second wave of coronavirus, as he visits the VMIC construction site near Oxford, which when completed next summer, will be an innovation centre for Covid -19 vaccine manufacture.

Covid -19 makes up just one per cent of all deaths in England and Wales now, the statistics show. The ONS count chimes with official numbers of deaths announced each day by the Department of All signs point to the virus rebounding in Britain and the UK's coronavirus alert level was raised to four

a man and a woman standing in front of a building: MailOnline logo © Provided by Daily Mail MailOnline logo

It's the debate dividing Britain. Covid infections are doubling each week and experts believe the death toll will soon start to climb. Should ministers act quickly to stop a second wave or hold off to prevent more damage to the economy? With no easy options, these are some of the possibilities they are considering.

DO NOTHING

Simply carry on through to Spring with the current level of restrictions.

Normal increase in coughs and colds 'causing utter chaos' in Britain

  Normal increase in coughs and colds 'causing utter chaos' in Britain Professor Carl Heneghan, a former doctor and now Oxford University researcher, said in Parliament's Science and Technology Committee today that coughs always spike in September.Professor Carl Heneghan, a former doctor and now medicine expert at the University of Oxford, today vented his frustration about the 'panic' being stirred up over the coronavirus crisis.

This week we were told that , in the UK at least, anyone who has had a positive Covid test and who ‘ Britain is an outlier internationally in not reporting the number of people who have recovered from What is now happening is extremely disturbing. Covid -19 has certainly been a serious disease, but

Britain raises Covid threat to Level FOUR after recording 4,368 new cases - double a fortnight ago - while deaths almost Britain today recorded another 4,368 coronavirus cases as government data shows the number of daily infections has now doubled in a fortnight — despite the government's top

PROS: The lockdown imposed in March successfully curbed infections, but had a devastating impact on businesses, education and the NHS. Boris Johnson is desperate to avoid a repeat. There is a strong argument that the need to act is not nearly as urgent as it was in the spring. We now know the virus has little impact on anyone other than the elderly, doctors are much better at treating it and they now have effective drugs. And although our testing system is not what it should be, capacity is 25 times bigger than it was in March. Death rates are currently tiny – with suicides, flu and pneumonia all taking far more lives than the dreaded coronavirus.

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More on coronavirus:

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New lockdown restrictions begin in North East as Lancashire expected to follow

  New lockdown restrictions begin in North East as Lancashire expected to follow People in northeast England will not be able to meet others outside their household from today - as Lancashire is also expected to be placed under tighter restrictions. More than 10 million people across the UK are now in lockdown, after new restrictions in Northumberland, North Tyneside, South Tyneside, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, Gateshead, Sunderland and County Durham began at midnight.Residents in these areas are banned from socialising with others outside their household or bubble, food and drink venues are restricted to table service only and all leisure and entertainment venues must close at 10pm.

Matt Hancock warned today that Britain was at a 'tipping point' in its battle against a second devastating wave of coronavirus - and refused to rule out Londoners being told to work from home again. The Health Secretary also warned that a second total UK lockdown was a possibility as

Yesterday, the British government raised its Covid -19 alert status to level four — the second highest level — meaning that an epidemic is “in general For weeks Downing Street had been urging the British people to return to offices and resume shopping. Britain ’s top health official, Chris Whitty, is

What you need to know about the new 'rule of six' (Sky News)

Pandemic has exposed Britain's reality (The Guardian)

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NHS Nightingale hospital in Birmingham on high alert to reopen as cases soar

  NHS Nightingale hospital in Birmingham on high alert to reopen as cases soar GoPros are great little cameras for runners. They're small, light, easy to carry, and remarkably powerful, however, they haven't been the most stable to film with while running. The Hero 9 Black adds some significant improvements in resolution, battery life, and stabilization, making it the best GoPro for runners we've seen yet.

Thirty-two academics urge Boris Johnson to think twice about plunging Britain into a second lockdown - as critics question advisors' A group of scientists and doctors have written to the Prime Minister urging him not to opt for a second lockdown and to stop presenting Covid -19 as a mortal danger.

