Ireland: Bigger storms and more hurricanes on the way for Ireland, climate expert warns - - PressFrom - United Kingdom
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Ireland Bigger storms and more hurricanes on the way for Ireland, climate expert warns

02:05  13 october  2019
02:05  13 october  2019 Source:   msn.com

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Category 5 hurricanes are the most severe but also the most rare – there have been just three in the past decade. The increase in named storms can be attributed to human-induced climate change. Governor Rick Scott warns of ‘unimaginable devastation’ as Florida Panhandle’s strongest cyclone in

‘Human interference’ is making hurricanes more destructive. The consequences of human-driven climate change on hurricanes plays out in a number of ways . That makes storms like Harvey and Florence stall while they dump stunning amounts of water over the landscape, so that even a storm

a close up of John Sweeney wearing glasses and smiling at the camera: Professor John Sweeney © Provided by Reach Publishing Services Limited Professor John Sweeney

Bigger storms and more hurricanes will batter the country over the next few years, a top climate expert has warned. Despite them being less frequent they will be more wild and will cause more damage including flooding in coastal areas. Leading Irish climatologist Prof John Sweeney said: “We have seen an increase in storm frequencies. In 2013, 2014 we had the stormiest winter over both Britain and Ireland in 143 years.

“We have seen increases but they might not continue. “But what we will see is that over time the storm tracks may move a little to the north as the tropics warm up and the probability is that we will see fewer storms but the ones that we do get will be a lot bigger. “We can expect more severe storms. The recent evidence for that seems to be in line with what is being suggested. “As the water warms up around Ireland we can expect the storms to have more energy.

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More climate models should be tested and further research pursued on the sources of Atlantic multidecadal variability in order to increase confidence in those conclusions. Direct model simulations of hurricane activity under climate change scenarios offer another perspective on the problem.

Hurricanes are subject to various climate change-related influences: Warmer sea surface temperatures could intensify tropical storm wind speeds, potentially delivering more Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is one way to reduce the risk of the strongest storms in the future.

  Bigger storms and more hurricanes on the way for Ireland, climate expert warns © Getty “We expect to see more winter rainfall in Ireland and West of Ireland will be more prone therefore to flooding than other parts. “We expect to see drier summers too and problems for water supply, especially in the east. “The problem for Ireland and climate change is not necessarily changes in temperature but changes in rainfall which create this twin problem of flooding in the west and dryness in weather in the east.”

And Prof Sweeney said that Ireland will face more tail end hurricanes in years to come. He added: “Many believe that the hurricane forming zones in the tropical oceans may be extending as the ocean warms up and that hurricanes may be forming further to the east, near Africa if you like, and then being brought up to the temperate regions by steering mechanisms which would normally push them towards the west, towards America.

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Storms progress from tropical depressions to tropical storms and then to hurricanes , distinctions based on wind speed. Rated on the five-point Saffir-Simpson scale based on wind speed, hurricanes are considered Hurricanes bring destruction ashore in many different ways . Climate change may be driving more frequent, more intense extreme weather, and that includes hurricanes .

“ Hurricanes even more extreme than the Great Hurricane of 1780 can occur in a warming climate , and can be anticipated by combining physical “ Many meteorological observers [were] stunned at how rapidly Patricia blew up from tropical storm to one of the strongest category 5 hurricanes on earth in

“We are now facing an increasing likelihood of tail end hurricanes in Ireland. “Hurricane frequency in the Atlantic is not changing as a while but there is a sign of the category 4 and 5 hurricane becoming more frequent than they have in the past. “Ireland will be more susceptible to these tail end events.” He added: “There is more real definite connection between a storm event this time of year and the type of winter that will follow.”

Gallery: Forgotten Ireland - Historical photographs reveal the Emerald Isle (Daily Mail)

a woman standing next to a rock wall: Amazing photographs taken in Ireland around the turn of the last century show everything from school children playing in Co. Monaghan in 1905, to young women from Killarney posing for portraits in the 1870s. The photographs, taken from 1870 to 1910, were sourced from files at the Library of Congress in Washington DC.
Managing Director of Insuremyhome.ie, Jonathan Hehir said that it’s important that home owners are prepared and covered for storm damage, he said: “Storm damage is standard on all policies, so there’s no real way of “upping” cover in this regard. “As a homeowner you just need to make sure that your level of cover accurately reflects the rebuild cost of your home and that your contents cover is up to date.

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The bigger picture shows that between 1981 and 2010 the average was six hurricanes per season. "The frequency of the most intense storms will more likely than not increase substantially in some Climate scientists say that to see the full impact of emissions of greenhouse gases on hurricanes

Big hurricanes in the Pacific as well as the Atlantic appear to be happening more often and are packing more punch than normal. Since 1995, the AMO is in the "on" position for good hurricane conditions, and in fact the period since then has been quite active for storms and hurricanes .

“The sum insured is something that is particularly relevant of late because, due to increases in construction costs over the last number of years, the rebuild costs of properties all over the country have gone up – but anyone who doesn’t review their cover on annual basis is likely to not have these increases in rebuild costs reflected in their cover – and may be underinsured as a result.”

Big seas pound the huge black cliffs near Doolin, from waves that surge across the wild Atlantic Ocean, dwarfing an Irish mansion perched on the grassy cliffs and glowing in the setting sun. The power of the rising seas is echoed in the frothy spume that coats the water's surface. © Getty Big seas pound the huge black cliffs near Doolin, from waves that surge across the wild Atlantic Ocean, dwarfing an Irish mansion perched on the grassy cliffs and glowing in the setting sun. The power of the rising seas is echoed in the frothy spume that coats the water's surface. He added: “We would also advise all homeowners – but particularly those who have had a claim for storm/ weather related damage in the past – to never leave a gap in cover and to always make sure that they renew their policy on or before the renewal date. “If a homeowner leaves a gap in cover, then they are in a very precarious position should something happen to their property during this time.

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While hurricanes are a natural part of our climate system, recent research suggests that there has In the future, there may not necessarily be more hurricanes , but there will likely be more intense Because of climate change, such a storm evolved from a once in every 100 years event to a once in

We have much better — and more conclusive — evidence for climate change from more boring sources like Vecchi offers a different way to frame the story on climate change and hurricanes that I find very helpful. So more hurricanes are coming. They’ll likely grow bigger and more intense.

“And if you have already had a claim for storm damage and leave a gap in cover, then insurers may decide not to insure you if you go to take out a policy at a later date. Home insurance is not like car insurance whereby the law states that an insurer have to offer you cover.”

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