UK News Falling rates of COVID in university areas could be hiding a wider outbreak in cities

00:40  24 october  2020
00:40  24 october  2020 Source:   news.sky.com

Britain puts more areas into lockdown as cases rise

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The COVID -19 pandemic has affected educational systems worldwide, leading to the near-total closures of schools, universities and colleges.

The COVID -19 has meant schools across the globe have closed and over 1.2 billion While countries are at different points in their COVID -19 infection rates , worldwide there are currently more Could the move to online learning be the catalyst to create a new, more effective method of educating students?

Falling rates of COVID-19 among students could be masking an underlying epidemic, research by Sky News has revealed.

a sign in front of a building: Falling cases in students could be hiding an outbreak within the wider public © Imagebridge Falling cases in students could be hiding an outbreak within the wider public

The Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham said this week that Tier 3 restrictions were unnecessary because cases in the city were falling.

Our analysis suggests that's true when looking at city-wide data. But in fact, the downward trend appears to be because of a sharp fall in cases in areas with a higher density of students.

In other parts of the city, which are likely to have a greater proportion of elderly people at risk of more serious disease, cases are still rising.

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A post-coronavirus recession could drive higher university enrolment and enhance human capital, says The Covid -19 crisis means a huge downturn in economic activity. A few sectors are growing, as people Many people assume that student numbers will fall in response to the current problems, but

Latest information on the geographical distribution of COVID -19 cases globally, updated daily. On 2 October 2020, authorities in Ireland retrocorrected the total number of COVID -19 deaths leading to a negative value Data completeness depends on the availability of information from the affected areas .

That will be a serious concern for hospitals that are increasingly stretched by the combination of COVID-19 and other winter illnesses.

We looked at small grids of the city called Middle Layer Super Output Areas (MSOA), each of which are home to just a few thousand people. It is as granular as you can go when studying the epidemic.

Across the city, cases began to climb at the start of September. When students arrived in the middle of the month, there was an explosion of cases in those MSOAs containing university halls of residence.

But cases have fallen almost as quickly as they rose, almost certainly because thousands of students were forced to isolate and the virus burned itself out.

Meanwhile, other areas of the city have seen slow and steady rises in cases.

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The University of Kansas, where fall classes began Monday in Lawrence, issued 14-day public health bans to two fraternities on Sunday for Many of those rules were implemented after some travelers carrying the virus contributed to fresh outbreaks in places where it had been mostly under control.

Some colleges and universities were backtracking as outbreaks flared on just-reopened And both crises are falling hardest on Black and brown families. Millions out of work, millions more trapped in Covid -19 was Trump’s biggest test. He failed miserably. Today America has the most Covid deaths

So far there is no sign that measures such as the rule of six, which dates back to 14 September, have had any effect.

The pattern is mirrored in Sheffield, with a sharp rise and fall in infections in MSOAs with halls of residence in them. But once again, cases are still steadily rising elsewhere in the city.

In Nottingham and Liverpool, rates in university areas also hit a high peak when students returned, and are now falling. There are signs that infection rates are also easing off in non-student areas, though far more slowly.

Our findings underline how important it is to look not just at the headline city-wide number of cases, but also at who is becoming infected. Otherwise local lockdowns could be imposed, or lifted, too soon.

Manchester and Liverpool are already under tight Tier 3 controls, Sheffield will be under the strict measures from Saturday, and talks between the government and local leaders are continuing about Nottingham also entering the highest level of controls.

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usr: 1
This is interesting!