A Covid -19 vaccine for children may not arrive before fall 2021. An Iowa school district that had openly defied the state’s Republican governor by teaching remotely decided on Monday to begin moving toward a hybrid of in-person and online learning, starting next month.

CONS: It is clear Covid is getting out of control in France, Spain and the US. Doing nothing could see Britain going down the same road – with a wave of deaths as rising infections feed through from the young into more at-risk groups.

CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING: 1/5

LOCAL LOCKDOWNS

Localised restrictions, already imposed across swathes of the UK encompassing 13million people, could be extended when outbreaks flare.

PROS: Targeted, proportionate restrictions in virus hotspots slow the spread and spare the rest of the country. This was successfully carried out in Leicester over the summer, with rates quickly slashed.

a person sitting at a table with a cup of water: Revellers enjoy drinks in Newcastle on the first day after strict coronavirus curfews were introduced © Provided by Daily Mail Revellers enjoy drinks in Newcastle on the first day after strict coronavirus curfews were introduced

The Latest: India maintains surge, adds 93,300 new cases

  The Latest: India maintains surge, adds 93,300 new cases NEW DELHI —India has maintained its surge in coronavirus cases, adding 93,337 new confirmed infections in the past 24 hours. The Health Ministry on Saturday raised the nation’s caseload to more than 5.3 million out of the nearly 1.4 billion people. It said 1,247 more people died in the past 24 hours for a total of 85,619. The country has over a million active cases with about 80% recovery rate. India has been reporting the highest single-day rise in the world every day for more than five weeks. It's expected to become the pandemic’s worst-hit country within weeks, surpassing the United States.

Groups in London's parks ignore the government's newly implemented 'rule of six' as they enjoy the sunshine.

Coronavirus ( COVID -19) regulations mean that you must self-isolate for 14 days when you arrive in the UK. This applies to UK residents and visitors to the UK. You travel to a country, territory or region that is on the list and you stay there for 4 days from the day after you arrive.

CONS: Such specific measures rely on an effective test and trace programme – and at the moment the system is not up to scratch. Critics also point out that rates in many parts of the North West, which have been subject to restrictions for weeks, have actually continued to rise. And with local lockdown widened to the North East and Lancashire, there are now more than 13million people affected. With the lives of so many British citizens curtailed, this is arguably just a national lockdown imposed by stealth. Local action is also divisive – national unity will be badly hit if only half the country is allowed to celebrate a family Christmas.

CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING: 4/5

SHIELDING

Most young people are barely affected by Covid. So a logical solution is to shield the elderly.

a person sitting in front of a window: Most young people are barely affected by Covid. So a logical solution is to shield the elderly © Provided by Daily Mail Most young people are barely affected by Covid. So a logical solution is to shield the elderly

PROS: This could protect the most at-risk while allowing the rest of the population to keep the economy going. The Government reportedly already has tentative plans to assign each person over the age of 50 a 'risk score'.

NHS contact tracing app finally launched in England and Wales

  NHS contact tracing app finally launched in England and Wales The NHS coronavirus contact tracing app has finally been launched in England and Wales after months of delay and questions about its effectiveness. The app was trialled first on the Isle of Wight and in the London Borough of Newham and was used to send alerts to users after someone had tested positive.It uses an Apple and Google-developed system, using Bluetooth to keep an anonymous log of people a user has been close to.

CONS: A crude version was used during the first lockdown, with 2.2million people with cancer, asthma and other conditions asked to stay indoors. That scheme was riddled with problems – many of those asked to shield were in fact not particularly susceptible. Any new scheme would have to be far more targeted. But it would rely heavily on age – by far the biggest risk factor for Covid. This will be resisted by many pensioners who see themselves as perfectly healthy. It is also impossible to effectively shield those who need it most – care home residents, who require contact with carers.

CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING: 4/5

Gallery: Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak around the world (Photo Services)

CURFEW

Curfews on the opening of bars and restaurants have already been used in many areas – and could be rolled out nationwide.

PROS: The increase in infection rates this summer was put down to young people gathering in pubs, homes and at illegal raves. Curfews, trialled in Bolton and other areas, aim to stop this by ordering restaurants and pubs to close at 10pm. This is arguably a proportionate response – asking pubs to close an hour or two early is better than forcing them to shut entirely.

