Offbeat: Analysis: Trump Claims Election Night Credit. It’s Not That Simple. - - PressFrom - US

Offbeat Analysis: Trump Claims Election Night Credit. It’s Not That Simple.

04:25  09 august  2018
04:25  09 august  2018 Source:

Giuliani: Midterms will answer impeachment question

  Giuliani: Midterms will answer impeachment question President Donald Trump's lawyer Rudy Giuliani said the November midterm elections will be about "impeachment or no impeachment." He said if Democrats win control of the House, they won't treat Trump fairly. Giuliani spoke Wednesday in New Hampshire, where he was endorsing Republican congressional hopeful Eddie Edwards."I say this not in my role as a lawyer but as a concerned citizen and Republican," he said. "This election is going to be about impeachment or no impeachment.

WASHINGTON — In President Trump ’ s mind, he has become the indispensable man, the political force singularly responsible for the narrow lead that Troy Balderson, the Republican candidate, clings to in a heavily conservative Ohio House district and that Kris W. Kobach maintains in the Kansas governor’ s

It ’ s an interesting window into how Trump prepares for big moments. Some people might meditate, listen to some music or have a light meal before a debate. But he says he is better equipped to beat terrorism by the simple expedient of saying the words “radical Islamic terrorism.”

a man standing in front of a crowd: President Trump bragged about “a big turn for the better” in Troy Balderson’s House campaign after the president held a boisterous get-out-the-vote rally in Ohio on Saturday night. © Al Drago for The New York Times President Trump bragged about “a big turn for the better” in Troy Balderson’s House campaign after the president held a boisterous get-out-the-vote rally in Ohio on Saturday night.

WASHINGTON — In President Trump’s mind, he has become the indispensable man, the political force singularly responsible for the narrow lead that Troy Balderson, the Republican candidate, clings to in a heavily conservative Ohio House district and that Kris W. Kobach maintains in the Kansas governor’s primary.

But the presidential braggadocio that followed Tuesday’s election night squeakers ignores another reality that the White House is loath to acknowledge: Mr. Trump — and his chaotic, controversy-laden tenure in the Oval Office — is largely responsible for the toxic political climate that is undermining the Republican candidates he is trying to save.

Stormy Daniels and President Trump will be 90 miles apart on Saturday in Ohio

  Stormy Daniels and President Trump will be 90 miles apart on Saturday in Ohio Porn star Stormy Daniels and President Donald Trump will be separated by just three counties in Ohio on Saturday. Both will be on stage presumably in front of enthusiastic crowds. Stormy Daniels will be performing at a private strip club outside Dayton. President Donald Trump will be stumping for a Republican campaigning for U.S. Congress at the Delaware County Fair Coliseum.Daniels, born Stephanie Clifford, will perform a total of four shows Friday and Saturday at Diamond Cabaret, a private club offering fully nude entertainment.The venues are about 90 miles apart.

Trump made false claims that massive amounts of voter fraud – up to 5 million illegal votes – in Clinton' s favor occurred during the election , and he In the aftermath of Comey' s firing, the events were compared with those of the "Saturday Night Massacre" during Richard Nixon' s administration

WASHINGTON — The economy is doing quite well, thank you very much, and the president would naturally like to take credit . Both of them. Barely a day passes without President Trump boasting about the growing economy, claiming with a mix of hyperbole and fact that it is “booming like never before.”.

Sign Up For the Morning Briefing Newsletter

Economic growth topped 4 percent earlier this year. Unemployment is low; stock prices are high. Yet Republicans speak darkly of the awful environment their candidates face in midterm elections 90 days away.

“Trump injects a certain level of uncertainty and chaos into these races,” said Kevin Madden, a veteran Republican strategist who was a top adviser to Mitt Romney, the party’s 2012 presidential nominee. “There is no doubt that Trump is actually increasing Democrat turnout.”

The president appears to exist in a sunny political environment all his own. In a late-night tweet on Tuesday, Mr. Trump bragged about “a big turn for the better” in Mr. Balderson’s campaign after the president held a boisterous get-out-the-vote rally in Ohio on Saturday night. On Wednesday morning, he crowed that Republicans went “5 for 5” in races on Tuesday and predicted that whenever he campaigns for candidates, “they will win!”

Member of Trump's voter fraud commission points to 'troubling bias'

  Member of Trump's voter fraud commission points to 'troubling bias' "That the Commission predicted it would find widespread evidence of fraud actually reveals a troubling bias," said Maine's Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap.President Donald Trump's dismantled voter fraud commission uncovered no evidence to prove his claim that millions voted illegally in the 2016 presidential election, according to an analysis of administration documents by a former member.

