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OffbeatTrump Impeachment Odds Surge Amid Legal Peril

20:30  16 december  2018
20:30  16 december  2018 Source:   newsweek.com

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President Donald Trump 's week of legal peril has significantly boosted the odds of his impeachment by the House of Representatives, at least as far as the betting markets are concerned. Indeed, Trump is now rated more likely than not to be impeached during his first term, according to the latest odds

President Donald Trump ’s odds of being impeached have shot up following news of the first indictments in Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s The prediction site offers yet more bad news for the president: The chances of Trump 's impeachment coming prior to the end of 2017 went up two

Trump Impeachment Odds Surge Amid Legal Peril© REUTERS/Mary F. Calvert U.S. President Donald Trump visits Section 60 in Arlington Cemetery in Arlington, U.S., December 15, 2018.

President Donald Trump’s week of legal peril has significantly boosted the odds of his impeachment by the House of Representatives, at least as far as the betting markets are concerned.

Indeed, Trump is now rated more likely than not to be impeached during his first term, according to the latest odds offered by Irish bookmaker Paddy Power. Odds of 4/5, an implied probability of 56 percent, are available on Trump’s impeachment before his term ends in January 2021. Conversely, a bet on Trump not to be impeached is currently rated at even money, or 50 percent.

Democrats shouldn't try to impeach Trump — yet

Democrats shouldn't try to impeach Trump — yet Donald Trump is a bad man and a bad president, a "leader" whose main redeeming quality appears to be that he's too lazy and undisciplined to effectively implement all of his cruel and anti-democratic ideas. The sooner he leaves office, the better off Americans will be. But Democrats should hold off impeaching him — for now. There was a flowering of impeachment talk over the weekend, after prosecutors not-so-indirectly accused Trump of committing a felony. The crime? Violating campaign finance laws during his presidential campaign by directing hush-money payments to porn stars he'd allegedly slept with.

Donald Trump 's impeachment trial defense is a perfect mirror for his presidency.

In the immediate aftermath of the simultaneous legal blockbusters, the odds on Trump being impeached before his first terms is over saw a significant surge . The shares on Trump 's impeachment have not closed at a price that high in at least three months. It was not only that Cohen

It was a similar story on political prediction market PredictIt, which saw the price on Trump to be impeached in his first term leap to a value of 48 cents, the highest it has been in at least three months.

For the first time earlier this month, federal prosecutors directly implicated Trump in federal crimes. In a sentencing memo for Michael Cohen, prosecutors in New York wrote that the president had directed his former longtime personal lawyer to commit two campaign finance violations. Prosecutors later backed up the assertion that the president was behind the payments to silence two women about their claims of affairs with Trump shortly before the 2016 election when Cohen was sentenced in court to 36 months in prison.

Shortly after Cohen’s sentencing, further bad news arrived for Trump as the same prosecutors detailed that they believed the publisher of the National Enquirer had made a payment to former Playboy model Karen McDougal “in concert with” the Trump campaign.

Why Democrats Would Be Insane To Impeach Donald Trump

Why Democrats Would Be Insane To Impeach Donald Trump After his impeachment for lying about an affair, Bill Clinton's approval rating hit 73 percent. This should be a warning to Democrats.

As Donald Trump continues to accuse Democrats behind Joe Biden of trying to “steal” the presidential election, he celebrated a “big legal ” win in his It remains to be seen how this “big legal win” will benefit Trump , but it does ensure that it could be even longer before people know who has won the

President Donald Trump 's odds of being impeached have shot up following news of the first indictments in Special Counsel Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian election meddling, at least according to one leading prediction market. The odds of Trump being ousted prior to the end of his

The political threat to Trump is about to increase, too, due to the impending Democratic takeover of the House. Were Democrats to vote in unison come January then they could make Trump just the third president in history to be impeached. Still, Democratic leaders, most notably presumed next House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, are still speaking cautiously about such a dramatic move, perhaps all too aware that a conviction in the Senate remains unlikely when Republicans have control of the chamber and a two-thirds majority is required.

Trump has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing regarding the campaign finance violations as well as the ongoing special counsel investigation into his campaign’s alleged ties to Russia. Last week, he also brushed off any impeachment fears.

"It's hard to impeach somebody who hasn't done anything wrong and who's created the greatest economy in the history of our country,” Trump said in an interview with Reuters. "I'm not concerned, no. I think that the people would revolt if that happened."

Trump digs in on the wall and the shutdown.
"It's a disgrace, what's happening in this country," the president said. "But other than that I wish everyone a very merry Christmas." 1/61 SLIDES © Kevin Lamarque/Reuters A partial US government shutdown began at midnight when a funding agreement between Congress and US President Donald J. Trump could not be reached.(Pictured) President Trump speaks next to Vice-President Mike Pence while meeting with Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer and House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi at the White House on Dec. 11 in Washington.

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