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UK News Who should Southgate should pick for England... according to the stats

02:30  11 june  2021
02:30  11 june  2021 Source:   dailymail.co.uk

The big decisions Southgate is mulling over with Euro 2020 looming

  The big decisions Southgate is mulling over with Euro 2020 looming Gareth Southgate's headache over his England squad selection has been replaced by an even more thumping one over his strongest line-up for Euro 2020. We know the 26 players who will shoulder the nation's hopes this summer but deciding that could well prove to be the easy bit for the Three Lions boss.As Southgate said after Tuesday evening's announcement, he wouldn't swap his squad of many talents for any other competing at the tournament.

but who should the Three Lions boss pick according to the stats ? Gareth Southgate has several question marks over his England team selection Sportsmail has teamed up with LCP and Analytics FC to see what the stats say

Ahead of Gareth Southgate naming his England squad on Thursday, we'll be examining his options across the pitch. Who has booked their place on the plane to the World Cup? This time last year, few would have picked out Burnley's back-up goalkeeper Nick Pope as a potential World Cup call-up but the former Charlton man has excelled since stepping in for the injured Tom Heaton. Pope has the best save percentage - 80.2 per cent - of any English goalkeeper in the Premier League, has not made a single error leading to a shot or goal, according to Opta, and has starred in some of Burnley's biggest

a man standing in front of a crowd: MailOnline logo © Provided by Daily Mail MailOnline logo

Form, fitness, even formation – Gareth Southgate has it all to ponder as the days tick down until England’s Euro 2020 opener against Croatia on Sunday.

With Harry Maguire still missing through injury, who is the best centre-back partner for John Stones? Should Southgate revert to a three-man defence?

And how to find space for Jack Grealish, Phil Foden, Jadon Sancho, Raheem Sterling and the rest of England’s exciting attacking options?

To help the England boss solve some of these dilemmas, Sportsmail has teamed up with LCP and Analytics FC to crunch the numbers.

England to practice three at the back ahead of Euro 2020 opener

  England to practice three at the back ahead of Euro 2020 opener Having recently switched to a back four, Southgate will look at going back to the tried and tested 3-4-3 in training ahead of next Sunday's Euros opener against Croatia at Wembley.Having recently switched to a back four, Southgate will look at going back to the tried and tested 3-4-3 — which helped England to the World Cup semi-finals in 2018 — in training ahead of next Sunday’s Euros opener against Croatia.

Southgate then called up Solanke for the friendly against Brazil, and the Liverpool striker won his first cap as a second-half substitute, replacing Vardy at the same time Abraham came on for Rashford. Another stalemate ensued, however, with England largely battling down the other end to keep Neymar, Gabriel Image: Danny Welbeck is the fourth-most fancied English forward to head to the World Cup, according to Sky Bet. However, should cries for a striker who suits a more direct approach be heard by Southgate , or if Kane's recovery hits bumps along the way, there is hope for those forwards who

England managers know you can’t please everyone, and that’s never more true than when picking a World Cup squad. No sooner had Gareth Southgate named his squad of 23 to travel to Russia this summer than football fans all over England took to social media to declare who he should have taken instead. Here’s an England XI made up of those left behind – wrongly, in the eyes of Twitter users.

Their analytics platform, TransferLab, is used by 17 clubs and agencies - including five Premier League teams - to analyse player performance. Here’s who they suggest Southgate should pick.

Sportsmail has teamed up with an analytics group to help Gareth Southgate's selection woes © Provided by Daily Mail Sportsmail has teamed up with an analytics group to help Gareth Southgate's selection woes a group of football players on a field: The England manager has several selection headaches across several areas of the pitch © Provided by Daily Mail The England manager has several selection headaches across several areas of the pitch

THREE AT THE BACK

Maguire’s ankle problem could persuade Southgate that England need the extra security of three centre backs – as they did at the 2018 World Cup.

Conor Coady seems an obvious fit for this formation, having marshalled a Wolves back three in recent seasons. He boasts obvious leadership and passing qualities, too.

Raheem Sterling to be handed shock England start for Euro 2020 opener

  Raheem Sterling to be handed shock England start for Euro 2020 opener The Three Lions manager is set to unleash an array of attacking talent against Croatia on Sunday with Raheem Sterling winning his race to start the European Championship opener. Sterling was awarded an MBE on Friday night in the Queen's Birthday honours for services to racial equality. 'It's a proud moment - not just for myself but for my family,' he said. England team-mate Jordan Henderson won an MBE too, for services to charity.And Sterling is expected to start at Wembley, with Southgate throwing caution to the wind in his bid to get  off to a winning start. Doubt had surrounded whether he would be in the XI.

England are seemingly short on combative defensive midfielders who can sit in front of the backline, disrupt opposition attacks and then kick-start offensives themselves, which means Declan Rice and Eric Dier are likely to remain go-to men for Southgate for some time. A ball-playing alternative is Harry Winks, who was released from the England camp ahead If you're reading on skysports.com you can also comment below to get involved in the debate, but please adhere to our House Rules. If you wish to report any comment, simply click on the down arrow next to the offending comment and click 'Report'.

Southgate is increasingly portrayed as a negative manager who refuses to lift the handbrake and let this side motor past hapless opponents. His pragmatism, not to mention the right-back fetish, is deemed unwelcome at a time when England have so many attacking options that a player as skilful and imaginative as James Maddison is likely to miss out on Three years ago England rode to the semi-finals of the World Cup with a fairly ordinary side. It was thrilling because it came out of nowhere and enjoyable because the entitlement that weighed down the Golden Generation was nowhere to be seen.

