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Reviews JPMorgan sees $ 200 billion stock outflow this quarter

23:20  17 september  2020
23:20  17 september  2020 Source:   tagesspiegel.de

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(Bloomberg) - Pension and sovereign wealth funds are expected to sell around $ 200 billion worth of stocks as they realign their portfolios, JPMorgan Chase & Co. expects that would put them at risk represent the worldwide stocks.

It would be the most negative quarterly adjustment since the beginning of the pandemic, say strategists around Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. The total is obtained from calculations spanning US defined benefit pension portfolios, the Japanese Government Pension Investment Fund, and the Norwegian Oil Fund.

"These negative flows from shifts are becoming more problematic given the sharp decline in stock market depths this month," they write in a note.

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The pension and sovereign wealth funds usually adjust their portfolios every quarter in order to maintain their target asset allocation. A metric for global stocks is up about 10% since late June, outperforming fixed income returns. For some funds, this signals a need to adjust their investment mix to the preferred limits again.

Global shares have done better than bonds so far this quarter © Bloomberg Global shares have done better than bonds so far this quarter

The revision is one of the many risks to the stock market after a strong rally that started from the lows in March stalled this month. Other possible negative factors include excessive valuations in some segments, a volatile economic recovery, potential volatility in connection with the US elections and the reliance of financial markets on support from central banks.

Continental shares on the upswing: Continental is not slipping as deep into the loss zone as feared

 Continental shares on the upswing: Continental is not slipping as deep into the loss zone as feared The automotive supplier Continental slipped deep into the red in the second quarter, but said it did better than analysts had expected. © Provided by Finanz.net GmbH Peter Bischoff / Getty Images Consolidated sales fell by almost 40 percent to 6.620 billion euros, as the DAX group announced. The adjusted EBIT margin was minus 9.6 percent after Continental had reached plus 6.7 percent a year ago. Free cash flow before acquisitions and carve-out effects amounted to minus EUR 1.782 billion, compar

Still, JPMorgan strategists are generally optimistic about the outlook for stocks.

"We still see a lot of upside potential in the medium to long term, given the overall low equity positioning," they said. "A decline in equity and risk markets in the coming weeks would likely be a buying opportunity."

Original headline:

JPMorgan Says $ 200 Billion May Flow Out of Stocks This Quarter

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