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US News US Presidential: "In the event of a dispute, this Supreme Court could give the election to Donald Trump", estimates Nicole Bacharan

17:20  28 october  2020
17:20  28 october  2020 Source:   20minutes.fr

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The historian and specialist of the United States, Nicole Bacharan, reacts to the appointment of the very judge. Curator Amy Coney Barrett at the US Supreme Court

Donald Trump applaudit Amy Coney Barrett après sa confirmation à la Cour suprême américaine, le 27 octobre 2020. © Nicholas Kamm / AFP Donald Trump applauds Amy Coney Barrett after her confirmation to the US Supreme Court on October 27, 2020. INTERVIEW - US historian and scholar Nicole Bacharan, reacts to the appointment of the very conservative judge Amy Coney Barrett to the American Supreme Court

"It is a historic day for America", jubilee Donald Trump Monday evening, after the confirmation of the conservative Amy Coney Barrett at the Supreme Court of the United States. The 48-year-old Catholic magistrate is appointed for life to the highest American court.

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With six conservative judges in nine seats, the President of the United States permanently anchors the Supreme Court to the right, one week before the presidential election. Can this final Republican victory weigh in favor of the outgoing president on the November 3 ballot? Decryption with Nicole Bacharan, historian and political scientist specializing in the United States.

Is the appointment of Amy Coney Barrett an asset in the re-election of Donald Trump?

I see three kinds of possible consequences. The evangelical community, for example, is thrilled, and this may prompt voters to go out and vote in support of the president. But there is the risk that some of them will say to themselves "we got what we wanted from Donald Trump, we don't need him anymore", these are things that come out in interviews. And my third hypothesis is that this election has a very strong galvanizing effect on the Democrats' side. The imbalance of the Supreme Court, which must deal with central questions of society such as global warming, weapons, abortion or the health system, it can also very strongly mobilize in favor of Joe Biden.

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Can Donald Trump's political victory earn him new votes?

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hope. During his tenure, Donald Trump never did anything to expand his electorate to independents, centrists ... He always believed that voters who had not voted until then would come out of the woods. He is counting on this political victory to mobilize the voices of these people who have not spoken for a long time.

Beyond Donald Trump, can this confirmation serve the Republican Party?

It could be useful for the re-election of some Republican senators. At the same time as the presidential election, Americans renew by direct universal suffrage a third of the Senate. This year, by a coincidence of the calendar, there are more Republicans than Democrats whose seat is at stake. Among them, a good part of these policies will be largely re-elected but for those who are in a more fragile situation, this voting can help them.

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However, the majority of the population is not moving towards ultra-conservatism, and the Republican Party is using this Supreme Court nomination to block social development. And this despite the opinion of Americans. On the issues of same-sex marriage or gun control, it is dramatic. For example, polls give Americans who want gun control an overwhelming majority, around 80%. The party is thus trying to compensate for its loss of speed among its voters.

If the election is contested by one of the two candidates, can the nomination of Amy Coney Barret change the vote?

This is exactly the calculation that Donald Trump and the Republicans made. If the election is close, as it is shaping up to be, or if the final decision rests with a state - there is a lot of talk about Pennsylvania this year - there will be recount demands, ballot validity challenges, ballots. accusations of intimidation in the polling stations… There are many angles of attack.

Some questions, more complex than others, will come to the Supreme Court after exhausting all local legal remedies. If that happens, I don’t imagine for a second that this Supreme Court doesn’t elect Donald Trump. I don't see how he could be outvoted. For the legitimacy of the election, it is a disaster.

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Democrat Joe Biden is the favorite on the home stretch, while the last votes in the US presidential election are counted. © Provided by Finance.net Ralph Orlowski / Getty Images Biden wins major states After winning major states, challenger Biden seems only a few steps away from the White House. Incumbent Donald Trump, however, claimed the victory for himself and sent his lawyers off with lawsuits in several states.

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This is interesting!