Offbeat COVID-19. Why the fourth wave in France is completely different from the first three

23:10  30 july  2021
23:10  30 july  2021 Source:   ouest-france.fr

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Since early July, the fourth wave of Covid-19 spreads clearly in France. But the outbreak of contamination seems less influenced the curve of hospitalizations, unlike previous epidemic episodes in the hex. Support charts, you are explained this decorrelation.

An unprecedented situation. The fourth wave of the Covid-19 epidemic is flying the cases of contamination. The latter begin to weigh on hospitals, but the curve of hospitalizations seems to climb less quickly than during the previous waves.

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By putting the number of cases positive and admissions to the mirrored daily hospital, the decorrelation of the two indicators begins to be significant. Yet the two curves followed the same dynamics since last fall:

there is the same difference by observing the positive cases and the interaction input:

if one takes a precise example: we were at 207 cases per 100,000 inhabitants at July 26, according to the latest consolidated data of Public Health France , and 47 resuscitation entries for a criterion of 10 million inhabitants on the same day. The last time we had achieved the same level of number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants also being on a period of climb in the curve, it was March 11 (209 cases per 100,000 inhabitants). 316 entries in resuscitation were then counted for 10 million inhabitants.

Far-right and others march against French virus rules

  Far-right and others march against French virus rules PARIS (AP) — Far-right activists and members of France’s yellow vest movement protested Saturday against a bill requiring everyone to have a special virus pass to enter restaurants and other venues and mandating COVID-19 vaccinations for all health care workers. Legislators in France’s Senate were debating the bill Saturday after the lower house of parliament approved it Friday, as virus infections are spiking and hospitalizations are rising anew. The French government is trying to speed up vaccinations to protect vulnerable populations and hospitals, and avoid new lockdowns.

"An effect of vaccination"

"Dissociation comes from the fact that we still have a good part of the vaccinated population. It is insufficient yet, but there are still many older people and people with comorbidities, so more at risk of making the serious forms, which are already vaccinated, explained Yves Buisson, epidemiologist and president of the cell. Covid-19 of the National Academy of Medicine. But it can be feared, however, that the number of hospitalizations and interactions in resuscitation rises much more importantly in the future, as has been observed in Great Britain.

for Benjamin Davido, Infectiologist at Raymond-Poincaré Hospital (Hauts-de-Seine), this phenomenon shows "both the success of vaccination among people at risk and the failure of the vaccination campaign In young people, who has not been fast enough to prevent hospitalizations ". He notices a rejuvenation of patients in his service.

Follow our live on this Friday, July 30 devoted to the news of the CVIV-19

epidemic the number of deaths still stable

Another character we observe for this fourth wave is that the number of deaths in hospitals maintains at a very low level. There is a significant decline in since the end of April:

as shown in the graph above, despite a soaring of cases in recent weeks, there is always a level around 20 deaths for ten million inhabitants. Since the beginning of July, and the curve has not climbed since.

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