Opinion: Deal Or Not, Mexico Can’t Stop The Border Crisis On Its Own - - PressFrom - US
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OpinionDeal Or Not, Mexico Can’t Stop The Border Crisis On Its Own

17:50  12 june  2019
17:50  12 june  2019 Source:   thefederalist.com

Schumer mocks Trump: 'I'm sure we won't be hearing any more' about illegal immigration

Schumer mocks Trump: 'I'm sure we won't be hearing any more' about illegal immigration Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) jabbed President Trump on Friday night after Trump said he would drop plans to impose tariffs on Mexico because his administration had reached a deal to stem the flow of migrants to the U.S. "This is an historic night! @realDonaldTrump has announced that he has cut a deal to 'greatly reduce, or eliminate, Illegal Immigration coming from Mexico and into the United States,'" Schumer tweeted. "Now that that problem is solved, I'm sure we won't be hearing any more about it in the future," Schumer added.

TENOSIQUE, Mexico — For years, Mexico ’s most closely watched border was its northern one, which generations of Mexican migrants have crossed seeking employment and refuge in the United States. But the sudden surge of child migrants from Central America, many of them traveling alone

Migrants approaching the border were met with teargas after a few tried to breach the fence separating the countries. Earlier on Sunday, the president tweeted: “Would be very SMART if Mexico would stop the Caravans long before they get to our Southern Border , or if originating countries would not

Deal Or Not, Mexico Can’t Stop The Border Crisis On Its Own© The Federalist Deal Or Not, Mexico Can’t Stop The Border Crisis On Its Own

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

Let’s get something straight: the deal announced last week between the United States and Mexico to avert tariffs and curb the border crisis isn’t going to work. Unveiled as a diplomatic triumph, the deal says Mexico will send 6,000 National Guard troops to the Guatemalan border and allow Central American migrants to remain in Mexico pending their asylum claims in the United States.

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Trump defends deal with Mexico to stem migrant flows, prevent tariffs President Trump defended his agreement with Mexico that sees the country take tougher measures on illegal immigration in exchange for the U.S. dropping plans for tariffs.

The standoff at the border threatens to become the first crisis for Mexico ’s president-elect, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who takes office on Soon after the migrants began their midmorning march to the border in Tijuana, they were met by Mexican federal police officers at a bridge that leads to the

President Trump says a " crisis " at the border has forced his hand - but what do the numbers tell us? How many people are crossing the border illegally? It ' s impossible to say for certain but apprehensions But that includes terror suspects who have been stopped at any US border , and

These are almost entirely face-saving measures for both the Trump administration and Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. They have the virtue of making it seem like the United States, through tough diplomacy and the threat of punitive tariffs, has convinced Mexico to crack down on human smuggling and illegal immigration. But in practice they amount to smoke and mirrors.

The deal, touted by Trump officials on Monday as a breakthrough, will likely have little long-term effect on the actual numbers of migrants arriving at the U.S. border, or on the underlying conditions prompting so many Central Americans to leave their homes in the first place

The Mexican National Guard Does Not Inspire Confidence

To understand why, consider the measures themselves. The deployment of the Mexican National Guard, a force that came into being less than a year ago as a way to fight organized crime, is not a serious move. López Obrador created the 60,000-member Guard shortly after taking office last year as a corrective to the failed policy of his predecessor, President Enrique Pena Nieto, whose federal paramilitary police force, or gendarmerie, proved totally ineffective.

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Pence on immigration: ‘Time for Congress to step up!’[email protected] got Mexico to step up Now it’s time for Congress to step up!” Pence tweeted.

Needless to say, a spiraling border crisis is maddening for a president committed to controlling the border , which is why we’ve seen such frenetic activity from Trump. Both of those pieces can ’ t be right. There’s manufacturing a crisis , then there’s ignoring one for fear of conceding anything to Trump.

There is not a border crisis down here.” Some of the worsening problems, some city officials have said, are For a look at those whom Mr. Trump’s supporters would like to keep out, one needed only to take a short drive across the border from southern Texas to the Mexican town of Matamoros, where

The Guard is a hybrid organization, comprising officers from the Federal Police and members of the army and navy’s policing units, but run by civilian leadership in the Ministry of Security and Citizen Protection. That leadership is untested, and sending a 6,000-man detachment of troops to the southern Mexican state of Chiapas, without any clear policy directives or infrastructure for detaining migrants, seems to be asking for more of the grave human rights abuses, including the disappearance of minors, that the Army and Navy have been implicated in along Mexico’s northern border.

Beyond questions of corruption and abuse is the matter of simple competence. How exactly is the Guard going to stop illegal immigration from Guatemala along a porous 541-mile border that almost entirely lacks the security features of our border with Mexico? As Todd Bensman of the Center for Immigration Studies noted in a recent post, the Mexicans shouldn’t expect any help from Guatemalan officials, which they will certainly need to be effective.

