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US News Why A ‘No-Deal’ Brexit Is Back, No Matter What Boris Johnson Wants To Call It

10:50  28 february  2020
10:50  28 february  2020 Source:   huffingtonpost.co.uk

The UK’s threat to walk out of EU trade talks is real

  The UK’s threat to walk out of EU trade talks is real Here’s an astute observation from a former senior British official in the EU, which came during a conversation about political misjudgments: in the corridors of Brussels, one no longer bumps into Brits to talk about how the politics is shaping up back home. There is nobody around any more at the heart of the EU machine to tell you what the UK government is really thinking.This decline in informal contact set in long before the UK officially left the EU at the end of January. It was part of the reason why EU politicians and journalists ended up underestimating support for Brexit in the UK at the 2016 referendum and afterwards.

Boris Johnson 's Brexit deal . Image copyright AFP. "Parliament has shown time and time again an ability to move very quickly when it wants to . And a vote for the Brexit deal itself is no guarantee of a vote for the legislation required to implement it .

Boris Johnson and Leo Varadkar say "common ground was established" at their meeting in Dublin. media captionBoris Johnson told Leo Varadkar a no - deal Brexit would be "a failure of statecraft". Opposition parties will not back the vote, meaning there will be no election in October as the PM had

Boris Johnson wearing a suit and tie: Prime Minister Boris Johnson during a visit to Connection at St Martins in the Fields, London, a centre for homelessness and those in need of long term support, ahead of an announcement for funding to provide © PA Prime Minister Boris Johnson during a visit to Connection at St Martins in the Fields, London, a centre for homelessness and those in need of long term support, ahead of an announcement for funding to provide "move on" accommodation for up to 6,000 rough sleepers.

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

Aussie rules

Brexiteer Andrea Jenkyns clearly didn’t get the memo, or didn’t read it. Tory whips’ had today drafted hilariously clunky ‘lines to take’ for backbenchers (a leak of which ended up in HuffPost’s hands) when discussing Boris Johnson’s hardball negotiating mandate for trade talks with Brussels. “Do not use phrases such as ‘deal /no deal’,” MPs were told.

They Lost the Brexit War But U.K. Remainers Are Still Fighting

  They Lost the Brexit War But U.K. Remainers Are Still Fighting When the U.K.’s Brexit chief accused the European Union of threatening democracy with its outrageous demands, his target audience was his opponents in trade talks in Brussels. But the alarm bells from David Frost’s stinging attack this week will reverberate among businesses back in Britain, too. After leaving the EU on Jan. 31, the U.K. government is about to embark on 10 months of talks over future trading arrangements with the bloc. Pro-EU campaigners and business leaders fear a violent rupture of the kind Frost and his boss, Prime Minister Boris Johnson, are contemplating could spell disaster.

'All signs point to a no - deal Brexit '. Analysis by BBC diplomatic correspondent James Landale. When Boris Johnson met President Emmanuel Macron and Chancellor Angela Mr Johnson wants to renegotiate the Irish backstop - a key Brexit sticking point - but the EU has consistently ruled this out.

Senior figures in European governments believe Boris Johnson is waiting for the result of the US presidential election before finally deciding whether to risk plunging the UK into a no - deal Brexit , according to a former “We’ve been clear in our ambition for what we want to achieve, we want to

But Jenkyns couldn’t help herself. Like many Leavers, ‘no deal’ holds no fear for her. “It’s great to have a government who plays hardball with the EU,” she tweeted. “No deal back on the table in June if the EU doesn’t agree a trade deal. Great, bring it on!”

What next for Brexit? Follow key developments, expert analysis and multiple perspectives as the UK edges closer to leaving the EU

The lines-to-take memo had other finger-wagging edicts designed to wipe Mayisms from backbenchers’ memory chips: “don’t use the word ‘partnership’ about the future relationship, still less ‘deep’ or ‘special’ partnership; “do not use the term ‘Brexit’, save as a historical event that took place on 31 January 2020”; “if hyperbole is absolutely essential [my favourite this], only make reference to a deal ‘at least as good as’ CETA [a basic Canada-style free trade deal],”

French minister attacks PM's trade deal 'artificial deadline'

  French minister attacks PM's trade deal 'artificial deadline' French minister attacks PM's trade deal 'artificial deadline'The prime minister has insisted Britain is willing to revert to base-level World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules if an agreement is not in place for 31 December 2020.

Boris Johnson had to ask the EU for an extension to the UK's 31 October exit date after MPs backed a move to delay approval of the deal on Saturday. However, BBC Europe editor Katya Adler said if the alternative was a no - deal Brexit , the EU was unlikely to refuse - although it would want to know

No - Deal Brexit Risk Grows After EU Rejects Boris Johnson ’s Demands. The martial language continued, as the prime minister said he wanted to “mobilize” government staff to prepare. Yet Johnson faces obstacles to forcing through a no - deal split. Members of Parliament opposed to

Gallery: Britain bows out of the EU (Photos)

What was perhaps most striking in the new ‘lexicon’ was a determination not to use Brussels-style language. No.10 officials have for some weeks avoided copying the phrase ‘mandate’ (Eurocrats love that one) to describe their approach to the talks. Instead, the document published by the UK today was simply called ‘The UK’s Approach To Negotiations’.

And most telling of all, given how central this issue is to the whole talks, the Tory whips’ memo had this stern advice: “Use ‘avoiding trade distortions’. not ‘level playing field’.” That level playing field is the EU’s big demand and was indeed part of the political declaration Johnson signed up to last year.

But the UK points out that the phrase was mentioned in just one paragraph (para 77 to be precise) of the declaration. The EU wanted a much tougher and more extensive section on this but Johnson’s team refused at the time. Unsurprisingly, the EU’s own mandate for coming talks has twenty references to level playing field.

In fact, Johnson believes he signed up to a very narrow definition of this concept, as it applies to a Canada-style deal. It’s the EU which is moving away from what was agreed, not the UK, that’s the firm the feeling in No.10. With the trade talks due to start on Monday, it looks like a tough road ahead.

The EU's Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier. © Reuters The EU's Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier.

One genuinely new element in today’s document was a plan for a new public consultation on “the economic implications of the future relationship”, starting “this spring”. However, it is understood that there is no commitment to actually publishing the outcome of the consultation. That suggests the public and business won’t be given a single figure on the financial costs (or benefits) of a Canada-style deal or a no-trade deal outcome.

Speaking of which, the UK’s negotiating guidelines today insist on again using the PM’s own euphemism for a ‘no-trade deal’ (as some refer to it) scenario, calling it the ‘Australia’ option. Australia sounds nice and sunny and full of beach barbecues, but the reality is the UK would be on World Trade Organisation rules and life could get chilly indeed for British business.

Those businesses had better get used to no-trade deal, especially as ministers are planning for new border and port checks. Yet maybe the truth is that a bare-bones Canada deal won’t in reality look much different from a WTO scenario anyway.

Some trade experts still think the sabre-rattling is just that. But if the Canada deal is so thin that it’s barely distinguishable from no-deal, neither No.10 nor Brussels have much incentive to do anything other than prepare for the worst.

The EU may put the integrity of its own political union ahead of economics, just as the UK looks like putting sovereignty ahead of any medium term economic pain. No matter what you call that, it will leave cross-Channel relations looking fraughter than ever.

Gallery: The last time Britain was split over the EU (MIrrorpix)

Boris Johnson, Harold Wilson are posing for a picture: Sick of Brexit? In despair about the state of our country? Who isn't? But it's not the first time Britain has been divided about our place in Europe. Let's step back in time to when we first joined the EEC...

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