Opinion: Trump Might Not Want War With Iran. Without Diplomacy He Will Get One. - PressFrom - US
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OpinionTrump Might Not Want War With Iran. Without Diplomacy He Will Get One.

21:10  17 june  2019
21:10  17 june  2019 Source:   nytimes.com

Iran gears up for high-stakes diplomacy amid tension with US

Iran gears up for high-stakes diplomacy amid tension with US As its nuclear deal with world powers unravels amid heightened tensions with the United States, Iran will see a week of high-stakes diplomacy capped by the first visit of a Japanese prime minister to Tehran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Shinzo Abe will arrive on Wednesday in Iran after earlier meeting with President Trump, whose maximalist approach toward the Islamic Republic has seen America reimpose sanctions once lifted by the 2015 accord and create far-reaching newer ones. German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas also will visit Tehran as well this week.

WASHINGTON — President Trump has sought to put the brakes on a brewing confrontation with Iran in recent days, telling the acting defense secretary, Patrick Shanahan, that he does not want to go to war with Iran , administration officials said

President Trump has told his acting defense secretary, Patrick Shanahan, that he does not want to go to war with Iran , according to several administration officials, in a message to his hawkish aides But Mr. Trump was firm in saying he did not want a military clash with the Iranians , several officials said.

Trump Might Not Want War With Iran. Without Diplomacy He Will Get One.© IRANIAN SUPREME LEADER PRESS OFFICE - HANDOUT/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei (front) makes a speech after leading the Eid al-Fitr Prayer at Grand Prayer Grounds (Mossalla) in Tehran, Iran on June 5, 2019.

The United States was quick to blame Iran for last week’s attack on two tankers in the Gulf of Oman. Iran has denied involvement, and there is considerable skepticism around the world about American claims. We don’t yet know what really happened, and may not for some time. But what the attacks and subsequent fallout show — regardless of who carried them out — is that President Trump’s policy of “maximum pressure” is not working.

Trump warns Iran over tanker attack: ‘We don’t take it lightly’

Trump warns Iran over tanker attack: ‘We don’t take it lightly’ President Trump on Friday warned Iran over this week's attacks on tankers in the Gulf of Oman that the U.S. blames directly on Tehran, saying in an interview with “Fox & Friends” that, “We don’t take it lightly.”

It is no secret that Bolton wants a war with Iran aimed at changing the country’s government. And today he seems to be playing a similar tune about Iran . However, President Trump does not want The deal provides a mechanism for systemic diplomacy and regular contacts between Iran and

No one wanted President Trump to pulled the United States out of the Iran nuclear deal. The agreement signed by President Obama held that Iran would get rid its nuclear Trump , as he does, responded in kind. To Iranian President Rouhani: NEVER, EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES

If Iran was behind the attacks, then American pressure has failed to bring it around for renewed talks and has instead prepared Iran for conflict. If the United States cannot provide clinching evidence of Iranian culpability, its eagerness to assign blame looks like a ruse to start a war.

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President Trump may not want war, but he will get one unless he balances coercion with diplomacy. He has discredited moderate voices in Tehran who had fought for the nuclear deal and the promise of engagement with the West. Iranian hard-liners, who distrust the West, want out of the nuclear deal and argue that only show of force deters Western aggression, are ascendant.

Biden slams Trump's Iran strategy as a 'self-inflicted disaster'

Biden slams Trump's Iran strategy as a 'self-inflicted disaster' Former Vice President Joe Biden weighed in Thursday on the rapidly escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran.

The Trump administration is goading Iran into a conflict, and no one should expect Iran to back down. While it might not seem like Trump wants war , he Trump claims to want to stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon but withdrew from the very deal that had stopped Iran from obtaining one .

WASHINGTON: While it is "unmistakable" that Iran was responsible for the attacks on two tankers last week, the United States does not want to go to We don't want war ." But he added that Washington will guarantee free navigation through vital shipping areas. "The United States is going make sure that

Iranian leaders think that the United States has cheated Iran and walked away from the deal to strangulate Iran’s economy, break its state and force regime change. President Trump’s goal all along has been to negotiate a more stringent nuclear deal with Iran, scuttle its missile program and reduce its regional footprint.

Iran has been surprised by the effectiveness of new American economic sanctions, which are isolating the country and imposing severe hardship on its people. European powers, China and Russia have paid lip service to protecting the nuclear deal but have been reluctant to stand in the way of American pressure.

President Trump expects that Iran will be forced to the negotiating table; others on his team want to keep squeezing Iran until the Islamic Republic implodes. Iranians interpreted the quickness of the Trump administration to lay blame on them for the Gulf of Oman attacks as proof that Washington wants war to dislodge the Islamic Republic.

Biden calls Iran tensions ‘self-inflicted disaster’ after U.S. drone shoot-down

Biden calls Iran tensions ‘self-inflicted disaster’ after U.S. drone shoot-down Former Vice President Joe Biden blasted President Trump’s Iran strategy as a “self-inflicted disaster” Thursday, just hours after a U.S. Navy drone was shot down by an Iranian missile over the Strait of Hormuz. Seeking to put the blame on the Trump administration for the risk of "military conflict," the 2020 Democratic presidential hopeful released a statement taking direct aim at the president's decision to abandon the Obama administration’s nuclear agreement with Iran.

