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US News Coronavirus: India could undergo a third wave by October, according to a Reuters Survey

16:50  18 june  2021
16:50  18 june  2021 Source:   rfi.fr

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Health-Coronavirus-India-survey: Coronavirus: India could undergo a third wave by October, according to a Reuters Survey

CORONAVIRUS: L'INDE POURRAIT SUBIR UNE TROISIÈME VAGUE D'ICI OCTOBRE, SELON UNE ENQUÊTE REUTERS © Reuters / Amit Dave Coronavirus: India could undergo a third wave by October, according to a Reuters

survey by Shrutee Sarkar

Bangalore (Reuters) - India, heavily affected by CIVID-19, should be confronted At a third wave by October and the pandemic to remain a sanitary threat at least an additional year, according to a Reuters' opinion survey of international medical experts.

A third wave potential would, however, be better controlled than the previous ones, have specified more than 70% of the 40 specialists surveyed from 3 to 17 June - doctors, scientists, virologists, epidemiologists and teachers.

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Among those who advance a forecast, more than 85% (21 out of 24) consider that the next wave will occur by October, three predicting it as early as August, 12 in September.

Experts surveyed believe that a significant acceleration of vaccination campaigns would partially adhere to a new epidemic wave.

India has so far been completely vaccinated only about 5% of its eligible population, estimated at 950 million people, leaving millions of vulnerable people with the risk of infection and death.

The current wave is more devastating than that of 2020, whose country is barely recovering after dealing with a shortage of vaccines, drugs, oxygen and hospital beds.

"The epidemic will be better controlled, the cases will be much less numerous because there will have been more vaccinations, and the second wave will have produced a certain degree of natural immunity," says Randeep Gullia, Director of the AIMI, a Large New Delhi Public Hospital.

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If the majority of experts provide for an intensification of the vaccination campaign this year, they warn against a premature lifting of restrictions on curbing the virus, as some states did.

Nearly two-thirds of the experts, or 26 out of 40 consider that children and children under 18 would be the most exposed to a possible third wave.

"This is a totally virgin population in terms of vaccination, as no vaccine is currently available for them," said Dr. Pradeep Banandur, head of the epidemiology department of the National Institute of Health mental and neuroscience (Nimhans) of Bangalore.

For 30 of the 41 respondents, the coronavirus will remain a threat to public health in India for at least an additional year.

(with the contribution of Swathi Nair; Vivek Mishra, Indradip Ghosh and Mumal Rathore; French version Diana Mandiá, edited by Sophie Louet)

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