23, 2017 Day 4: Claim about the election . Most repeated claims . Trump repeatedly (25 times) took credit for projects involving Ford, GM, Fiat Chrysler and other companies that were announced or Trump also misleadingly claimed 15 times that he lowered the cost of F-35 airplanes by 0 million

Near the end of election night , the same model gave Donald Trump a greater than 95 percent chance of winning. Politico once called Cohn “a precocious numbers-cruncher and polling whiz who has emerged as the new face of election analysis for the paper of record.”

“As long as I campaign and/or support Senate and House candidates (within reason), they will win! I LOVE the people, & they certainly seem to like the job I’m doing. If I find the time, in between China, Iran, the Economy and much more, which I must, we will have a giant Red Wave!” he boasted Wednesday on Twitter.

It is impossible to know for sure the impact of Mr. Trump’s last-minute help in an Ohio district that Republicans should have won easily. The president could be right that he lifted turnout among Mr. Balderson’s supporters just enough to secure the win, if and when it is declared. Or it’s possible that his rally did nothing much — polls ahead of Election Day suggested a one-point race, which is about where it ended up.

Nor is it possible to gauge the impact of a late-tweeted endorsement of Mr. Kobach, the divisive Kansas secretary of state who headed the president’s voter integrity commission before challenging the sitting Republican governor.

FL Gov: Nelson 'Making Things Up' About Russian Hacking

  FL Gov: Nelson 'Making Things Up' About Russian Hacking "Either Bill Nelson knows of crucial information the federal government is withholding from Florida election officials, or he is simply making things up," Florida Governor Rick Scott said Friday.Load Error

Experts say it ' s not so simple . Experts said Trump can take some credit for the increased supply of gas that has driven prices lower, but that fuel economics is a hugely complex subject, impacted by many variables.

On Saturday, intelligence officials said it was not until the week after the election that the C.I.A. altered its formal assessment of Russia’ s activities to The rift also raises questions about how Mr. Trump will deal with the intelligence agencies he will have to rely on for analysis of China, Russia and the Middle

The president’s political advisers said internal polling in Mr. Balderson’s race showed him trailing, and turned around only after Vice President Mike Pence visited and the president held the last-minute rally. They noted that far more Democrats were voting early than Republicans in Ohio until those White House visits.

But Republican and Democratic strategists alike said Mr. Trump’s low approval ratings and his lack of a disciplined message about the booming economy had harmed Republican candidates in general this year.

In recent weeks, Mr. Trump has escalated trade wars with China and the United States’ European allies, complained repeatedly about the investigation into Russian election interference, caused a border crisis by separating migrant families, attacked the N.B.A.’s most popular star and praised President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.

Frank Luntz, a longtime Republican pollster, said the president was “unmistakably the most powerful, influential person” among his loyal supporters. He can make a difference in close races by generating enthusiasm in his political base ahead of Election Day.

Melania Trump spokeswoman calls Omarosa claims ‘disappointing’

  Melania Trump spokeswoman calls Omarosa claims ‘disappointing’ First lady Melania Trump’s spokeswoman dismissed claims in Omarosa Manigault Newman’s book, saying the two “rarely” interacted after the former White House aide made it seem as though the two had a close relationship. Manigault Newman detailed her interactions with Trump numerous times throughout “Unhinged,” which is set to be released Tuesday. Trump’s communications director, Stephanie Grisham, told the Washington Examiner that the first lady “rarely, if ever, interacted" with Manigault Newman.

Republican president- elect Donald Trump delivers his acceptance speech during his election night event at the New York Hilton Midtown in the early "Now it ' s time for America to bind the wounds of division," Trump said in claiming victory during a raucous victory celebration at a Manhattan hotel.

Donald Trump was elected the nation’ s 45th president in the stunning culmination of a campaign that defied expectations and conventions at every turn and galvanized legions of aggrieved Americans in a loud repudiation of the status quo. Hillary Clinton’ s quest to make history as the first female president

But Mr. Luntz said that scores of Republican candidates are facing a disastrous election season in which independent voters are leaning heavily toward the Democratic Party and away from Mr. Trump — and Democrats are at least as energized by Mr. Trump’s involvement as Republicans.

He said the president was fooling himself if he thought the Balderson race in Ohio, which remained too close to call on Wednesday, was a victory for the party.