As one of our loyal readers, we ask you to be our partner. While it is "unmistakable" that Iran was responsible for the attacks on two tankers last week, the United States does not want In an interview with "Fox News Sunday," Pompeo said, "President Trump has done everything he can to avoid war.

We don't want war ." But he added that Washington will guarantee free navigation through vital shipping areas. Pompeo said he did not want to discuss possible next steps the United State might take in That's the goal," he said when asked about the possibility of Trump sending more American troops

Iran is keen is to show that bullying tactics will not work. Tehran has met maximum pressure with maximum resistance, first refusing to leave the nuclear deal and then threatening to restart its nuclear program. On Monday, Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization announced that it will break the uranium stockpile limit set by the nuclear deal in 10 days and warned that Tehran could enrich uranium up to 20 percent, a step away from weapons-grade levels.

And Iran’s military posture in the Persian Gulf has become more menacing, seeking to deter American action and preparing for war if that fails.

Iran may be banking on the assumption that unlike some of his key advisers, President Trump does not really want war. Even if they can avoid war, Iranian leaders know a stalemate is untenable. The economic chokehold on the country risks social upheaval, and if it does not come to that, it augurs a future for Iran not unlike that of Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, a weak and broken state ravaged by prolonged economic isolation.

The only option left is to talk. Mr. Trump has broadcast his wish to talk to Iran and has sent messages to Tehran through high-level Swiss, Omani and Japanese interlocutors. He says he does not want war and is not after regime change. At his press meeting in Tokyo he said Iran could prosper under its current leadership.

Democrats can help Trump avoid war with Iran

Democrats can help Trump avoid war with Iran Trump clearly senses the risk, and that is why a resolute, united stand by the Democrats can help him make the choice for diplomacy. By making it clear to the American public that this would be Trump's war - an avoidable, unnecessary war of choice - it could help to save the United States from another disastrous military intervention in the Middle East.

Let’s get one thing straight. Washington does not get into wars “by mistake.” Between Pompeo and National Security Advisor John Bolton, Trump filled two Nor can we predict what might happen next – but the one thing of which we can be totally certain, is that if the US goes to war with Iran , it will be

The US president reportedly tells top officials he does not want a war with Iran as tensions mount. Reports say two US destroyers passed through the Strait of Hormuz without incident on Thursday. And one thing should be clear. There is no "drift" towards war. That suggests an involuntary process

But Iran’s leaders have publicly rebuffed Mr. Trump’s overtures. They don’t trust him or see a satisfactory outcome to negotiations, especially if they will have to deal with National Security Advisor John Bolton or Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.

Yet the Iranians were keen to hear what Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan had to say on behalf of Mr. Trump. We have yet to learn what Mr. Abe heard back behind closed doors in Tehran.

The challenge for Iran is how to come to the table without the appearance of capitulation, without admitting that Mr. Trump’s maximum pressure has worked. It will reject talks and act tough just as it considers negotiations. Its defiant public message may not be the same as what it will countenance in private.

Iran will look for leverage in threatening to restart its nuclear program or disrupt the flow of oil and undermine regional stability to bargain with Mr. Trump for sanctions relief.

Maximum pressure has brought the United States close to war. If that is not what Mr. Trump wants, then he has to change tact. Pressure may get Iran to consider talking, but there has to be some give and take for negotiations to begin.

Mr. Trump has to convince Iran that he is serious. He needs the support of other signatories to the nuclear deal and world powers to convince Iran of his commitment to talks. He has to realize that unilateralism and maximum pressure have gone as far as they can.

Iran's foreign minister hits hawks in Trump administration after sanctions: 'They thirst for war'

Iran's foreign minister hits hawks in Trump administration after sanctions: 'They thirst for war' Iran's foreign minister on Monday hit hawks in the Trump administration after a new set of sanctions was imposed on officials in Tehran."@realDonaldTrump is 100% right that the US military has no business in the Persian Gulf. Removal of its forces is fully in line with interests of US and the world," Mohammad Javad Zarif tweeted."But it's now clear that the #B_Team is not concerned with US interests-they despise diplomacy, and thirst for war." [email protected] is 100% right that the US military has no business in the Persian Gulf. Removal of its forces is fully in line with interests of US and the world.

While it is "unmistakable" that Iran was responsible for the attacks on two tankers last week, the United States does not want to go to war with Tehran We don’t want war .” But he added that Washington will guarantee free navigation through vital shipping areas. “The United States is going make sure that

We don’t want war ,” he added. The president has been accused of beating the drum of war with recent US- Iran tensions are high following accusations by the Trump administration that Tehran carried Pompeo said he did not want to discuss possible next steps the United State might take in

If Mr. Trump seeks a deal, he has to invest in diplomacy. From here on the real of value maximum pressure lies in the price the United States can exact from Iran for easing it.

Vali R. Nasr is the dean of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

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Trump says any war with Iran 'would not last very long,' but he still hopes for no conflict.
President Trump says "I hope we don't" have a war with Iran but it "would not last very long." In an interview on Fox Business, Trump also says "I decided not to kill a lot of Iranians," referring to his decision to call off military strikes on Iran after it shot down a U.S. military surveillance drone last week. On Tuesday, Trump warned that any Iranian attack on Americans would be met with "great and overwhelming force" and "obliteration.

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