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CrimeFBI: There Was a Decrease in All Violent Crimes Other Than Rape in 2018

15:50  26 february  2019
15:50  26 february  2019 Source:   lawandcrime.com

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In the FBI ’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape , robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses that involve force or threat of force. There were an estimated 368.9 violent crimes per 100,000 inhabitants in 2018 , a rate that fell 3.9 percent when compared with the 2017 estimated violent crime rate and dropped 14.6 percent from the 2009 estimate. (See Tables 1 and 1A.) Aggravated assaults accounted for 66.9 percent of violent crimes

All types of violent crime decreased from 2017 to 2018 except for rape , with offenses increasing by 2% per capita. There were nearly 43 rapes per 100,000 people in 2018 , compared to 42 rapes per capita in 2017. Iowa's property crime rate per capita dropped by 19%, which was more than any other state. The state saw 1,692 property crimes in 2018 , compared to 2,088 in 2017.

FBI: There Was a Decrease in All Violent Crimes Other Than Rape in 2018© Provided by Mediaite, LLC

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has released their running assessment of violent crime statistics across the United States for 2018. And the results are undeniable: violent crimes went down substantially–almost across the board. Sexual assaults and rapes ticked slightly up, however, according to initial data.

FBI: There Was a Decrease in All Violent Crimes Other Than Rape in 2018
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The FBI’s Preliminary Semiannual Uniform Crime Report (UCR) for 2018 notes that burglaries saw the steepest drop. Across the months spanning January to June of last year, those crimes decreased by nearly 13 percent. Next in line were robberies–which also decreased by just shy of 13 percent.

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All other crimes of a sexual nature are considered to be Part II offenses; as such, the UCR Program collects only arrest data for those crimes . The offense of statutory rape , in which no force is used but the female victim is under the age of consent, is included in the arrest total for the sex offenses category. Expanded offense data are the details of the various offenses that the UCR Program collects beyond the count of how many crimes law enforcement agencies report. These details may include the type of weapon used in a crime , type or value of items stolen, and so forth.

Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses that involve force or threat of force. The data presented in Crime in the United States reflect the Hierarchy Rule, which requires that only the most serious offense in a multiple-offense criminal incident be counted. The descending order of UCR violent crimes are murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape , robbery, and aggravated assault, followed by the property crimes of burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft.

Generally considered the top-line indicator of the state of American violence, murders decreased by nearly 7 percent — 6.7 percent total.

Ames Grawert is Senior Counsel with the Brennan Center for Justice’s flagship Justice Program. Grawert said that while not definitely indicative of the final numbers that will be released, the FBI’s initial data drop suggests a similarly large year-long plunge.

“The FBI’s midyear reports are notoriously unreliable,” Grawert tweeted, “but I wouldn’t expect the trend or magnitude to change that much.”

Jeff Asher, a former crime analyst for the City of New Orleans who now contributes to the sports and political data blog 538, agreed with Grawert that the FBI’s first tranche of data suggests that murders substantially decreased in 2018.

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Other activities of its early decades focused on the scope and influence of the white supremacist group Ku Klux Klan, a group with which the FBI was evidenced to be working in the Viola Liuzzo lynching case. Earlier, through the work of Edwin Atherton, the BOI claimed to have successfully apprehended an entire army of Mexican neo-revolutionaries under the leadership of General Enrique Estrada in the From the end of the 1980s to the early 1990s, the FBI reassigned more than 300 agents from foreign counter-intelligence duties to violent crime , and made violent crime the sixth national priority.

4 Violent crimes are offenses of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape , robbery, and aggravated assault. Property crimes are offenses of burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson. White individuals were arrested more often for violent crimes than individuals of any other race and accounted for 59.0 percent of those arrests.

“Midyear UCR is usually decent-ish at projecting the full year trend,” Asher tweeted, “a ~5% drop in murder nationally still seems most likely outcome.”

Law&Crime followed up with Asher, who noted that the data is “not inherently untrustworthy and it gives the general direction of where the country is heading.” Asher said it can be off by roughly half a percentage point or more on occasion.

“It gives a ballpark estimate,” he said during a phone call. “Big city data suggests a relatively large drop is coming when the full year data is released in September. It’s not groundbreaking and it’s nothing we wouldn’t have expected.”

“The [data suggests] major rises of murder in 2015 and 2016 have stopped,” Asher noted, clarifying that this does not mean rises in murders are likely to stop forever.

“We’re in for one of the biggest falls this year,” he said. “It’s good to have that confirmation early–in February. It certainly looks like murder is falling; two straight years of murder dropping is a positive.”

Aside from murder, intentional fires decreased by just over nine percent compared to the previous year. Property crimes decreased by just over seven percent. Motor vehicle thefts decreased by over three percent. General theft–or larceny as law enforcement calls it–decreased by over seven percent.

Aggravated assault also declined; but barely–notching a fairly minor dwindling of exactly two percent.

Violent crimes, in general, decreased by over four percent. Rape, according to the FBI, increased by just over half a percentage point.

[image via  Scott Olson/Getty Images]

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