Opinion: The real estate tycoon meets Iran - PressFrom - US

OpinionThe real estate tycoon meets Iran

01:25  11 july  2019
01:25  11 july  2019 Source:   thehill.com

Iran's Oil Minister Zanganeh calls for unity among members of OPEC

Iran's Oil Minister Zanganeh calls for unity among members of OPEC Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) should have unity among themselves, Iran's Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh was quoted as saying on Monday, adding that Tehran backed cooperation with non-OPEC oil exporter states. "Without the unity among members of OPEC, it is meaningless to plan cooperation between OPEC and non-OPEC countries," Zanganeh said in a report by Shana, the Iranian oil ministry news service, before leaving Tehran to attend OPEC meeting in Vienna.

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The real estate tycoon meets Iran© The Hill The real estate tycoon meets Iran

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Some time ago, I intended to purchase a building in New York City. It was a soaring and glittering tower that would bear my name in gold letters. I negotiated and signed a contract to buy it. Then I decided I negotiated a bad deal. The price was too high and the terms were overly generous to the sellers. So I reneged. I pulled out. I walked away. I told the sellers they could pound the pavement outside what was to be known as Israel Tower.

Trump warns Iran about 'threats' after its uranium enrichment announcement

Trump warns Iran about 'threats' after its uranium enrichment announcement President Donald Trump warned Iran on Wednesday to "be careful with threats" after Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said the country would boost its uranium enrichment beyond the cap set in a 2015 nuclear deal. "Iran has just issued a New Warning. Rouhani says that they will Enrich Uranium to 'any amount we want' if there is no new Nuclear Deal," Trump said on Twitter. "Be careful with the threats, Iran. They can come back to bite you like nobody has been bitten before!" he said.

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Fine, said the seller, the deal is undone. But wait! How dare they not keep their end of the bargain I skipped out of! Do they not understand that a deal is a deal, even when I withdraw from the deal? I can defy, but they must comply. I can hire people to do things and just not pay them, or pay them a fraction of what was promised. This is the "Art of The Deal." That is a simplified way of describing the escalating crisis over the Iran nuclear program. America made a deal, withdrew from the deal, and drained Iran of any benefit of the deal. Now we issue bellicose protests and foreboding tweets about Iran announcing violations of the agreement we ditched.

If it sounds impossible in a transaction in the real world, consider that it may be standard operating procedure in the world of Donald Trump. This is New York City real estate, where negotiations are often based on bluff and bluster. This is where walking out of negotiations and threatening never to return to the table is as predictable as returning to the table.

Iran reduces commitment to 2015 nuclear deal

Iran reduces commitment to 2015 nuclear deal Iran said on Sunday it would further scale back its commitment to the 2015 nuclear deal with world powers, raising its uranium enrichment level to what officials said earlier was 5% to produce fuel for power plants. In a news conference, senior Iranian officials also said Tehran would keep reducing its commitments every 60 days unless signatories of the pact moved to protect it from U.S. sanctions, but they left the door open to diplomacy.

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The obvious problem is that we are not discussing glass and steel but centrifuges that could spin uranium to make new weapons. The 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action limited Iran to uranium enrichment levels harmless enough for various types of medical instruments. That created an effective moratorium of up to 15 years on the ability of Iran to enrich to 90 percent, enough to build a nuclear warhead. In return, many, but not all, of the international sanctions on Iran were suspended.

I opposed the deal because I believed that it did not sufficiently address Iranian support of terrorist organizations, its transfer of weapons, and its ballistic missile capabilities. But the deal was reached, and it was working, or at least its nuclear terms were. However, it did not modify conventional Iranian malevolence. The regime has used proxies to attack our troops, supported Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthis against Saudi Arabia, placed military elements close to the border with Israel in Syria, and much more.

US 'will not back down' in Iran nuclear dispute, Pence says

US 'will not back down' in Iran nuclear dispute, Pence says Vice President Mike Pence says the U.S. is open to talks with Iran but "will not back down" amid heightened tensions with the Islamic Republic. Pence is speaking to a pro-Israel Christian organization in Washington on Monday, as Iran says it has begun enriching uranium beyond limits set by a 2015 agreement. The vice president says in prepared remarks that the U.S. does not seek war with Iran but will continue to oppose what he called the Islamic Republic's "malign influence" in the world. He says the U.S. would "never allow Iran to obtain a nuclear weapon.

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President Trump withdrew us from the deal and levied crippling sanctions on Iran. As a result, the Iranian economy is spiraling. Denied most benefits of the deal, Iran has resorted to its past nuclear posture. It has announced that it exceeded the cap on uranium enrichment. Continued enrichment returns us to a worst case breakout time of about a year. Hawks in and out of the administration, unchastened by the miserable consequences of Iraq, are rattling sabers. It was only the last minute change of heart that Trump had which canceled a retaliatory military strike a few weeks ago.

If it is all a "trumpesque" real estate strategy, as risky as it can get. Trump has roiled Iranian politics by vilifying the more moderate players while strengthening hardliners. President Rouhani and Foreign Minister Zarif assumed enormous political risk in negotiating the deal. At the time, the hardliners said, "You cannot trust America." Now they are saying, "We told you so!" How can the moderates now come back with new concessions?

It is possible that the Iranians are playing by the "trumpesque" rules. Their declarations could be a blustery attempt to force Europe and others to plug up the draining revenues caused by the United States sanctions. Meanwhile, in North Korea, we continue to puzzle the world by bending over backwards for Kim Jong Un. Iranian leaders may be fanatical, but they are basically rational. Kim is fanatical but also supremely irrational.

Time will tell if the behavior employed by a savvy real estate tycoon to develop golf courses will achieve the shuttering of uranium centrifuges. Friends of mine who know and support Trump often tell me that there is a method to the madness. In the case of Iran, I am praying that is the case.

Steve Israel represented New York in Congress for 16 years and served as the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee from 2011 to 2015. He is now the director of the Institute of Politics and Global Affairs at Cornell University. You can find him on Twitter @RepSteveIsrael.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards say they captured British oil tanker - Iran state tv.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they have captured British oil tanker Stena Impero in the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state television reported on Friday. The IRGC seized the tanker at the request of the maritime authorities in the Iranian province of Hormozgan for "not following international maritime regulations," state television cited an IRGC statement as saying. The tanker was taken to a coastal area and turned over to the authorities to take the necessary legal steps, state television said.

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This is interesting!