CONS: It is clearly harmful to the hospitality industry and is widely seen as a chilling restriction of personal liberties. Curfews can only do so much. After all, most of the population are not out and about beyond 10pm.

CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING: 4/5

CIRCUIT BREAK

This is the option being most carefully considered. Ministers hope a short lockdown – lasting as little as two weeks – would stop the pattern of infection and reinfection driving cases up.

PROS: If people do not meet and interact, the virus cannot pass between them, the chain of transmission is broken and infection rates will stop rising. If this is done quickly it could nip the problem in the bud before rates rise to dangerous levels. And if it is imposed over the October half term, it would have a limited impact on children's education. Scientists hope such a measure would also give some breathing room to allow the testing programme to get back on track. And if infection rates drop far enough, it might even allow Christmas to take place after all.

CONS: Scientists worry that as soon as restrictions are lifted, cases would rise again. This raises the prospect of the country following an 'on-off' lockdown pattern until a vaccine becomes available. Two weeks might simply not be long enough – meaning restrictions might drag on and on and turn into a full lockdown.

CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING: 4/5

NATIONAL LOCKDOWN

A return to spring-style nationwide measures which led to most people having to work from home, with schools, non-essential shops and workplaces shut.

a large brick building with a clock on the side of the street: A return to spring-style nationwide measures would see most people having to work from home, with venues such as pubs closed © Provided by Daily Mail A return to spring-style nationwide measures would see most people having to work from home, with venues such as pubs closed

PROS: If Covid infections get out of control, and if they coincide with a bad winter flu season, the death toll could be monumental. Mr Johnson might be left with little choice but to order another lockdown. There are also ways to soften the blow – primarily keeping schools open. Many scientists now believe closing schools was unnecessary last time round. Children are not in danger from the virus yet untold harm was done to their education and mental health by keeping them at home. It also made it hard for parents to work.

CONS: This is the 'nuclear' option the Prime Minister does not want to take, an extreme that even the gloomiest of scientists do not currently advocate. With 'crisis fatigue' setting in, he also might find it much harder to persuade people to follow the rules a second time round. And even a pared-back version of national restrictions would risk doing more harm than good. The economy is already holed below the water line – a return to lockdown could sink it completely.

CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING: 2/5

Stay alert to stop coronavirus spreading - here is the latest government guidance. If you think you have the virus, don't go to the GP or hospital, stay indoors and get advice online. Only call NHS 111 if you cannot cope with your symptoms at home; your condition gets worse; or your symptoms do not get better after seven days. In parts of Wales where 111 isn't available, call NHS Direct on 0845 46 47. In Scotland anyone with symptoms is advised to self-isolate for seven days. In Northern Ireland, call your GP.



Gallery: This is how to tell if you have health anxiety (Espresso)

a man sitting in a chair talking on a cell phone: Worrying about your health now and then is completely normal, especially amid a global pandemic. However, if your worries are hindering your everyday life, it could be a sign of health anxiety.“Health anxiety is distinct from other forms of anxiety such as generalized anxiety disorder or social anxiety disorder because of its specific focus on health. Individuals with health anxiety are preoccupied with either having or acquiring a serious illness,” explains Hart Haragutchi, a licensed mental health counselor associate in private practice in Washington.“Health anxiety can be debilitating and have a significant negative impact on a person’s quality of life. But there are treatment options available. Many people with health anxiety also have other mental health conditions, [so] evaluation by a mental health professional is especially important in order to develop an effective and comprehensive treatment plan.”Needless to say, the sooner you identify the problem, the sooner you can manage it. Let’s take a look at some expert-backed signs that you may have health anxiety.

How quickly is Britain's Covid-19 outbreak REALLY growing? .
King's College London scientists behind the COVID Symptom Tracker mobile app estimate that there were at least 16,310 daily cases of the disease in the last week. The ONS thinks the figure is 9,600.King's College London (KCL) scientists behind the COVID Symptom Tracker mobile app estimate there were at least 16,310 daily cases of the disease in the last week, more than double the 7,536 estimated last week.

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