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India India Today Karnataka opinion poll predicts hung Assembly, Congress single-largest party

16:37  13 april  2018
16:37  13 april  2018 Source:   indiatoday.in

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Karnataka is heading towards a hung Assembly this year, an India Today -Karvy Insights opinion poll conducted just over a month before the high-stakes election in the state predicts . The biggest takeaway from the Karnataka opinion poll is that no one party is expected to reach the magic

An India Today opinion poll in collaboration with Karvy Insights predict a hung Assembly in Karnataka this year. The opinion poll has been conducted a month before the Southern state goes to poll on May 12.

33 per cent of people believe Siddaramaiah is best suited to be next chief minister of Karnataka © Getty 33 per cent of people believe Siddaramaiah is best suited to be next chief minister of Karnataka

Karnataka is heading towards a hung Assembly this year, an India Today-Karvy Insights opinion poll conducted just over a month before the high-stakes election in the state predicts.

The biggest takeaway from the Karnataka opinion poll is that no one party is expected to reach the magic number of 112 in Karnataka's 225-member Assembly (voting will be held only for 224 seats however; one MLA is a Governor's nominee from the Anglo-Saxon community).

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The Congress, which is currently in power in Karnataka, can hope to win between 90 and 101 seats in the state election. The Bharatiya Janata Party, which is hoping to oust Congress from yet another state, will win between 78 and 86 seats, the opinion poll shows.

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^ " India Today Karnataka opinion poll predicts hung Assembly , Congress single - largest party ". ^ " Karnataka Assembly Elections: Congress Will Better its 2013 Tally, Predicts Survey". News18 India . news18.com.

Watch India Today Group-Karvy Insights opinion poll conducted across all 224 Assembly constituencies. The opinion poll in Karnataka shows that the Congress

Going by the India Today-Karvy Insights opinion poll, HD Deve Gowda's Janata Dal (Secular) will be the kingmaker in Karnataka, with the party and its pre-poll alliance member the Bahujan Samaj Party, winning between 34 and 43 seats.

In terms of vote share, Congress will get 37 per cent of votes, the BJP 35 per cent and the JD (S)-BSP 19 per cent, the opinion poll shows.

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Compared to how things currently stand in the Karnataka Assembly, the Congress will see its seat-share fall while the BJP will see its numbers go up. The improved performance, however, is not likely to ensure the saffron party of an outright win in the Karnataka Assembly election.

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The opinion poll predicts a 37% vote share to Congress , while the BJP is expected to garner 35% vote share. A recent survey has predicted a hung assembly and a tight race for the crown in Karnataka .

Tags: BJP Congress Exam results India Today India Today Opinion Poll Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018 Karnataka Opinion Polls The India Today - Karvy insights opinion polls .

While the Congress will see its seat tally come down, there is a silver lining in store for the party: most in Karnataka want the JD (S)-BSP combine to lend its support to the Grand Old Party; 39 per cent want the JD (S)+ to tie up with the Congress in case of a hung Assembly while 29 per cent want the party to ally with BJP.

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For the India Today-Karvy Insights opinion poll, a total of 27,919 interviews were conducted across all of Karnataka's 224 constituencies that will vote in the upcoming Assembly election on May 12 (results will be out May 15). Sixty-two 62 per cent of the interviews were in rural areas, the remaining in urban centres.

OTHER KEY TAKEAWAYS

CONGRESS SHOULD GET 2ND CHANCE: A substantial 45 per cent of votes feel that Siddaramaiah-led Congress government in Karnataka should be given another chance. Support for giving the party a second chance is particularly high among Muslims (65 per cent). Among Hindus 44 per cent feel Congress deserves a second chance. According to the caste-wise breakup, 55 per cent Kubras and 53 per cent Dalits believe Congress should get a second chance. Only 37 per cent Lingayats and 36 per cent Brahmins believe the same.

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ISSUES OF CONCERN: Unemployment seems to be the biggest issue of concern in Karnataka with 22 per cent of respondents saying it is an issue that concerns them the most. Price rise, corruption and lack of access to drinking water are among the other top issues of concern, according to the India Today-Karvy Insights opinion poll.

SIDDARAMAIAH PERFORMANCE CARD: Chief Minister Siddaramaiah has scored fairly well after being in power for five years. 38 per cent of people have rated the performance of Siddaramaiah as very good or good while another 31 per cent have rated it average. Less than 30 per cent feel that Siddaramaiah's performance is not up to the mark. The perception that Siddaramaiah's performance has been very good or good is relatively weaker among the Vokkaligas, Lingayats and Brahmins.

SIDDARAMAIAH VS YEDDYURAPPA: Who will be Karnataka's next chief minister? According to 33 per cent of those polled Siddaramaiah is best suited to be the next chief minister, while Yeddyurappa gets the support of 26 per cent. HD Kumaraswamy, on the other hand, is the favourite of 21 per cent of people.

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Congress will emerge as the single largest party in the upcoming assembly elections in Karnataka slated to be held next month, predicts a poll survey. An India Today Group-Karvy Insights opinion poll has predicted a hung Assembly in Karnataka .

India Today -Axis My India exit poll predicts 106-118 seats for Congress . According to an opinion poll , Congress will emerge as the single largest party in Karnataka . An India Today Group-Karvy Insights opinion poll had last month predicted a hung Assembly in Karnataka .

LIFE IS LARGELY THE SAME: For 46 per cent of people in Karantaka, their lives over the last five years of Congress rule have remained the same. On the other hand 30 per cent believe that their lives have become better while only 19 per cent say that their lives have become worse.

JOBS IN KARNATAKA: Underlining the belief that unemployment is the biggest issue of concern in Karnataka, as many as 56 per cent of people believe that there is either a serious lack of jobs in the state or that unemployment has become worse over the last five years. Only 33 pre cent are optimistic about the jobs situation in Karnataka.

CORRUPT CONGRESS: A significant 40 per cent of people believe the Congress is corrupt while nearly half of that find the BJP to be most corrupt. Similarly, nearly 50 per cent of people believe that over the last five years of the Congress government, corruption has either significantly or somewhat increased.


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