But Transfer Lab data suggest the value of Coady’s ball-playing ability is outweighed by his defensive shortcomings. Instead, they suggest Ben White – also used to a back three at Brighton - and Tyrone Mings should partner Stones.

At left wing back, the numbers show Luke Shaw edges Ben Chilwell. His passing and crossing helped create more chances at Manchester United than Chilwell managed for Chelsea.

On the other flank, meanwhile, 2020/21 data points to Reece James being in the top 1 per cent of all full backs worldwide – and the best all-round option compared to Kyle Walker and Kieran Trippier.

a group of people playing football on a field: Data shows Tyrone Mings (left) and Ben White (right) should be a back three with John Stones © Provided by Daily Mail Data shows Tyrone Mings (left) and Ben White (right) should be a back three with John Stones a group of people playing football on a field: Numbers suggest Jordan Henderson and Mason Mount should be England’s midfield pairing © Provided by Daily Mail Numbers suggest Jordan Henderson and Mason Mount should be England’s midfield pairing

Further forward, Declan Rice has been a recent mainstay of England’s midfield. But TransferLab numbers suggest Jordan Henderson and Mason Mount should be England’s first choice pairing, with Kalvin Phillips the best option to deputise should Henderson’s fitness prevent him from starting against Croatia.

Kane set to be rested for Romania game

  Kane set to be rested for Romania game The England captain is being treated with kid gloves ahead of the Euros given his litany of ankle injuries and he did not even train with the rest of the squad on Friday. Manager Gareth Southgate is already lumbered with the headache of sweating on Harry Maguire and Jordan Henderson's respective fitness, and he said Kane, who played in England's 1-0 win over Austria, is preparing for the tournament ahead.

Who Southgate should select. Now, it's only this humble writer's opinion and make no mistake that your own squad is just as legitimate as mine but without further ado, check out our proposed 26-man squad down below As such, I am indeed going for Alexander-Arnold because I think he brings something to England that none of our other right-backs, no matter how many of them there are, can bring to the table. His attacking prowess and set-piece brilliance will be crucial for England even if he doesn't start and for me, James is deserving of a nod ahead of Kieran Trippier despite his strong

Who should support Harry Kane in attack? Will Raheem Sterling shine? Phil McNulty assesses England before their return to action. He has a good base to build on. England 's public feel genuine affection for Southgate and his modest, humble squad thanks to the way they went about their business on and off the field in Russia. By getting to within 90 minutes of a first World Cup final since 1966, England regained the popularity lost after failures at South Africa 2010 and Brazil 2014, not to mention Euro 2016.

His defensive data indicate he is a marginally more effective holding midfielder than Rice, while Jude Bellingham also misses out. It is a tight battle between the 17-year-old and Mount, with Bellingham stronger defensively but Mount offering more creativity.

In attack, Harry Kane is flanked by Sterling and Sancho. That means no Grealish, no Foden, no Bukayo Saka and no Marcus Rashford.

Interestingly, the data show Sancho and Grealish are England’s two standout all-round wingers, but Sancho is a slightly bigger goal threat. On the right, Manchester City team-mates Sterling and Foden match up well, too, but Sterling gets the nod thanks to his dribbling.

BACK FOUR

Even if Southgate sticks with the shape he used in recent warm-up games, England’s best XI looks markedly similar.

James and Shaw are still, statistically, England’s best full backs, while the numbers suggest Mings is the best option alongside Stones.

He is left-footed, which offers England balance, but it’s his aerial ability that separates Mings from White, who this season ranked among the worst 20 per cent of Premier League centre backs when it comes to defensive headers.

Southgate: We will continue taking the knee

  Southgate: We will continue taking the knee Gareth Southgate expected the booing that greeted England players taking the knee.The Three Lions boss had asked for supporters not to boo the stance on the eve of this final Euro 2020 warm-up game at the Riverside Stadium but, as they did here on Wednesday night, a minority ignored Southgate’s pleas.

Again Mount partners Henderson (or Philips) in midfield, with Grealish taking the extra attacking spot freed up by a back four. The Villa forward shone at No 10 in the two warm-up matches and would be a popular choice to string England’s attack together.

Jack Grealish with a football ball: Data says Jack Grealish should take the extra attacking spot freed up by using a back four © Provided by Daily Mail Data says Jack Grealish should take the extra attacking spot freed up by using a back four a group of young men playing a game of football: Jadon Sancho (left) and Raheem Sterling (centre) play alongside Harry Kane in both systems © Provided by Daily Mail Jadon Sancho (left) and Raheem Sterling (centre) play alongside Harry Kane in both systems

But what will Southgate decide? There are some crucial considerations TransferLab cannot measure: does Kyle Walker’s experience (and his relationship with Stones at City) make him a more sensible choice at right back?

Similarly, is it wise to break up the left-sided combination of Mount and Chilwell, which helped Chelsea down City in the Champions League final?

And will Mings’ patchy performances in the two warm-up matches spook Southgate into looking elsewhere? Over to you, Gareth.

Chris Sutton, Gordon Strachan, Micah Richards, Peter Crouch, Steph Houghton, Jamie Redknapp, Martin Keown posing for the camera © Provided by Daily Mail Read more

Jamie Carragher 'fears' for Gareth Southgate ahead of Euro 2020 .
Jamie Carragher fears England fans will be deflated by their 'failure' to win the tournament and worries that Southgate's squad have been affected more than any other nation by the pandemic.Carragher, who won 38 England caps in his international career, has sounded the alarm over England's current centre backs, the team's lack of preparation and a lack of quality compared to the likes of tournament giants France and Portugal.

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