“That district has been Republican in 48 out of 50 years,” Mr. Luntz said. “That’s not a wake-up call. That’s a hit in the head with a baseball bat.”

That is a point Democrats hammered home on Wednesday.

“Last night proved Democrats can close the gap anywhere, even in the reddest districts,” said Tom Perez, the chairman of the Democratic National Committee. “If we’re keeping it this close in this district now, it’s a good sign for our chances across the country this November.”

The president — no surprise — sees it differently.

In his day-after tweets, Mr. Trump assailed what he called the “Fake News Media” for refusing to give him credit for a successful season of special elections and primaries. If you listened to the press, he said, “you would think we are being clobbered.”

“Why can’t they play it straight, so unfair to the Republican Party and in particular, your favorite President!” he continued.

3 times you shouldn't use your credit card

  3 times you shouldn't use your credit card Even though credit cards offer rewards and protection, sometimes it's better to go with debit or cash.That might be why debit card usage is declining in the U.S. Since 2013, the percentage of households that use debit cards has dropped from 74 percent to 58 percent in favor of alternative payment methods like credit cards and apps, according to a report from ValuePenguin. Almost a third more households pay with credit now compared to five years ago.

Donald Trump on election night . Credit Damon Winter/The New York Times. Lets start with Mr. Trump ’ s trade policy. He may not negotiate new trade agreements as president, but it is highly unlikely that he will back out of existing agreements.

Donald Trump intensified claims that the election will be rigged, a statement without evidence that undercuts the core promise of democratic Donald Trump on Monday intensified his unsubstantiated claim that the election will be rigged, and elections officials in several states rebutted the allegation.

The president also claimed that his popularity with “the people” would help the Republican Party in the fall. In fact, Mr. Trump’s overall approval rating — which has hovered in the low 40 percent range for months — is among the worst of the last nine presidents for this point in his tenure.

His Gallup poll disapproval rating, at around 54 percent, is considerably higher than Barack Obama’s 48 percent in the August ahead of the Democrats’ 2010 shellacking, although it is slightly lower than George W. Bush’s ahead of the 2006 midterms, when the Democrats took control of Congress.

John McLaughlin, who was Mr. Trump’s campaign pollster and still does polling work for the White House, said Republican candidates needed to do more than just invite the president for a last-minute rally. He said they needed to more fully embrace the president’s agenda if they wanted to win.

Mr. McLaughlin noted that more than 205,000 people who live in Mr. Balderson’s district voted for Mr. Trump in 2016 — more than twice the number of Republicans who voted for Mr. Balderson on Tuesday. Mr. McLaughlin calls the difference the Trump Voter Deficit.

“Trump basically bailed out the G.O.P. establishment. They were losing until he got into the race,” Mr. McLaughlin said. He said Republican leaders in Washington had done too much to resist Mr. Trump’s policies on trade, immigration and the repeal of the Affordable Care Act.

“You need to act,” Mr. McLaughlin said. “You need to pass his agenda. You need to fight for his agenda.”

But many strategists say it is not that simple. While he remains exceedingly popular among self-described Republicans, that universe is shrinking, and Mr. Trump is making choices that complicate the party’s overall hopes of remaining in the majority after November’s elections.

In addition to an agenda that has turned off many independents, Mr. Trump is complicating individual races by breaking from precedent and taking sides in contested primaries. In governors’ races in South Carolina, Georgia, Florida and Kansas, the president intervened to lift his preferred candidates and effectively handed the Republican Governors Association the bill.

With hard-line candidates winning nominations thanks to Mr. Trump, general elections could prove more difficult for Republicans. And it will be up to the governors association to prop up the candidates the president effectively crowned.

For some of the races — even ones in which Mr. Trump helped recruit the candidate — the best bet for Republicans may be to keep voters’ attention focused more on local issues and less on the swirl of national politics in Washington.

“You need to try to localize these races and run them where it becomes not a referendum on Trump’s favorability, but a test of candidate strength,” Mr. Madden said. “Trump is a double-edged sword.”

Get politics and Washington news updates via Facebook, Twitter and the Morning Briefing newsletter.

Analysis: A Manafort-sized cloud hangs over Washington .
<p>The ongoing trial of former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort is the most important story of the week — and one with the broadest implications as to what the Trump's presidency will be like.</p>On Friday, the trial was in its 14th day. The jury got the case on Thursday, and deliberations are expected to continue next week.

—   Share news in the SOC. Networks

Topical videos:

usr: 1
This is interesting!