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As the country waited to hear President Trump’s latest warnings about the crisis on the border Saturday, a mother in the border town he visited a few For Saenz and her quinceanera photo crew, a crisis would have been rain — it was sunny and clear. Or not having a dress in time (Clarissa did

A crisis of the heart, and a crisis of the soul. Last month, 20,000 migrant children were illegally brought into the My administration has presented Congress with a detailed proposal to secure the border and stop the The president of the United States, having failed to get Mexico to pay for his ineffective

“That’s because Guatemala’s leadership, border patrol, and police forces all have been neck-deep in the smuggling industry for years, despite ongoing corruption investigations and a contentious national election campaign,” writes Bensman, adding that the smuggling infrastructure in Guatemala and southern Mexico is “entrenched, dynamic, and politically connected, having grown uninhibited for decades and with citizen populations on both sides depending on it for sustenance.”

Mexican security forces might not even try to take on sophisticated and well-financed smuggling networks and focus instead on relatively easy-to-target caravans. Last week, Mexican authorities arrested two caravan organizers, including the head of advocacy group People Without Borders, and charged them with human smuggling. The irony is that migrants join caravans because they can’t afford to hire smugglers, and traveling with a large group helps protect them from predation by cartels and corrupt officials.

One human rights advocate told the Wall Street Journal that the security forces “are taking on the poorest migrants who travel in caravans or alone, but they are doing little to dismantle criminal networks.” The poorest migrants traveling in caravans certainly make for easier enforcement targets—especially if the goal is to make it appear that Mexican officials are cracking down on illegal immigration.

Mexico Deploying Troops to Border With Guatemala

Mexico Deploying Troops to Border With Guatemala The deployment is a part of an immigration deal inked between Mexico and the U.S. on Friday.

After they were stopped by Mexican federal police officers while trying to board a freight train Under the agreement, Mexico will crack down further on the poor and desperate seeping over its southern Many here breathed a sigh of relief upon hearing Friday’s news that, under the deal , United States

The White House says Mexico is doing more to stop illegal immigration at the border than the Democrats are, as the crisis continues to grow. Sanders made the remarks during an interview Tuesday while touting Mexico for its recent effort to cease illegal activity at the southern border .

How Exactly Will ‘Remain In Mexico’ Work?

The second measure in the deal involves a border-wide expansion of the Migrant Protection Protocol program, informally known as “Remain in Mexico,” which forces Central American asylum-seekers to wait in Mexico while their cases work their way through U.S. immigration court.

This is the part of the deal we know least about. How exactly will it work, even on a practical level? Since the program began this year, only about 10,000 asylum-seekers have been sent back to Mexico. In recent weeks, U.S. authorities have been sending about 250 a day back. But Vice President Mike Pence tweeted that Mexico had agreed to allow “ALL illegal immigrants from Central America to remain in Mexico pending their asylum claims.”

All? Right now, U.S. Border Patrol is arresting on average more than 4,200 people a day, about 60 percent of which are asylum-seekers from Central America. Does the vice president mean to imply that the United States is going to send thousands of asylum seekers a day back to Mexico?

Whatever one thinks of the policy, that’s simply not going to happen. Mexico doesn’t have the resources to house that many people in its northern border cities, which are themselves some of the most dangerous cities in the world, where migrants are often targeted for kidnapping and extortion.

Tom Homan says he initially declined border czar role, wasn't 'structured right'

Tom Homan says he initially declined border czar role, wasn't 'structured right' Former Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Acting Director Tom Homan indicated on Saturday that Trump's announcement was "kind of premature" and that while he was open to working with President Trump's administration, he initially declined to take the "border czar" role because it wasn't "structured" properly. "I think yesterday's announcement -- I think the White House has made it clear that it was kind of premature,' he said while appearing on "Cavuto Live" on Saturday.

Is there a crisis on the US- Mexico border ? The situation at the border was, he said, a "humanitarian crisis , a crisis of the heart and a crisis of the soul". Mexico , he said, would pay for the wall through a revamp of the North American Free Trade Agreement, which is yet to be ratified.

Mexico ’s incoming government has denied reaching a deal with the Trump administration to allow asylum “The future government is not considering in its plans that Mexico assumes the role of ‘safe third The scheme would stop a practice that Donald Trump decries as “catch and release”, in which

Even if the United States does start sending thousands of Central Americans back to Mexico every day, many of them, facing horrible conditions and grave danger, will simply turn around and try to sneak into the United States without being detected. That will further tax U.S. Border Patrol and add to the chaos along the border.

More Than Anything, the Deal Is a PR Stunt

Beyond the specific reasons these measures likely won’t do much to stem the flow of illegal immigrants from Central America is the larger problem of placing the onus for solving the migrant crisis on the Mexican state, whose institutions are notoriously weak and susceptible to corruption. Mexican civil society is in crisis. The last two years have seen a record number of homicides in Mexico, with more than 130 political candidates assassinated in the months leading up to national elections last year.

The reality is that the government of President López Obrador is no more in control of migrant smuggling networks in Mexico than the U.S. Border Patrol is, and unless America is prepared to give substantial and direct aid—and Mexico is prepared to accept it—asking Mexico to solve this problem on its own is pure fantasy.

The deal might nevertheless accomplish its near-term goal of making it seem like something is being done about the crisis. The number of border apprehensions is probably going to drop in June after reaching nearly 133,000 in May, including more 100,000 families and unaccompanied minors. This is because of the heat, and it follows a regular pattern. Arrests along the southwest border have dropped every June since 2000—with the exception of 2017, when the numbers were at their lowest point in a half-century.

That means next month when the numbers drop, the Trump administration can claim a big victory regardless of what Mexico does. That, of course, is the real purpose of the deal.

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